Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$57,577

Trades

6,258

Unique wallets

918

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

36¢

Latest NO mid

64¢

End date

2026-10-04

First seen

2026-10-04

last 10-04 15:40

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +1,726 (anon) +1,675 (anon) +1,453 Embellished-Doorknob +1,375 Impolite-Sister +1,233 (anon) +1,113 Rural-Wharf-Parable +1,084 (anon) +1,037

NO holders

(anon) +1,917 (anon) +1,714 Obvious-Welfare +1,368 (anon) +1,344 Livid-Dulcimer +1,193 (anon) +1,164 (anon) +1,123 Husky-Fascia +1,060

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +4.5¢ (top1%: 52% YES on $23.7K vs crowd: 48% YES on $50.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	182	$15.1K	$16.4K	$1.2K
🐬 Dolphin	221	$6.2K	$6.5K	$314
🐟 Fish	307	$2.0K	$2.8K	$751
🦐 Shrimp	208	$664	$725	$61

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	195	$12.4K	$11.3K	+$1.0K
🏆 Top 5%	108	$3.8K	$1.4K	+$2.3K
✅ Top 10%	53	$291	$421	$130
Median	51	$412	$104	+$309
Below median	211	$723	$1.5K	$740
⚠️ Bottom 10%	122	$783	$1.5K	$672
🔻 Bottom 5%	116	$2.6K	$3.7K	$1.1K
💀 Bottom 1%	62	$3.1K	$6.6K	$3.4K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xa215…8a17	Down	+1,917	$25	$25	5	10-04 15:40
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Up	+1,726	$779	$779	65	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x41e2…a354	Down	+1,714	$1,055	$1,055	41	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xc1cd…15e3	Up	+1,675	$908	$908	1	10-04 15:34
(anonymous) 0x239e…1c10	Up	+1,453	$478	$478	82	10-04 15:39
Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79	Up	+1,375	$1,038	$1,038	9	10-04 15:39
Obvious-Welfare 0x60c2…4746	Down	+1,368	$930	$930	28	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x239e…1c10	Down	+1,344	$430	$430	49	10-04 15:39
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+1,233	$398	$398	54	10-04 15:39
Livid-Dulcimer 0x401a…1000	Down	+1,193	$1,000	$1,000	1	10-04 15:37
(anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6	Down	+1,164	$800	$800	15	10-04 15:36
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Down	+1,123	$679	$679	49	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x3048…7537	Up	+1,113	$359	$359	58	10-04 15:39
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+1,084	$345	$345	21	10-04 15:39
Husky-Fascia 0x3b5a…b293	Down	+1,060	$675	$675	21	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Up	+1,037	$660	$660	11	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Up	+1,029	$288	$288	43	10-04 15:39
Hot-Cashier 0xbbaf…f3c9	Down	+1,014	$477	$477	5	10-04 15:34
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Down	+1,011	$718	$718	30	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e	Up	+1,009	$313	$313	25	10-04 15:38
Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd	Up	+981	$363	$363	30	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+953	$350	$350	18	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Down	+859	$503	$503	35	10-04 15:39
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Down	+844	$632	$632	59	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93	Up	+810	$790	$790	6	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3	Up	+759	$744	$744	4	10-04 15:39
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Down	+757	$337	$337	62	10-04 15:39
Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d	Up	+741	$206	$206	72	10-04 15:39
Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f	Up	+732	$275	$275	59	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xc533…69a9	Up	+722	$246	$246	37	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602	Down	+719	$502	$502	41	10-04 15:39
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Down	+647	$114	$114	2	10-04 15:39
Extra-Small-Implement 0xf27d…9a88	Down	+636	$532	$532	11	10-04 15:39
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+600	$594	$594	4	10-04 15:40
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Down	+600	$6	$6	7	10-04 15:39
Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79	Down	+600	$460	$460	7	10-04 15:39
Peppery-Digging 0x2ed9…f271	Down	+544	$369	$369	8	10-04 15:38
Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c	Up	+539	$140	$140	46	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x4483…54c6	Down	+528	$421	$421	51	10-04 15:39
Joyous-Internet 0x8759…d94f	Down	+528	$448	$448	12	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xbc1f…723f	Down	+525	$379	$379	5	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xc889…f8c1	Up	+510	$500	$500	1	10-04 15:39
Frail-Rhetoric 0x90b5…6bae	Down	+508	$200	$200	1	10-04 15:38
Loathsome-Restroom 0xbaf8…7f77	Down	+489	$300	$300	3	10-04 15:35
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+484	$119	$119	19	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6	Down	+478	$284	$284	16	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x80ef…e019	Down	+473	$273	$273	47	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9	Up	+463	$156	$156	31	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9	Down	+460	$301	$301	33	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x80ef…e019	Up	+455	$147	$147	41	10-04 15:39
Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c	Down	+414	$278	$278	33	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Up	+408	$88	$88	26	10-04 15:38
(anonymous) 0xd855…a182	Down	+401	$4	$4	3	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xb129…890c	Up	+386	$205	$205	3	10-04 15:38
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+372	$198	$198	20	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x762d…964c	Up	+368	$358	$358	5	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Up	+363	$150	$150	41	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6	Up	+360	$125	$125	10	10-04 15:39
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	Up	+356	$129	$129	26	10-04 15:38
(anonymous) 0x28cc…904f	Up	+330	$72	$72	6	10-04 15:38