Realized P&L
+$150
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
66.0%
Resolved
11,046
Trades
22,440
lifetime
Volume
$62.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$153
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 10-27 04:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 126 days
Categories
Other
50% 64% -$78
Crypto
39% 66% +$275
Politics
6% 53% -$34
Sports
5% 61% +$5
Tech
0% 36% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 40% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 1292 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +17 $16 92¢ $16 $0 09-06 12:28
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +14 $13 98¢ $14 +$2 09-01 15:10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +9 $7 94¢ $8 +$1 10-02 15:08
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8 $7 92¢ $8 +$0 09-06 12:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +9 $6 88¢ $8 +$2 08-24 21:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +11 $3 63¢ $7 +$4 08-31 11:39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? No +10 $6 54¢ $6 -$1 10-10 12:09
will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31 No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$1 09-27 21:28
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 10-01 08:19
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? No +7 $5 69¢ $5 +$0 10-10 12:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 10-03 14:45
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 10-16 18:49
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? Yes +10 $4 45¢ $5 +$0 10-10 12:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 08-16 13:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 +$0 09-28 17:13
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +22 $4 19¢ $4 +$0 08-22 19:10
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 10-13 20:57
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +6 $5 64¢ $4 -$1 10-04 03:58
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $0 09-26 11:26
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 -$1 09-29 18:19
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4 $4 92¢ $4 $0 10-04 03:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +4 $2 78¢ $3 +$1 10-26 02:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 08-20 08:40
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 +$0 10-03 04:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4 $3 82¢ $3 $0 09-26 00:32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 10-23 16:04
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +4 $2 70¢ $3 +$0 09-28 08:47
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +4 $3 72¢ $3 -$1 08-31 12:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$0 10-16 16:31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? No +3 $1 76¢ $3 +$2 10-07 19:35