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Realized P&L
-$57
Unrealized P&L
+$168
Hit rate
31.3%
Resolved
116
Trades
885
lifetime
Volume
$5.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1.17K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-28
last 11-09 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 19% -$29
Crypto
16% 44% -$16
Politics
14% 12% -$12
Tech
7% — —
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 457 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +124 $84 96¢ $118 +$35 11-05 19:26
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? Yes +99 $81 89¢ $88 +$7 11-08 06:44
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Yes +70 $10 96¢ $68 +$58 11-07 14:03
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026? Yes +73 $57 82¢ $60 +$3 11-08 14:16
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP? No +54 $46 93¢ $50 +$4 11-06 12:47
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31? No +49 $46 97¢ $48 +$2 11-06 21:05
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 13? Yes +49 $34 96¢ $47 +$13 11-06 23:03
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +49 $41 90¢ $44 +$3 11-05 22:29
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for between $200m and $225m at auction? No +65 $46 63¢ $41 -$5 11-09 17:21
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? Yes +42 $25 95¢ $40 +$15 11-08 10:05
Will Iran target Iraq by November 30, 2026? Yes +39 $32 99¢ $39 +$7 11-07 13:50
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? No +39 $7 99¢ $39 +$32 11-07 13:00
Will Kroger Q3 identical sales without fuel growth be above 1%? No +49 $38 76¢ $37 -$1 11-08 11:12
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +49 $37 70¢ $35 -$3 11-06 03:54
Will Vietnam be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? No +59 $37 58¢ $35 -$3 11-07 14:35
Will Laos be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? No +39 $35 84¢ $33 -$3 11-07 14:16
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $192B by November 30? No +40 $28 80¢ $32 +$3 11-07 15:08
Will South Korea be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? No +40 $31 78¢ $31 +$0 11-07 14:30
Will Malaysia be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +39 $33 76¢ $30 -$3 11-07 14:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +50 $34 58¢ $29 -$5 11-05 18:27
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 13? Yes +50 $36 56¢ $28 -$7 11-07 22:37
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? No +40 $26 70¢ $28 +$2 11-09 12:18
Will Vietnam be in the top 3 at Eurovision Asia 2026? Yes +60 $24 42¢ $25 +$1 11-07 14:35
Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for between $200m and $225m at auction? Yes +65 $22 37¢ $24 +$2 11-07 21:18
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +40 $19 58¢ $23 +$4 11-07 15:00
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate by 25 bps at the January meeting? Yes +39 $25 56¢ $22 -$3 11-07 21:12
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +50 $18 42¢ $21 +$3 11-05 18:27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027? Yes +39 $20 51¢ $20 +$0 11-08 17:06
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? Yes +26 $20 78¢ $20 +$0 11-08 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 9? No +20 $13 100¢ $20 +$7 11-08 07:41