Primary-Thrill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$239

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

2,611

Trades

4,723

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-19

last 10-30 08:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 43% -$210

Other

3% 38% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	—	+11	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-30 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$25	16	16	+0	Down	+$7	05-25 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	9	$24	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$23	16	16	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	7	$23	21	20	+1	Down	-$2	05-31 18:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$23	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-27 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$22	17	17	+0	Up	+$4	05-25 09:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	3	$19	15	15	+0	Up	+$2	05-25 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	06-01 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$18	17	11	+6	Up	+$6	05-25 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$17	15	10	+4	Up	+$4	05-25 07:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	6	$17	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	07-15 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	4	$16	24	24	+0	Down	-$2	10-25 17:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	10-29 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	10-30 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 08:30
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$15	60	0	+60	Islam Makhachev	-$15	08-15 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-23 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-30 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:25 UTC	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	06-09 01:30
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$6	05-25 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	4	$13	16	16	+0	Down	-$5	05-25 09:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 05:15 UTC	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	07-13 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$12	9	8	+1	Up	+$4	10-29 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$4	10-29 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 09:15 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	07-16 09:27
SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-19 08:00 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	07-19 09:20
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC	4	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	07-18 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	4	$11	11	10	+1	Up	+$1	05-29 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 09:15:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xba8219…
10-30 09:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdf7cf2…
10-30 09:01:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x60965a…
10-30 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x2b788a…
10-30 08:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xed3aa3…
10-30 08:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa48ccc…
10-30 08:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x593b39…
10-30 08:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0fd7fa…
10-30 07:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x566954…
10-30 03:17:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x87dc7d…
10-30 02:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdafd40…
10-30 02:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x5784bb…
10-30 01:00:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5938b8…
10-30 00:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x4892e8…
10-30 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x17db65…
10-30 00:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$5	0xf34f3d…
10-29 23:45:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2a9a19…
10-29 23:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xf471d3…
10-29 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3cc9d1…
10-29 21:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x0c500c…
10-29 19:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x388e6d…
10-29 16:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd28838…
10-29 15:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x71da05…
10-29 15:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x647d04…
10-29 13:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0ceb41…
10-29 12:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x2024cf…
10-29 12:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x1903f2…
10-29 11:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0c5b0e…
10-29 11:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe93c6e…
10-29 10:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x7d603c…
10-29 10:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x358307…
10-29 10:30:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbbd1c4…
10-29 10:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xbf4c47…
10-29 10:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x267f2a…
10-29 10:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x51fa11…
10-29 09:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xdea0a2…
10-29 09:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x8f28a6…
10-29 09:15:25	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8801ed…
10-29 09:03:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-29 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x84a1f2…
10-29 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf66dd3…
10-29 08:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x82f1c2…
10-29 08:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x85f871…
10-29 08:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4784a7…
10-29 08:16:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x50ed02…
10-29 08:00:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc6bd26…
10-29 07:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x1de742…
10-29 07:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb6fa30…
10-29 07:17:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcb725a…
10-29 06:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4fd2d8…
10-29 06:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa6b62b…
10-29 06:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb5c039…
10-29 06:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x91dbb2…
10-29 05:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7f81de…
10-29 05:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2ee087…
10-29 05:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb8157a…
10-29 04:16:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x6be6e5…
10-29 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6036e2…
10-29 03:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x4bafb2…
10-29 03:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x335a45…
10-29 03:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xba0e26…
10-29 02:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9bb37c…
10-29 02:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x893d95…
10-29 02:15:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xcf5a0e…
10-29 02:01:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7cc862…
10-29 01:56:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdac281…
10-29 01:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xdf8909…
10-29 01:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x841d66…
10-29 01:15:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x958f20…
10-28 18:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x961fd5…
10-28 17:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x59c8b7…
10-28 17:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xdf63a0…
10-28 17:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1fccb8…
10-28 15:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfee7a1…
10-28 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8666b3…
10-28 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x230ef9…
10-28 13:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf096af…
10-28 13:16:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc4be82…
10-28 13:15:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf3babe…
10-28 13:01:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x9055ea…
10-28 02:15:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xaed29a…
10-27 21:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xed1763…
10-27 16:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf3e8f3…
10-27 13:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x09fefd…
10-27 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x24b79f…
10-27 13:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xcf0704…
10-27 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xf0f4ae…
10-27 13:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x2fe4ae…
10-27 12:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa43c3f…
10-27 12:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1f4f61…
10-27 10:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8d26c3…
10-27 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9ad8b1…
10-27 10:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x05c483…
10-27 09:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xe51b78…
10-27 09:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x140841…
10-27 09:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x75666b…
10-27 08:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcb1154…
10-27 08:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x05ac5c…
10-27 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x055a89…
10-27 08:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6bbd1e…
10-27 07:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4ac991…