Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
92.2%
Resolved
1,141
Trades
2,234
lifetime
Volume
$27.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 09-21 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 97 days
Categories
Other
59% 79% -$86
Politics
23% 85% +$14
Sports
15% 91% +$56
Tech
3% 96% +$39
Crypto
0% 71% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 50% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +118 $117 100¢ $117 $0 09-09 23:15
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +117 $117 97¢ $113 -$4 09-13 19:43
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +111 $103 98¢ $109 +$6 09-04 10:12
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +113 $108 96¢ $109 +$0 09-14 03:23
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +105 $96 88¢ $93 -$4 09-14 03:23
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +94 $90 98¢ $93 +$2 09-13 00:50
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +87 $86 100¢ $87 +$0 09-18 01:02
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +88 $85 95¢ $84 -$1 09-09 13:11
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +73 $72 99¢ $72 -$1 09-14 01:10
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +74 $69 92¢ $68 -$1 09-13 00:54
Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +59 $59 100¢ $59 +$0 09-09 22:59
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $54 100¢ $56 +$2 09-18 01:02
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $54 97¢ $54 +$0 09-09 13:11
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? No +55 $55 99¢ $54 $0 09-04 13:56
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +56 $52 95¢ $54 +$1 09-18 01:03
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-02 17:30
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 100¢ $48 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $48 99¢ $48 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +49 $46 90¢ $44 -$2 09-13 00:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 $0 08-20 23:35
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +48 $46 87¢ $42 -$5 09-07 23:11
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $40 99¢ $40 +$0 09-14 01:10
Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +39 $39 100¢ $39 $0 09-17 19:04
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $38 96¢ $39 +$0 09-13 17:35
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +40 $35 92¢ $37 +$2 09-13 17:35
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +32 $32 96¢ $31 -$1 09-13 17:35
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +31 $30 100¢ $31 +$0 09-09 13:16
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +30 $30 99¢ $30 $0 09-13 17:36
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 09-14 02:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? No +28 $26 98¢ $27 +$1 09-01 18:04