Grown-Tanktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

170

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-28 18:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

58% 8% -$427

Politics

20% 6% -$1,927

Crypto

20% 40% -$636

Sports

2% 0% -$211

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+255	$28	3¢	$7	-$21	05-28 23:01
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		+286	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	06-25 03:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$2.6K	2,156	2,156	+0	Yes	+$1,379	04-12 22:24
New pandemic in 2026?	2	$1.1K	4,426	4,426	+0	open	—	05-14 04:54
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$500	1,786	0	+1,786	No	-$500	02-20 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$460	333	328	+5	Yes	+$60	04-16 06:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$431	907	0	+907	Yes	-$431	01-30 10:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$373	1,401	1,401	+0	No	+$109	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	2	$345	400	400	+0	Up	+$145	05-12 12:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?	5	$235	9,134	0	+9,134	No	-$235	04-19 12:05
2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	2	$223	1,236	0	+1,236	No	-$223	04-17 06:00
2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner austin smotherman win	2	$200	1,028	0	+1,028	No	-$200	03-01 18:57
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?	1	$175	1,229	0	+1,229	No	-$175	06-21 18:34
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$170	379	0	+379	No	-$170	05-12 09:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	2	$150	6,893	0	+6,893	No	-$150	04-19 10:42
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$142	886	886	+0	No	-$10	05-28 22:52
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$140	1,192	0	+1,192	No	-$140	05-15 14:36
will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	2	$137	428	0	+428	No	-$137	04-16 02:23
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	3	$135	1,171	0	+1,171	No	-$135	04-14 06:44
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	4	$131	1,582	0	+1,582	No	-$131	04-16 02:09
Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$121	6,118	0	+6,118	No	-$121	05-14 19:47
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$119	14,984	0	+14,984	No	-$119	04-21 06:01
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$117	5,001	0	+5,001	No	-$117	05-13 14:51
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$114	1,429	1,429	+0	No	-$86	04-09 20:03
Trump out as President by May 31?	3	$110	17,357	6,857	+10,500	No	-$28	05-21 13:21
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	1	$105	192	0	+192	No	-$105	06-25 20:16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	2	$95	559	988	-429	Yes	-$374	05-28 03:08
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner ludvig aberg win	1	$93	762	0	+762	No	-$93	03-06 07:49
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$84	6,340	0	+6,340	No	-$84	04-18 07:54
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	3	$79	445	0	+445	No	-$79	04-20 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$73	98	98	+0	Down	+$15	05-15 04:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	2	$70	3,045	0	+3,045	No	-$70	04-16 07:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 18:41:20	South Africa leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xf8ab8f…
06-25 20:16:52	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	192	55¢	$105	0xa6b3b1…
06-25 03:04:56	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xb83263…
06-25 02:57:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x89172f…
06-25 02:29:22	Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	556	9¢	$50	0x18a8be…
06-24 00:38:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x39be82…
06-21 18:34:43	Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	BUY	1,229	14¢	$175	0xbd1f22…
06-21 17:58:43	Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 U.S. Open?	Yes	BUY	726	5¢	$35	0xebc3a7…
05-28 23:01:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	255	11¢	$28	0x9c3b03…
05-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6f3742…
05-28 22:55:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$8	0xd0f895…
05-28 22:53:24	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,021	3¢	$27	0xbb8ba3…
05-28 22:52:05	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	886	7¢	$66	0x29df0c…
05-28 03:10:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	886	9¢	$76	0xfa7c76…
05-28 03:08:04	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	988	8¢	$75	0x38e563…
05-21 13:21:45	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,500	0¢	$21	0x30e8bc…
05-21 13:18:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$32	0x162bb4…
05-15 14:39:42	Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,357	1¢	$20	0x683ec7…
05-15 14:36:52	Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	1,192	12¢	$140	0x99ac98…
05-15 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbc7a08…
05-15 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6d5a13…
05-15 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb41f0a…
05-15 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8003f5…
05-15 11:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x93b212…
05-15 06:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcbaa5d…
05-15 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x465b75…
05-15 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdfce38…
05-15 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb5049e…
05-15 06:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xfe191f…
05-15 06:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0993ba…
05-15 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x401ca8…
05-15 06:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x0ae171…
05-15 06:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf8d0db…
05-15 06:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57cc38…
05-15 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xddd64b…
05-15 06:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x189d50…
05-15 05:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x786faa…
05-15 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x299c8b…
05-15 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x13410e…
05-15 04:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x46aea6…
05-15 04:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x729a31…
05-15 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x06199c…
05-15 04:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	98	45¢	$44	0x42bb23…
05-15 04:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	98	29¢	$29	0x761a5b…
05-15 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe0d5ea…
05-15 04:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x73c3e0…
05-15 04:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x69cdda…
05-15 04:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcbcef5…
05-14 21:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x76109d…
05-14 19:47:04	Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,784	3¢	$71	0x0f9bac…
05-14 19:46:22	Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	3,333	1¢	$50	0x0e0b35…
05-14 19:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x4889ed…
05-14 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x687be8…
05-14 19:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa79933…
05-14 13:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb016f0…
05-14 10:39:30	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,476	3¢	$47	0x53f4ec…
05-14 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xb95049…
05-14 10:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xedf664…
05-14 10:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x224576…
05-14 10:20:45	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x80e8e3…
05-14 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x1edb5a…
05-14 10:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe7ccf2…
05-14 10:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x94b752…
05-14 10:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x77be8e…
05-14 10:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x0c9b05…
05-14 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xc356b3…
05-14 10:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8d93d5…
05-14 09:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x478d4f…
05-14 09:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xf4ea50…
05-14 09:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xd7ee3e…
05-14 09:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x742b5d…
05-14 09:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x024f79…
05-14 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x25293d…
05-14 09:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xcf9500…
05-14 09:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe60d16…
05-14 09:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x473dee…
05-14 09:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x27bae4…
05-14 09:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xae5fc2…
05-14 09:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x388b76…
05-14 09:00:08	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x74c255…
05-14 08:59:38	Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4bdedc…
05-14 08:59:17	Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	588	2¢	$10	0x710b2e…
05-14 08:58:49	Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0xcfc98c…
05-14 08:55:47	Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0xdb1182…
05-14 08:54:33	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$5	0x9c09a6…
05-14 08:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0x82112a…
05-14 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4cd20b…
05-14 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7abeef…
05-14 08:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc1a415…
05-14 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1dadb1…
05-14 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x37c661…
05-14 08:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x940906…
05-14 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x969013…
05-14 08:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6bc1d7…
05-14 08:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x1d394c…
05-14 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa43193…
05-14 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b94f3…
05-14 07:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x14d8db…
05-14 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xb021e1…
05-14 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0eca3d…