Realized P&L
+$236
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
25
Trades
1,320
lifetime
Volume
$164.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$943
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
88% 50% +$230
Crypto
11% 67% +$6
Sports
0%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes -600 $-416 77¢ $-462 $-46 06-16 07:04
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -265 $-136 46¢ $-121 +$16 06-13 19:46
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -318 $-65 30¢ $-95 $-30 07-05 05:11
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +104 $50 60¢ $63 +$13 07-09 10:56
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -200 $-60 27¢ $-54 +$6 06-12 16:35
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -300 $-54 15¢ $-45 +$9 07-19 06:23
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -100 $-21 44¢ $-43 $-22 05-28 05:32
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -112 $-46 30¢ $-33 +$13 05-31 11:47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -78 $-18 22¢ $-17 +$1 06-12 06:29
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -10 $-5 68¢ $-7 $-2 06-10 13:29
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No -10 $-3 23¢ $-2 +$1 06-02 16:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-0 56¢ $-1 $-1 06-10 05:34