Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-02 House election by 3%-6%?
open
Total volume
$2,694
$420 in 24h
Trades
197
Unique wallets
51
Liquidity
$11,770
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-27
last 10-26 16:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.5¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $147
vs crowd: 18% YES on $2.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $157 | $929 | $772 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $164 | $503 | $339 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $32 | $209 | $177 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 10 | $23 | $124 | $102 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $13 | $161 | $148 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| Below median | 6 | $23 | $82 | $59 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $17 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $70 | $287 | $216 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 13 | $159 | $802 | $643 |
| unranked | 2 | $65 | $142 | $77 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +489 | $93 | $93 | 12 | 10-25 16:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +410 | $332 | $332 | 15 | 10-26 16:28 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +149 | $120 | $244 | 10 | 10-26 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x0d7d…7d74 | Yes | +134 | $29 | $101 | 3 | 09-28 01:06 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +100 | $20 | $20 | 6 | 10-02 21:49 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +77 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-20 17:23 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +70 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 10-25 16:26 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +70 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +60 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 10-26 08:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +60 | $48 | $52 | 5 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +55 | $11 | $11 | 6 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +55 | $47 | $47 | 7 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +54 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +54 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +53 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 10-07 21:09 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +48 | $7 | $58 | 12 | 10-25 16:26 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | +40 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-02 20:47 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 2 | 10-07 21:09 |
| Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | +40 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 10-02 20:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +40 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-25 16:26 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +37 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-01 13:03 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +27 | $24 | $91 | 3 | 10-01 13:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +26 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | +25 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-28 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | +20 | $18 | $51 | 2 | 10-07 21:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +20 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 09-28 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-25 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 10-07 21:09 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 09-22 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-19 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 2 | 10-19 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x132f…275d | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 08-27 03:33 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 09-20 16:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 09-24 10:48 |
| Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-24 23:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x3ff7…8374 | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-09 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaa3…8edd | No | +14 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 09-09 18:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-19 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-19 16:30 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-24 12:25 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-27 03:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-09 19:39 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-07 21:09 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +1 | $2 | $116 | 9 | 10-08 14:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:28:15 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x4f6ecb… |
| 10-26 16:28:15 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x4f6ecb… |
| 10-26 08:42:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x8f9829… |
| 10-26 08:42:41 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x8f9829… |
| 10-25 16:26:36 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xa82eca… |
| 10-25 16:26:36 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0xa82eca… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x5f3338… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xc41303… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 21 | 82¢ | $17 | 0x9c5621… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x7121…0abc | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 204 | 18¢ | $37 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $6 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 16 | 81¢ | $13 | 0xc41303… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xc41303… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 19¢ | $10 | 0x2f5e7c… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0x5f3338… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x033900… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0xa1bc62… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x2f5e7c… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0xa1bc62… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x9c5621… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x19ae06… |
| 10-25 16:26:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x033900… |
| 10-20 17:23:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 57 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x275a06… |
| 10-20 17:23:11 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 17¢ | $10 | 0x275a06… |
| 10-19 16:30:53 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x10df69… |
| 10-19 16:30:53 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x10df69… |
| 10-19 16:30:53 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x080683… |
| 10-19 16:30:53 | (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | BUY | 13 | 85¢ | $11 | 0x080683… |
| 10-19 16:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4738e2… |
| 10-19 16:30:51 | (anonymous) 0x1b9c…aa50 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x4738e2… |
| 10-08 14:07:30 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xb11a1b… |
| 10-08 14:07:30 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xb11a1b… |
| 10-07 21:09:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x5c832e… |
| 10-07 21:09:52 | (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x5c832e… |
| 10-07 21:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x5fae11… |
| 10-07 21:09:47 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x8cf33a… |
| 10-07 21:09:47 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x8cf33a… |
| 10-07 21:09:47 | (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x5fae11… |
| 10-07 21:09:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeb3f6c… |
| 10-07 21:09:44 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x5ac0a3… |
| 10-07 21:09:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xeb3f6c… |
| 10-07 21:09:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x5ac0a3… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0xd733ef… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xed660c… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x5b16a5… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x75e168… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd733ef… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x9e8d52… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xca9e2d… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x3ab32e… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x3ab32e… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xed660c… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xed660c… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xca9e2d… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xfbed…a665 | No | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x9e8d52… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x5b16a5… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 53 | 83¢ | $44 | 0x284a01… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xed660c… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x9e8d52… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | BUY | 21 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x75e168… |
| 10-07 21:09:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 17¢ | $9 | 0x284a01… |
| 10-04 21:57:35 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x315f54… |
| 10-04 21:57:35 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x315f54… |
| 10-02 21:49:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 6 | 84¢ | $5 | 0x706ceb… |
| 10-02 21:49:32 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x706ceb… |
| 10-02 21:40:17 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc3b463… |
| 10-02 21:40:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 34 | 84¢ | $29 | 0xc3b463… |
| 10-02 21:40:17 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xc3b463… |
| 10-02 20:47:17 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0xa1b7be… |
| 10-02 20:47:17 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | Yes | BUY | 40 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xa1b7be… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0xd3e477… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | (anonymous) 0xf26c…d5c5 | No | SELL | 92 | 85¢ | $78 | 0x35659b… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x35659b… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | Monumental-Generator 0x09fe…76ee | No | BUY | 40 | 85¢ | $34 | 0x35659b… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 30 | 85¢ | $26 | 0x35659b… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x35659b… |
| 10-02 20:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xd3e477… |
| 10-01 15:57:35 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xaf3e12… |
| 10-01 15:57:35 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xaf3e12… |
| 10-01 13:03:24 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x3c9c36… |
| 10-01 13:03:24 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x3c9c36… |
| 10-01 13:03:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x570f0b… |
| 10-01 13:03:20 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 17 | 82¢ | $14 | 0x570f0b… |
| 10-01 08:09:18 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xb839f8… |
| 10-01 08:09:18 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0xb839f8… |
| 10-01 08:09:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 44 | 84¢ | $37 | 0xb839f8… |
| 09-30 22:36:09 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x8aefdc… |
| 09-30 22:36:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x8aefdc… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x613ec4… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x613ec4… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x08b0…3f7c | No | SELL | 167 | 87¢ | $145 | 0x613ec4… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x613ec4… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x613ec4… |
| 09-30 22:35:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 67 | 86¢ | $58 | 0x613ec4… |