(anonymous) 0x40b56e…826b5f Create alert
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$945
Unrealized P&L
-$699
Hit rate
64.7%
Resolved
493
Trades
1,585
lifetime
Volume
$228.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$1.84K
26 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 10-17 05:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
47% 30% +$4,126
Crypto
31% 39% -$1,003
Other
14% 27% -$3,649
Sports
7% 37% +$1,196
Tech
1% 50% +$275
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +750 $538 68¢ $506 -$31 10-14 23:56
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +480 $352 87¢ $416 +$65 10-14 23:54
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +167 $100 92¢ $153 +$53 10-13 15:57
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8,065 $117 2¢ $141 +$25 10-03 15:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,153 $650 6¢ $63 -$587 08-02 17:17
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,250 $25 1¢ $62 +$38 10-11 06:49
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,852 $50 3¢ $62 +$12 10-09 15:08
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,724 $50 3¢ $59 +$9 10-09 15:08
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +781 $100 7¢ $57 -$43 08-02 17:24
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $11 100¢ $50 +$39 09-22 13:07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +133 $50 36¢ $48 -$2 07-27 18:21
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +869 $50 5¢ $42 -$8 10-09 15:09
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +160 $40 24¢ $38 -$2 09-30 17:22
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +417 $120 9¢ $37 -$83 10-13 16:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +962 $25 3¢ $28 +$3 08-02 17:24
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +800 $20 3¢ $20 +$0 08-02 17:30
will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026 Yes +140 $100 12¢ $16 -$84 08-08 23:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +565 $20 2¢ $12 -$8 10-02 16:54
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $5 0¢ $6 +$1 09-21 05:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +962 $15 1¢ $5 -$10 10-02 16:54
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,333 $10 0¢ $5 -$5 10-11 06:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +710 $9 0¢ $3 -$5 10-06 15:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +400 $8 1¢ $3 -$5 10-06 13:05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +273 $30 1¢ $3 -$27 07-27 18:21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $32 2¢ $2 -$30 09-22 13:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +715 $15 0¢ $1 -$14 07-29 15:01