Pricey-Weasel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$323

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-20 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Sports

18% 100% +$1

Other

15% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	8	$115	106	105	+1	open	—	02-28 03:35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	21	$28	36	36	+0	open	—	03-13 02:04
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	20	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 03:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	16	$17	3,237	1,237	+2,000	open	—	03-13 13:34
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-04 07:22
will abdul carter be the 2025 2026 nfl defensive rookie of the year	4	$9	1,942	1,942	+0	open	—	02-05 00:03
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	6	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 02:03
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$5	73	73	+0	open	—	03-04 07:25
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase march 3 9	5	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-03 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-12 02:27
btc updown 15m 1770284700	2	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	02-05 09:51
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	02-28 03:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-13 03:32
will iran strike israel on march 10	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	03-12 09:51
will trump deport less than 250000	3	$3	63	0	+63	open	—	02-04 08:02
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-09 11:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 03:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	03-04 02:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	03-04 02:54
nba cle det 2026 02 27 rebounds ron holland ii 3pt5	3	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-28 09:25
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-04 09:48
will mrbeasts next video get 69 million or more views on day 4	2	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	03-11 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 09:16
btc updown 5m 1772785800	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-06 08:34
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 04:14
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-06 07:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 04:22
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-13 01:50
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	03-04 04:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	02-11 03:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4c72e…
05-15 09:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0ae6ae…
05-15 09:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfdd9da…
05-15 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7f9876…
05-14 07:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa4c73c…
05-12 02:27:53	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x82773c…
05-12 02:27:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x6af2b6…
05-12 02:26:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x236c4f…
05-11 11:12:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4c1b6b…
05-09 04:08:51	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4e07e5…
03-25 09:47:31	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x03ff96…
03-25 07:43:23	Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1c58c4…
03-13 13:34:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x26b6f7…
03-13 13:22:45	btc updown 5m 1773408000	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xee4246…
03-13 13:22:39	btc updown 5m 1773408600	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x346c40…
03-13 10:32:21	btc updown 5m 1773397800	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4bbc76…
03-13 10:22:45	btc updown 5m 1773397200	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x982064…
03-13 06:43:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xba49f2…
03-13 06:42:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xf4b27e…
03-13 06:42:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x71e329…
03-13 04:08:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5bcaed…
03-13 03:33:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xf02053…
03-13 03:32:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x899e3a…
03-13 03:12:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1b958d…
03-13 03:05:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x759a64…
03-13 02:04:03	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x483afd…
03-13 02:03:21	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x052dd9…
03-13 01:52:17	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe55d07…
03-13 01:51:53	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xcd5276…
03-13 01:51:33	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb0ae8…
03-13 01:51:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xc9348b…
03-13 01:50:51	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x1fa54d…
03-13 01:48:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa7c9e5…
03-13 01:40:19	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe9469c…
03-12 12:29:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b0d5d…
03-12 12:29:15	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x69908f…
03-12 12:28:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1,167	0¢	$1	0x49aba4…
03-12 09:51:49	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xb78f95…
03-12 09:46:55	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb510a4…
03-12 08:57:27	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x774279…
03-12 02:48:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdb707c…
03-12 02:38:57	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcdcbed…
03-11 08:25:25	will mrbeasts next video get 69 million or more views on day 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xec7108…
03-11 08:12:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 49 and 51 million views on day 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a2f95…
03-11 08:10:55	will mrbeasts next video get 69 million or more views on day 4	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x91e618…
03-11 07:04:35	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	1,111	0¢	$1	0x63b6a4…
03-11 07:04:03	will mrbeast hit 116 billion views by march 31	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x29110c…
03-11 07:03:05	will mrbeast hit 472 million subscribers by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15a631…
03-11 07:02:57	will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb27882…
03-11 06:57:01	bitcoin up or down march 11 3am et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc6132f…
03-11 02:57:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18e089…
03-11 02:39:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xe00254…
03-11 02:38:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14f57a…
03-10 08:00:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x24383b…
03-09 11:27:27	Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6706c9…
03-09 11:26:41	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x6147d5…
03-09 06:07:55	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2dfb3e…
03-09 04:17:49	will mrbeasts next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3d99de…
03-09 02:35:35	lol blg jdg 2026 03 08 game4 kill over 22pt5	Over	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99c55a…
03-09 02:34:53	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xab8526…
03-06 15:14:59	bitcoin above 68k on march 7	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x44ada5…
03-06 15:09:53	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6d8c0…
03-06 15:08:39	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5de54c…
03-06 15:06:09	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x401f3d…
03-06 08:34:51	btc updown 5m 1772785800	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x250c47…
03-06 08:33:05	btc updown 5m 1772785800	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x35c2bc…
03-06 08:02:17	btc updown 5m 1772784000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xef439f…
03-06 07:57:41	btc updown 5m 1772783700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2c8067…
03-06 07:34:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x361d7c…
03-06 07:05:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd069f3…
03-06 07:02:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfe940c…
03-05 09:19:19	btc updown 5m 1772702100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x09ea27…
03-05 09:04:33	btc updown 5m 1772701500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6d86c3…
03-05 08:06:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x5a6eb5…
03-05 07:52:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d7179…
03-05 02:29:01	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc1d683…
03-04 09:24:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x308209…
03-04 09:21:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa8651c…
03-04 08:46:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7506e3…
03-04 08:45:07	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xaebe43…
03-04 08:44:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd6d810…
03-04 08:43:47	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2592a0…
03-04 08:43:11	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47fcb2…
03-04 08:42:49	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x6cd78f…
03-04 08:39:51	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xca2091…
03-04 08:37:07	Will Matthew Adams be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x32dc0e…
03-04 07:25:07	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc4f971…
03-04 07:22:05	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7aea2f…
03-04 07:18:25	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c088d…
03-04 07:17:35	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54302c…
03-04 07:17:01	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9df5b4…
03-04 07:02:37	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ea219…
03-04 06:59:35	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf4f1d9…
03-04 06:59:01	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde2f10…
03-04 06:56:17	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f665c…
03-04 06:48:35	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4e3c3d…
03-04 04:33:17	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f5c99…
03-04 04:25:25	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xcfbb38…
03-04 04:24:55	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2faed7…
03-04 04:24:09	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb6ff84…