Huge-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$982

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

551

35,484 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$13.8K

$256.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$303

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-11 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 47% -$214

Other

22% 40% -$1,456

Sports

0% 100% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		+303	$268	97¢	$294	+$26	08-07 21:19
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+303	$46	3¢	$9	-$36	08-06 15:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	514	$8.4K	16,785	6	+16,780	Yes	+$176	03-15 19:49
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	119	$3.6K	6,710	224	+6,485	Up	-$169	05-21 17:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	61	$3.5K	5,077	1,769	+3,309	No	+$52	07-29 17:12
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	59	$2.3K	4,616	507	+4,109	Down	-$404	05-18 15:43
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	53	$1.9K	3,552	370	+3,181	No	-$27	05-16 21:09
spy up or down on august 11 2026	65	$1.7K	1,934	1,229	+704	Down	-$79	08-11 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 21:00 UTC	117	$1.5K	1,821	1,224	+597	Up	-$33	03-07 21:08
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	11	$1.5K	1,575	969	+607	open	—	08-07 21:19
spy up or down on august 3 2026	27	$1.4K	2,838	150	+2,688	Up	+$36	08-03 13:25
spy up or down on july 28 2026	68	$1.4K	2,862	6	+2,857	Up	+$17	07-28 13:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	13	$1.4K	1,149	550	+598	Up	+$0	05-14 19:15
spy up or down on august 13 2026	72	$1.4K	1,747	867	+880	Up	+$15	08-13 14:06
spy up or down on july 8 2026	82	$1.3K	2,668	1	+2,668	Down	+$20	07-08 13:21
spy up or down on august 10 2026	45	$1.1K	1,798	795	+1,003	Down	-$21	08-10 19:09
spy up or down on august 14 2026	67	$1.1K	1,925	399	+1,527	Down	-$207	08-14 19:25
spy up or down on july 31 2026	33	$1.1K	1,417	411	+1,006	Up	-$12	07-31 14:55
sea lec cre 2026 03 08 cre	38	$1.0K	1,246	946	+300	No	+$1	03-08 11:53
spy up or down on august 17 2026	28	$1.0K	1,652	311	+1,341	Down	-$72	08-17 15:26
sea gen rom 2026 03 08 rom	46	$966	1,114	807	+308	No	+$2	03-08 17:05
spy up or down on august 4 2026	36	$908	1,978	446	+1,533	Up	-$13	08-04 13:25
sea mil int 2026 03 08 total 2pt5	55	$845	1,082	602	+480	Under	+$0	03-08 19:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$797	1,550	300	+1,250	Yes	-$461	09-11 14:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	8	$768	620	320	+300	Yes	+$132	07-29 14:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	28	$740	1,493	0	+1,493	Down	-$49	05-19 12:00
spy up or down on august 6 2026	33	$680	1,338	28	+1,310	Down	+$10	08-06 13:49
sea bol ver 2026 03 08 bol	43	$670	777	575	+203	No	+$0	03-08 14:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 21:30 UTC	43	$629	650	608	+42	Down	+$25	03-07 21:32
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?	30	$579	1,094	36	+1,058	Up	+$7	07-21 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 15:45 UTC	40	$570	580	643	-63	Up	-$48	03-13 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 17:25 UTC	35	$562	958	200	+758	Down	+$37	03-18 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 14:06:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x49328f…
09-08 21:44:54	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	84	50¢	$42	0x579059…
09-08 21:22:40	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x562881…
09-08 20:44:06	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x85c51b…
09-08 20:37:25	spy up or down on september 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa05c49…
09-08 19:38:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0x0b0290…
09-02 23:38:48	spy up or down on september 3 2026	Up	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xf643a5…
09-01 08:09:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 1?	Up	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x5ced65…
08-28 14:19:16	spy up or down on august 28 2026	Up	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x81ee8e…
08-27 11:46:34	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xd68fa4…
08-26 20:21:28	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd441c9…
08-26 20:21:28	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x09c997…
08-26 20:21:28	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x024a1d…
08-26 20:21:27	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd80e8a…
08-26 20:21:27	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbe5802…
08-26 20:21:27	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x670968…
08-26 20:21:27	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2fa08b…
08-26 20:21:27	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x088d8c…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xdf7e8e…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xca19e6…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xafca88…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x82964d…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6316a9…
08-26 20:21:25	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2c1e79…
08-26 20:21:24	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7dab5e…
08-26 20:21:04	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x37c97a…
08-26 20:21:00	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8e8de1…
08-26 20:21:00	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x814f84…
08-26 20:20:34	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf4bc70…
08-26 20:20:28	spy up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x099022…
08-26 19:32:49	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x829e0d…
08-26 13:44:58	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0x4cd51d…
08-26 13:44:58	spy up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x4cb68b…
08-25 12:09:58	spy up or down on august 25 2026	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xf808ba…
08-24 18:30:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xe79086…
08-24 17:19:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x2de3b2…
08-24 17:19:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x53b3c6…
08-20 22:12:19	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x252a1e…
08-20 20:17:42	spx up or down on august 21 2026	Up	BUY	96	54¢	$52	0x671c88…
08-20 08:28:12	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	90	49¢	$44	0x5336ec…
08-20 08:24:37	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa7921b…
08-19 20:18:46	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x872e85…
08-19 20:18:34	spx up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xcd8dcb…
08-19 11:23:45	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x1520d4…
08-19 06:59:45	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	202	42¢	$85	0xbee4bb…
08-19 06:57:45	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6ffc0a…
08-19 06:57:40	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x79fb43…
08-19 04:00:13	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	170	51¢	$87	0x036e00…
08-19 03:48:36	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xde3330…
08-19 03:48:33	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x90c4b2…
08-19 03:48:33	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8bcb60…
08-19 03:48:31	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2e5ef…
08-19 03:43:04	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa63606…
08-19 03:39:57	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x923368…
08-19 03:39:57	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8155ab…
08-19 03:34:15	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe6004d…
08-19 03:34:07	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xd3b9a7…
08-19 03:33:34	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8e9632…
08-19 00:12:52	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	93	50¢	$47	0x919b2a…
08-18 22:51:34	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xfb0e59…
08-18 12:31:15	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	SELL	369	14¢	$52	0x8077c0…
08-18 11:08:01	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	83	21¢	$17	0xf50373…
08-18 10:05:18	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xba8b6d…
08-18 08:00:27	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x0c14dd…
08-18 07:31:45	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x9e135c…
08-18 07:18:42	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xe4fec4…
08-18 06:00:09	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xdef6e8…
08-18 06:00:07	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x2e9ecf…
08-18 05:05:33	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	125	74¢	$92	0x68c8d3…
08-18 05:05:13	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	54	75¢	$40	0xd32655…
08-18 05:04:52	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x2e4202…
08-18 05:03:57	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	181	29¢	$52	0x133243…
08-18 03:59:51	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xba4c37…
08-18 03:56:33	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xacde6f…
08-18 03:44:19	spy up or down on august 18 2026	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb43759…
08-17 15:26:18	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xe0d55d…
08-17 12:26:58	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0x000f9d…
08-17 12:26:45	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	SELL	310	52¢	$162	0x7db86f…
08-17 12:26:40	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	135	61¢	$82	0x36664b…
08-17 12:26:39	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	135	63¢	$85	0xaf27a8…
08-17 12:26:39	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x885446…
08-17 12:20:57	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0x99c91d…
08-17 11:54:48	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0xd0cd75…
08-17 11:53:48	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0xd98d99…
08-17 11:53:27	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x6f6030…
08-17 11:53:06	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	195	65¢	$127	0x0e16d5…
08-17 11:01:37	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xca608b…
08-17 09:55:25	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3dd5be…
08-17 06:02:04	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xc14352…
08-17 05:58:49	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xfbaa3f…
08-17 05:25:04	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xc1ac99…
08-17 05:25:04	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xa58113…
08-17 05:25:00	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	23	63¢	$15	0x01f4b9…
08-17 05:14:18	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x27b525…
08-17 05:13:58	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xfc0511…
08-17 05:13:33	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x581ccc…
08-17 05:13:10	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	164	38¢	$62	0x1ff31b…
08-17 03:47:37	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	118	62¢	$73	0x840c79…
08-17 03:47:25	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x24f284…
08-17 03:47:15	spy up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	21	60¢	$13	0xfdcbd6…