Slippery-Stadium — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

91.5%

Resolved

459

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$3.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-09 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 114 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 98% -$42

Other

20% 89% -$1

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	05-14 12:32
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$4	16¢	$1	-$3	05-14 12:33
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$3	11¢	$1	-$2	05-14 12:32
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$4	5¢	$0	-$3	05-14 12:31
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+5	$4	1¢	$0	-$4	05-14 12:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	4	$207	107	100	+7	No	+$0	07-02 20:03
will solana reach 160 january 19 25	3	$188	96	92	+4	No	+$0	01-25 05:26
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	04-07 08:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	30	$60	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	03-21 05:28
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$47	46,741	0	+46,741	No	-$47	02-25 06:18
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on march 18	2	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-17 11:20
will xauusd dip to 4100 by august 10 2026	3	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-10 02:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on May 17?	2	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	05-14 12:19
will tsla reach 360 by august 10 2026	2	$35	20	20	+0	No	-$1	08-10 02:32
will tsla dip to 307 50 by august 10 2026	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-10 02:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 3?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-31 14:52
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	2	$25	20	20	+0	No	-$4	06-02 08:18
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-19 07:56
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	4	$24	12,021	12,021	+0	No	+$0	05-27 09:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 2?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-31 14:52
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 6?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 09:20
will ethereum reach 2700 march 9 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-13 08:01
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on June 5?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-03 09:25
bitcoin above 76k on august 16 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-13 12:51
will bitcoin reach 84k march 9 15	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-13 08:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-31 14:52
ethereum above 2400 on august 7 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-06 01:08
solana above 110 on june 4 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-03 09:21
ethereum above 1900 on june 13 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	06-12 13:42
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 9	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	04-07 08:45
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on June 6?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-03 09:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	2	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	-$4	05-20 17:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on June 6?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	06-03 09:22
will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-28 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 11:35:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 10?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2d2738…
09-09 11:35:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbba679…
09-01 03:54:52	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xddb5e7…
09-01 03:53:03	bitcoin above 84k on september 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5424f4…
08-13 12:51:37	bitcoin above 76k on august 16 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8209ed…
08-13 12:51:22	bitcoin above 76k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1623da…
08-13 12:51:07	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb312ee…
08-13 12:50:49	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x956253…
08-10 02:32:46	will xauusd dip to 4100 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x9d3e3a…
08-10 02:32:03	will tsla reach 360 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x37a8a3…
08-10 02:29:57	will xauusd dip to 4100 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x421c47…
08-10 02:29:30	will tsla reach 360 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x868048…
08-10 02:29:13	will tsla dip to 307 50 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x2b00a7…
08-10 02:23:54	will tsla dip to 307 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x86af5a…
08-10 01:59:43	will xauusd dip to 4100 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x441aba…
08-10 00:19:52	will open dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xa07c59…
08-09 23:49:36	will nflx dip to 65 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xae3c6c…
08-09 23:49:21	will open dip to 2 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x13c9c7…
08-09 23:47:46	will nflx dip to 65 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x222fb3…
08-06 01:13:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53fb02…
08-06 01:13:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9adf10…
08-06 01:13:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62c097…
08-06 01:12:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4b1842…
08-06 01:11:38	will ethereum reach 2500 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x719804…
08-06 01:11:15	will bitcoin reach 76k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x153d94…
08-06 01:10:38	solana above 120 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4ee6b…
08-06 01:10:15	solana above 110 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ee794…
08-06 01:10:00	solana above 110 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeac474…
08-06 01:09:23	ethereum above 2400 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfb01a…
08-06 01:09:05	ethereum above 2300 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa1d277…
08-06 01:08:45	ethereum above 2400 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x37f8c2…
08-06 01:08:11	bitcoin above 74k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06749c…
08-06 01:07:53	bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x113865…
08-06 01:07:36	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe31895…
08-06 01:07:06	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe51808…
07-28 14:38:05	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on July 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f484b…
07-28 14:37:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x537de2…
07-28 14:37:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23fcf5…
07-28 14:36:34	will bitcoin reach 78k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c4c10…
07-28 14:36:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9460c6…
07-28 14:36:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6900f3…
07-28 14:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4106ae…
07-28 14:35:29	will solana reach 130 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8bd053…
07-28 14:35:05	ethereum above 2400 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x59e6c6…
07-28 14:34:55	ethereum above 2300 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef66f7…
07-28 14:34:44	ethereum above 2200 on july 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x670e87…
07-28 14:34:25	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2d947…
07-28 14:33:55	bitcoin above 74k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65aa0b…
07-28 14:33:41	bitcoin above 74k on july 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27de45…
07-28 14:33:28	bitcoin above 68k on july 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x38322c…
07-24 10:22:49	amzn above 275 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf559a4…
07-24 10:22:34	nvda above 235 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x432b7f…
07-24 10:22:18	googl above 375 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61ffa7…
07-24 10:22:01	will nflx reach 85 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x196809…
07-24 10:21:40	open above 6 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76203b…
07-24 10:21:21	tsla above 410 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x206544…
07-24 10:20:58	will abnb reach 158 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3e7a6…
07-24 10:20:34	will aapl reach 360 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2733f…
07-24 10:20:21	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ee20d…
07-24 10:20:03	will msft reach 442 50 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf3e50e…
07-24 10:19:40	will pltr reach 150 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39c9fe…
07-24 10:19:22	will meta reach 710 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c5118…
07-24 10:19:09	will googl reach 380 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb931c5…
07-24 10:18:57	will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x802e87…
07-24 10:18:43	will amzn reach 272 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51ccf0…
07-24 10:18:31	will spy reach 770 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6351d…
07-24 10:17:27	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x040aba…
07-24 10:17:10	bitcoin above 76k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x556965…
07-24 10:17:00	bitcoin above 72k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a0476…
07-24 10:16:49	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaa5a4f…
07-24 10:16:37	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8a934f…
07-24 10:16:18	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c4be6…
07-20 03:27:39	will nvda dip to 176 by july 20 2026	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x667bec…
07-20 03:15:21	will nvda dip to 176 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb6817d…
07-06 05:25:17	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x212a53…
07-06 05:25:07	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x8830e7…
07-06 02:58:34	will meta reach 650 by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xf7637e…
07-06 02:56:50	will meta reach 650 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x644c7c…
07-02 20:03:16	will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xb6d65a…
07-02 20:01:10	will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x75bed9…
07-02 08:35:02	will rklb dip to 72 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf78e01…
07-02 08:34:38	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa71f8c…
07-02 08:34:22	nvda above 165 on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x305887…
07-02 08:33:50	Will Meta (META) close at <$500 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 29 – Jul 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5526ef…
07-02 08:33:16	will googl dip to 305 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74b9eb…
07-02 08:32:49	will pltr dip to 93 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x57e209…
07-02 08:32:26	will aapl dip to 256 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0edb45…
07-02 08:32:11	will tsla dip to 330 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf9653…
07-02 08:31:28	will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6630…
07-02 08:31:22	will meta dip to 490 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0afd9c…
07-02 08:30:59	will spy dip to 700 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x37a359…
06-25 10:53:26	solana above 110 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe78f98…
06-25 10:53:16	solana above 90 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18ee3d…
06-25 10:53:01	solana above 80 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f79d…
06-25 10:51:34	bitcoin above 72k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadd7f9…
06-25 10:51:17	bitcoin above 70k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa87850…
06-25 10:51:02	bitcoin above 66k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f04b7…
06-19 07:56:02	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa1c5ce…
06-19 07:54:16	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa599a4…
06-12 13:57:24	tsla above 450 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8cf1e8…