Livid-Dulcimer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

536

Trades

733

lifetime

Volume

$286.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$390

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-24 21:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% -$3,574

Politics

0% 0% -$800

Other

0% 33% -$282

Sports

0% 0% -$150

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:30 UTC	3	$4.1K	2,161	2,161	+0	Down	+$140	09-20 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 18:25 UTC	3	$4.1K	2,155	2,144	+11	Up	+$133	04-07 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:40 UTC	2	$4.1K	2,074	2,074	+0	Up	+$55	10-04 08:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 01:30 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,092	0	+4,092	Down	+$92	04-05 01:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC	2	$4.0K	4,075	0	+4,075	Down	+$75	04-05 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:05 UTC	4	$3.0K	3,474	0	+3,474	Down	+$474	04-05 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 06:10 UTC	3	$2.4K	1,451	1,418	+32	Down	+$437	04-19 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:35 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,355	1,330	+26	Up	+$342	04-17 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:40 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,351	1,326	+25	Down	+$338	04-17 02:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:15 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,351	1,326	+25	Down	+$338	04-17 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:25 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,351	1,326	+25	Down	+$285	04-17 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:10 UTC	3	$2.2K	1,675	1,627	+49	Up	+$267	04-17 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$2.1K	1,196	1,196	+0	Down	+$136	10-04 15:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 02:35 UTC	3	$2.1K	1,144	1,144	+0	Up	+$133	09-20 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:30 UTC	3	$2.1K	1,351	1,326	+25	Up	+$157	04-17 02:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 06:30 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,155	1,155	+0	Up	+$129	10-04 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,131	1,131	+0	Up	+$97	10-04 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:45 UTC	3	$2.1K	1,119	1,119	+0	Down	+$85	10-04 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$2.1K	1,190	1,190	+0	Up	+$77	10-04 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,110	1,110	+0	Up	+$75	10-04 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 01:20 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,149	1,139	+11	Down	+$71	04-08 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,090	1,090	+0	Down	+$69	10-04 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	Up	+$59	10-04 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:20 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,066	1,066	+0	Down	+$56	10-04 14:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	2	$2.1K	1,063	1,063	+0	Up	+$52	10-04 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:50 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,087	1,087	+0	Up	+$49	10-04 11:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:40 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Up	+$42	10-04 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 21:15 UTC	3	$2.0K	1,147	1,136	+11	Down	+$41	04-17 21:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:15 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,063	1,063	+0	Up	+$20	10-04 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	3	$2.0K	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	+$14	10-04 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 21:50:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	603	83¢	$500	0x0842d2…
10-24 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x60bbb6…
10-24 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	151	42¢	$63	0xb4e7ce…
10-24 19:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	418	96¢	$400	0x5518e0…
10-24 19:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xcce0a3…
10-24 19:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x07cf8d…
10-24 19:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x210b5b…
10-24 13:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0xa5fece…
10-24 13:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xa5dd54…
10-17 07:53:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	303	66¢	$200	0xf1ac82…
10-17 07:47:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	229	87¢	$200	0x7787c6…
10-17 07:16:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0xfc0ab5…
10-17 07:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	338	99¢	$335	0xe45347…
10-17 07:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0x89fdff…
10-17 07:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x8cf558…
10-17 07:04:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x886450…
10-17 06:42:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x1caac2…
10-17 06:08:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	221	90¢	$200	0xec645a…
10-12 11:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xb67ca5…
10-12 11:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0x3fb2f1…
10-12 11:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	334	60¢	$200	0x86efa1…
10-12 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x99c4e6…
10-12 11:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xadf70c…
10-12 10:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x7a1238…
10-12 10:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x72fac0…
10-12 10:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd75d66…
10-12 10:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xc11fa1…
10-11 23:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	316	23¢	$72	0xb72005…
10-11 23:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	316	63¢	$200	0x28fed5…
10-11 23:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x440216…
10-11 23:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	278	92¢	$255	0x1cc5f7…
10-11 23:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x4de457…
10-10 17:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xe41a6b…
10-10 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,067	94¢	$1,000	0x3c238a…
10-10 17:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	267	80¢	$213	0x5ad229…
10-10 17:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x9cd5e2…
10-10 17:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x1bcccd…
10-10 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	241	92¢	$221	0xecab90…
10-10 16:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x5d27a8…
10-10 16:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,049	95¢	$1,000	0x129fbe…
10-10 16:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x1597aa…
10-10 16:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	226	88¢	$200	0x2330c7…
10-10 16:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x5dfc52…
10-10 16:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0396ef…
10-10 15:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1,035	97¢	$1,000	0x6150a1…
10-10 15:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	229	88¢	$200	0x4dc849…
10-10 10:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0x5b94c0…
10-10 10:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xa43ebc…
10-10 09:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	267	6¢	$16	0x99b405…
10-10 09:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0xaf620d…
10-10 09:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1,027	97¢	$1,000	0xa8cfd3…
10-10 09:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,025	98¢	$1,000	0x7514c3…
10-10 09:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	260	96¢	$250	0xb0650e…
10-10 08:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xeaa6f2…
10-10 08:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x8ab386…
10-10 08:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	322	93¢	$300	0x69fd47…
10-10 08:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x4550de…
10-10 07:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xd2294a…
10-10 07:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x19a5cd…
10-10 07:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0x8ce922…
10-09 05:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xb550d4…
10-09 05:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x318a75…
10-07 09:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,181	85¢	$1,000	0xae6783…
10-07 08:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xb6d420…
10-07 08:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1,069	94¢	$1,000	0xd69c89…
10-07 08:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	326	92¢	$300	0x0d6750…
10-07 05:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	382	78¢	$300	0xaa8a1e…
10-07 04:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0x78f972…
10-07 04:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1,092	92¢	$1,000	0x957571…
10-07 04:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,065	94¢	$1,000	0x846fb2…
10-07 04:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	482	83¢	$400	0x59b19a…
10-07 04:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x2f7934…
10-05 08:30:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	243	82¢	$200	0xe683e9…
10-05 06:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x454845…
10-05 06:37:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x1c8c72…
10-05 05:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	337	89¢	$299	0x659f35…
10-05 05:52:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	337	89¢	$299	0xb53307…
10-05 04:54:49	spain snap election called by october 31	No	BUY	1,132	26¢	$300	0x2b4569…
10-04 15:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,193	84¢	$1,000	0x4b8f00…
10-04 15:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1,196	95¢	$1,136	0x3e890b…
10-04 15:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	410	85¢	$349	0xf87563…
10-04 15:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	786	83¢	$651	0xa6c02a…
10-04 15:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1,169	86¢	$1,000	0x28b36e…
10-04 15:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,089	92¢	$1,000	0x981e04…
10-04 14:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1,131	97¢	$1,097	0xb4b711…
10-04 14:57:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1,131	88¢	$1,000	0xaa4671…
10-04 14:51:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,026	98¢	$1,000	0xf87e43…
10-04 14:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	231	95¢	$219	0x546833…
10-04 14:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	231	87¢	$200	0x4f719d…
10-04 14:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1,066	99¢	$1,056	0x351ced…
10-04 14:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,066	94¢	$1,000	0xad4449…
10-04 13:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1,032	97¢	$999	0x49f592…
10-04 13:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	924	91¢	$842	0xd5bf58…
10-04 13:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	266	88¢	$236	0x186e01…
10-04 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	819	83¢	$682	0x89d166…
10-04 13:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	371	86¢	$318	0x08f443…
10-04 12:48:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1,090	98¢	$1,069	0x0a8e59…
10-04 12:47:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1,090	92¢	$1,000	0x5dc4f3…
10-04 12:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1,063	99¢	$1,052	0xdae543…
10-04 12:22:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,063	94¢	$1,000	0x8082ae…