Grown-Tanktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$172

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$9.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-25 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Crypto

24% 51% +$182

Politics

23% 0% $-10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+1,021	$27	0¢	$1	$-26	05-28 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$2.6K	2,156	2,156	+0	open	—	04-12 22:24
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	1	$500	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	02-20 13:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$460	333	328	+5	open	—	04-16 06:21
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$431	907	0	+907	open	—	01-30 10:13
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$373	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	05-12 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8AM ET	2	$345	400	400	+0	Up	+$145	05-12 12:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by April 30, 2026?	5	$235	9,134	0	+9,134	open	—	04-19 12:05
2026 rbc heritage winner scottie scheffler win	2	$223	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	04-17 06:00
2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner austin smotherman win	2	$200	1,028	0	+1,028	open	—	03-01 18:57
Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	1	$170	379	0	+379	open	—	05-12 09:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?	2	$150	6,893	0	+6,893	open	—	04-19 10:42
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$142	886	886	+0	open	—	05-28 22:52
will trump say stupid during fox interview on wednesday	2	$137	428	0	+428	open	—	04-16 02:23
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 14 2026	3	$135	1,171	0	+1,171	open	—	04-14 06:44
will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	4	$131	1,582	0	+1,582	open	—	04-16 02:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$119	14,984	0	+14,984	open	—	04-21 06:01
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	3	$117	5,001	0	+5,001	open	—	05-13 14:51
will bryson dechambeau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$114	1,429	1,429	+0	open	—	04-09 20:03
Trump out as President by May 31?	3	$110	17,357	6,857	+10,500	open	—	05-21 13:21
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner ludvig aberg win	1	$93	762	0	+762	open	—	03-06 07:49
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$84	6,340	0	+6,340	open	—	04-18 07:54
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?	3	$79	445	0	+445	open	—	04-20 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$73	98	98	+0	open	—	05-15 04:43
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	2	$70	3,045	0	+3,045	open	—	04-16 07:54
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by April 30, 2026?	2	$70	2,122	0	+2,122	open	—	04-17 20:47
2026 rbc heritage winner xander schauffele win	1	$67	960	0	+960	open	—	04-16 06:24
Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	2	$60	1,033	0	+1,033	open	—	04-14 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$58	89	42	+47	open	—	05-14 10:07
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$55	932	0	+932	open	—	04-08 07:28
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$55	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	05-14 08:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 02:57:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x89172f…
05-28 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x6f3742…
05-28 22:55:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	224	4¢	$8	0xd0f895…
05-28 22:53:24	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,021	3¢	$27	0xbb8ba3…
05-28 22:52:05	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	886	7¢	$66	0x29df0c…
05-28 03:10:17	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	886	9¢	$76	0xfa7c76…
05-21 13:21:45	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,500	0¢	$21	0x30e8bc…
05-21 13:18:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	BUY	1,034	3¢	$32	0x162bb4…
05-15 14:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbc7a08…
05-15 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6d5a13…
05-15 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xb41f0a…
05-15 11:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8003f5…
05-15 11:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x93b212…
05-15 06:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcbaa5d…
05-15 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x465b75…
05-15 06:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdfce38…
05-15 06:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb5049e…
05-15 06:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xfe191f…
05-15 06:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x0993ba…
05-15 06:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x401ca8…
05-15 06:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x0ae171…
05-15 06:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xf8d0db…
05-15 06:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x57cc38…
05-15 06:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xddd64b…
05-15 06:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x189d50…
05-15 05:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x786faa…
05-15 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x299c8b…
05-15 04:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x13410e…
05-15 04:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x46aea6…
05-15 04:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x729a31…
05-15 04:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x06199c…
05-15 04:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	98	45¢	$44	0x42bb23…
05-15 04:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	98	29¢	$29	0x761a5b…
05-15 04:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xe0d5ea…
05-15 04:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x73c3e0…
05-15 04:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x69cdda…
05-15 04:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcbcef5…
05-14 21:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x76109d…
05-14 19:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x4889ed…
05-14 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x687be8…
05-14 19:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa79933…
05-14 13:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb016f0…
05-14 10:39:30	Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,476	3¢	$47	0x53f4ec…
05-14 10:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0xb95049…
05-14 10:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xedf664…
05-14 10:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x224576…
05-14 10:20:45	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	14¢	$8	0x80e8e3…
05-14 10:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x1edb5a…
05-14 10:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe7ccf2…
05-14 10:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	10¢	$4	0x94b752…
05-14 10:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	42	69¢	$29	0x77be8e…
05-14 10:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x0c9b05…
05-14 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	125	5¢	$6	0xc356b3…
05-14 10:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x8d93d5…
05-14 09:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x478d4f…
05-14 09:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xf4ea50…
05-14 09:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0xd7ee3e…
05-14 09:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x742b5d…
05-14 09:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x024f79…
05-14 09:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x25293d…
05-14 09:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xcf9500…
05-14 09:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe60d16…
05-14 09:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x473dee…
05-14 09:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x27bae4…
05-14 09:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xae5fc2…
05-14 09:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x388b76…
05-14 08:54:33	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	88	5¢	$5	0x9c09a6…
05-14 08:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0x82112a…
05-14 08:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x4cd20b…
05-14 08:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7abeef…
05-14 08:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc1a415…
05-14 08:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1dadb1…
05-14 08:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x37c661…
05-14 08:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x940906…
05-14 08:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x969013…
05-14 08:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6bc1d7…
05-14 08:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x1d394c…
05-14 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xa43193…
05-14 08:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6b94f3…
05-14 07:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x14d8db…
05-14 07:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0xb021e1…
05-14 07:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x0eca3d…
05-14 07:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x81ee6e…
05-14 07:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xb34189…
05-14 07:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x99a88b…
05-14 07:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x26623c…
05-14 05:45:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	755	5¢	$40	0x664a0b…
05-14 05:43:52	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	421	5¢	$20	0x7fb4bd…
05-14 05:36:31	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	251	2¢	$5	0xd81488…
05-14 05:35:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	199	5¢	$10	0xf97707…
05-14 05:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfe2acf…
05-14 05:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xaef421…
05-14 05:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x780130…
05-14 05:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xef8f83…
05-14 05:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xabccbb…
05-14 05:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	24	67¢	$16	0xf2f7ea…
05-14 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x78bff2…
05-14 05:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x917906…
05-14 04:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x92490a…
05-14 04:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x84d8b0…