Quizzical-Toll — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$971

Unrealized P&L

+$46

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

1,125

Trades

24,159

lifetime

Volume

$157.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-10 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 48% $-971

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-289	$-94	16¢	$-48	+$46	05-30 02:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	61	$1.7K	2,668	2,668	+0	open	—	05-28 23:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	18	$1.1K	1,343	1,632	-289	open	—	05-30 02:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	32	$648	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-29 15:08
spy up or down on june 8 2026	16	$620	903	903	+0	open	—	06-08 08:05
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?	18	$548	650	948	-298	open	—	05-29 14:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	10	$516	700	901	-201	open	—	06-01 00:10
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	15	$414	464	464	+0	open	—	05-28 13:16
wti up or down on june 10 2026	2	$259	301	301	+0	open	—	06-10 02:49
wti up or down on june 9 2026	7	$178	313	313	+0	open	—	06-09 08:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$145	600	600	+0	open	—	05-25 22:43
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	4	$96	402	402	+0	open	—	06-08 19:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	7	$79	191	191	+0	open	—	06-01 11:58
btc updown 5m 1781020500	2	$78	70	70	+0	open	—	06-09 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$77	141	0	+141	open	—	04-24 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	05-20 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$67	80	80	+0	open	—	05-16 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	14	$65	110	0	+110	open	—	05-03 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$65	80	80	+0	open	—	05-16 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	5	$63	103	0	+103	open	—	05-03 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$62	70	70	+0	open	—	05-23 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	8	$60	110	0	+110	open	—	05-03 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$60	80	80	+0	open	—	05-16 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$60	70	70	+0	open	—	05-25 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	6	$59	110	0	+110	open	—	05-03 16:15
btc updown 5m 1781040600	5	$59	70	70	+0	open	—	06-09 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$58	70	70	+0	open	—	05-23 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$58	50	50	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	6	$57	105	0	+105	open	—	05-04 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	22	$57	111	0	+111	open	—	05-04 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	9	$57	108	0	+108	open	—	05-04 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xfe65ca…
06-10 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc77853…
06-10 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad5ae3…
06-10 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x70cfa0…
06-10 06:40:04	btc updown 5m 1781073600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5a5fd8…
06-10 06:24:30	btc updown 5m 1781072700	Down	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0xffd00e…
06-10 06:15:00	btc updown 5m 1781072100	Down	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xc50f61…
06-10 06:14:27	btc updown 5m 1781072100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf91bbe…
06-10 06:14:27	btc updown 5m 1781072100	Down	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xeafa2b…
06-10 06:09:55	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x95bfa0…
06-10 06:09:54	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcabd8d…
06-10 06:09:54	btc updown 5m 1781071800	Down	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x6dd162…
06-10 05:59:48	btc updown 5m 1781071200	Down	BUY	70	51¢	$36	0x1a10b2…
06-10 05:54:33	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xf9c90e…
06-10 05:54:30	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x12c66a…
06-10 05:54:28	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x59c89b…
06-10 05:49:49	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x3ec1af…
06-10 05:49:42	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x49eecb…
06-10 05:49:39	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x37fe37…
06-10 05:49:33	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0xd280e1…
06-10 05:49:33	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x93e520…
06-10 05:49:31	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x66cd7e…
06-10 05:49:31	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x58bba1…
06-10 05:49:27	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6f84de…
06-10 05:40:00	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Down	BUY	70	49¢	$34	0x41b8cb…
06-10 05:29:54	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x550b7e…
06-10 05:29:52	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9f75f0…
06-10 05:29:52	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x6b565f…
06-10 05:29:52	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x145f14…
06-10 05:29:49	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5118d2…
06-10 05:29:46	btc updown 5m 1781069400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xb4d5d0…
06-10 05:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781069100	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0x8889cd…
06-10 05:14:43	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x9d2d2d…
06-10 05:14:43	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Down	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x1f0f42…
06-10 05:14:33	btc updown 5m 1781068500	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe9e1c6…
06-10 04:49:42	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	29	46¢	$14	0x9ab554…
06-10 04:49:42	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7c1a18…
06-10 04:49:37	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xdc202f…
06-10 04:49:37	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0d9ddc…
06-10 04:49:36	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xf1f3b1…
06-10 04:49:33	btc updown 5m 1781067000	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x42062d…
06-10 04:44:34	btc updown 5m 1781066700	Down	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xd547ef…
06-10 04:39:42	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x633945…
06-10 04:39:33	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xbe871d…
06-10 04:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xf05526…
06-10 04:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781066400	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xce2253…
06-10 04:05:03	btc updown 5m 1781064300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x898756…
06-10 04:05:01	btc updown 5m 1781064300	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$26	0x937b54…
06-10 04:05:01	btc updown 5m 1781064300	Down	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x13dad9…
06-10 03:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xe616e4…
06-10 03:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$11	0x96d900…
06-10 03:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x7c1ef2…
06-10 03:50:03	btc updown 5m 1781063400	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x34c908…
06-10 03:34:42	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x50e54c…
06-10 03:34:42	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x1923ec…
06-10 03:34:31	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde2073…
06-10 03:34:31	btc updown 5m 1781062500	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xc583bf…
06-10 03:19:33	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	44	48¢	$21	0x05cfa4…
06-10 03:19:24	btc updown 5m 1781061600	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x1bcc9b…
06-10 03:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xec8749…
06-10 03:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x339182…
06-10 03:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1cb71c…
06-10 03:10:03	btc updown 5m 1781061000	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x110ad6…
06-10 03:04:48	btc updown 5m 1781060700	Down	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xcdb3a3…
06-10 03:04:46	btc updown 5m 1781060700	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8c242e…
06-10 02:54:46	btc updown 5m 1781060100	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x669dd7…
06-10 02:54:45	btc updown 5m 1781060100	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf13717…
06-10 02:54:45	btc updown 5m 1781060100	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x08b22e…
06-10 02:49:52	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	301	43¢	$129	0xa454f1…
06-10 02:34:40	btc updown 5m 1781058900	Down	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0xdb6e60…
06-10 02:25:10	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xc3cc75…
06-10 02:25:03	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb26a3a…
06-10 02:25:03	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x763f09…
06-10 02:25:03	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2be9ae…
06-10 02:25:03	btc updown 5m 1781058300	Down	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x0749ef…
06-10 02:22:52	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x5b57a6…
06-10 02:19:39	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc10595…
06-10 02:19:34	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1ad4e2…
06-10 02:19:31	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	42	49¢	$21	0x66b1a3…
06-10 02:19:31	btc updown 5m 1781058000	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x60a475…
06-10 02:14:54	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc58db3…
06-10 02:14:52	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xe06388…
06-10 02:14:52	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x691c6d…
06-10 02:14:51	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3f248…
06-10 02:14:51	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb64147…
06-10 02:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ccd12…
06-10 02:14:46	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xdd62be…
06-10 02:14:46	btc updown 5m 1781057700	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$15	0x2c4cb6…
06-10 01:44:54	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Down	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0xbb3534…
06-10 01:44:54	btc updown 5m 1781055900	Down	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x12a79b…
06-10 01:36:31	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	301	43¢	$129	0xab44c2…
06-10 01:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781055000	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb356f3…
06-10 01:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781055000	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x264071…
06-10 01:30:04	btc updown 5m 1781055000	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x16c2a1…
06-10 01:09:54	btc updown 5m 1781053800	Down	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x7d3146…
06-10 01:09:46	btc updown 5m 1781053800	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0x3ecb32…
06-10 00:50:00	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Down	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0x3fa100…
06-10 00:49:55	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Down	BUY	49	47¢	$23	0x14b7e7…
06-10 00:49:54	btc updown 5m 1781052600	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x4c88c1…
06-10 00:34:48	btc updown 5m 1781051700	Down	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xcf9b39…