Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

105

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$1.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-09

last 09-13 00:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

51% 9% -$86

Politics

28% 15% -$35

Crypto

9% 62% -$9

Tech

8% 50% +$1

Sports

4% 33% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 241 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	6	$53	57	40	+17	No	-$14	09-10 09:28
Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	4	$43	36	36	+0	No	-$3	09-10 02:38
Next DeepSeek Pro released by September 30, 2026?	6	$41	40	40	+0	No	$0	09-10 01:46
will the first announced price of the foldable iphone be at least 1900	2	$35	19	19	+0	Yes	+$3	09-09 18:15
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$34	27	26	+1	open	—	09-10 12:25
Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	5	$29	20	20	+0	No	-$5	09-11 06:43
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	4	$29	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	09-10 01:10
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$29	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	09-10 01:07
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?	3	$28	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	09-12 15:24
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	2	$27	19	19	+0	No	-$4	09-10 17:24
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in September?	2	$27	20	20	+0	No	-$2	09-10 05:25
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?	3	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-11 01:58
Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$0	09-10 01:02
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$1	09-10 16:17
Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	2	$25	14	14	+0	No	+$0	09-10 02:22
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-10 02:27
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	4	$23	47	47	+0	Yes	-$2	09-12 15:29
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	09-09 22:39
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.24% in September?	2	$22	15	15	+0	No	-$1	09-10 00:37
Will Mohamed Chaouki be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	2	$19	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-11 18:33
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	09-12 01:25
Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	2	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	09-12 15:09
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	4	$15	20	16	+4	No	+$2	09-12 00:38
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	4	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	09-10 23:06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	2	$13	20	20	+0	No	$0	09-11 21:23
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	2	$12	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	09-09 19:20
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in September?	2	$11	20	20	+0	Yes	-$10	09-10 01:57
Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	3	$11	15	15	+0	Yes	$0	09-10 13:45
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	2	$10	19	19	+0	open	—	09-09 20:08
Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	09-11 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-13 00:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xee40d7…
09-12 23:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xdf3c45…
09-12 23:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2d4e9f…
09-12 23:33:42	XRP Up or Down - September 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xdc0913…
09-12 22:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x060d7c…
09-12 22:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd5f4c3…
09-12 22:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xa08e07…
09-12 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xd2b673…
09-12 22:18:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x5caf96…
09-12 21:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0x43b9ee…
09-12 21:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x61df6a…
09-12 21:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$4	0xb44ead…
09-12 21:47:34	Solana Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x045911…
09-12 21:41:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc75c86…
09-12 21:30:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x6f6ce4…
09-12 21:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xa09f3d…
09-12 21:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x298572…
09-12 21:12:15	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x0233f0…
09-12 21:06:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xf35b0c…
09-12 20:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xfcb08a…
09-12 19:55:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ND-AL House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x49c883…
09-12 17:55:37	Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?	No	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xa75951…
09-12 17:25:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x7d73b8…
09-12 17:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x536900…
09-12 15:29:09	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	No	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x6b70bf…
09-12 15:24:34	Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xae080b…
09-12 15:09:07	Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x4c4f12…
09-12 14:11:45	Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x329da4…
09-12 09:27:19	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xcf461d…
09-12 08:58:21	Will ByteDance have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe7b595…
09-12 08:36:16	Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x1a29e3…
09-12 03:19:21	Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7e4ef2…
09-12 03:18:21	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x614367…
09-12 03:18:21	Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x0fedd6…
09-12 02:21:40	Will Procreate Pocket be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xdc027c…
09-12 02:01:40	Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xed49bd…
09-12 01:26:33	Will Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale win the Falealili 1 by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc492e3…
09-12 01:25:31	Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x718483…
09-12 00:38:01	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x8b835d…
09-12 00:27:46	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x19cdf2…
09-12 00:27:24	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xc2a086…
09-12 00:19:13	Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x1f09f9…
09-11 23:22:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x19996f…
09-11 21:54:51	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x61fadf…
09-11 21:23:58	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc62816…
09-11 21:21:04	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x3ac38a…
09-11 19:41:03	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa6bc14…
09-11 18:33:45	Will Mohamed Chaouki be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5bb6f7…
09-11 17:55:10	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf5eae1…
09-11 12:39:13	Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xd78646…
09-11 09:20:07	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xdc64ff…
09-11 08:32:57	Will Anna Wintour attend Tommy Hilfiger?	No	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x96f21f…
09-11 06:43:15	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x3d91fc…
09-11 06:43:13	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x2fce39…
09-11 06:13:03	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-13 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x0b4c27…
09-11 05:50:31	Will Davante Adams have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa0c9f5…
09-11 05:07:06	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xedcacc…
09-11 05:07:06	Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd65ba0…
09-11 04:07:13	Will "Putin" be in the headlines this week?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x25ad29…
09-11 02:43:16	Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xdf54bc…
09-11 02:28:06	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x9c322e…
09-11 02:26:33	Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x1cb6b4…
09-11 02:20:54	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0xab9925…
09-11 01:58:58	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x511365…
09-11 01:29:27	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xd1c5aa…
09-11 01:08:12	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x257ffa…
09-11 00:11:33	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xdff770…
09-11 00:09:27	Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa59126…
09-11 00:08:42	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x607ca9…
09-10 23:55:34	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x2e01f6…
09-10 23:16:58	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x0c0b2e…
09-10 23:06:54	Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?	Yes	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x0e522c…
09-10 22:47:57	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 17, 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xc6746f…
09-10 22:15:13	Will DF win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x0cb555…
09-10 22:15:04	Will HDZ BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcd640b…
09-10 22:14:52	Will HDZ BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x0fe0ad…
09-10 22:14:43	Will HDZ BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x57a6a0…
09-10 18:42:09	Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x33b07f…
09-10 18:42:09	Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x26bc57…
09-10 17:24:51	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	19	62¢	$12	0x1a5f5c…
09-10 17:13:01	Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x3dc860…
09-10 16:17:52	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x8ff020…
09-10 15:34:34	Will ISM Services PMI be between 57.0 and 57.9 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xdb9d11…
09-10 14:25:31	Will "The Uprising" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xe809b7…
09-10 13:47:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-05 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xe0cc1b…
09-10 13:45:27	Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xc47fc0…
09-10 13:13:52	Will Isabelle Blais win the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xe55b1e…
09-10 12:25:51	Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x9bed14…
09-10 11:54:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x275ad8…
09-10 11:49:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-37 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x77f402…
09-10 11:24:37	Will Pruna have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf775d1…
09-10 10:19:42	Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x7084ba…
09-10 10:03:55	Will SpaceXAI have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xe507ce…
09-10 09:28:40	Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	Yes	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc14872…
09-10 09:13:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 45% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x737612…
09-10 09:09:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x0daaeb…
09-10 09:09:31	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in September?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x91c39e…
09-10 09:00:45	Will "Why Did I Get Married Again?" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe72165…
09-10 08:41:54	Will Black Forest Labs have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x7a1286…
09-10 08:33:31	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the first round of the French Socialist primary?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x869e06…