Rough-Gown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$261

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-16 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

71% 20% +$93

Other

15% 0% -$39

Sports

13% 0% -$35

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+14	$10	48¢	$7	-$3	06-16 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$156	135	135	+0	Yes	+$110	06-16 02:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	06-16 02:17
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	435	0	+435	No	-$10	06-16 02:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-16 02:19
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	250	0	+250	No	-$10	06-16 02:39
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	227	0	+227	No	-$10	06-16 02:39
uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	9	$7	260	0	+260	No	-$7	03-31 20:36
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$3	06-16 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$2	84	0	+84	Yes	-$2	06-16 02:15
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$2	444	0	+444	No	-$2	03-23 20:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$2	118	0	+118	No	-$2	03-23 20:56
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$2	14	0	+14	No	-$2	05-16 23:42
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	56	0	+56	No	-$2	03-15 08:16
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	03-15 21:38
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	125	0	+125	No	-$1	03-15 22:32
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	03-15 21:38
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	04-06 21:10
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	03-15 08:15
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	-$1	05-16 23:43
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	03-15 21:38
uef swe pol 2026 03 31 pol	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	03-31 19:58
uef cze den 2026 03 31 cze	1	$1	135	0	+135	No	-$1	03-31 20:37
will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 952	1	$1	64	0	+64	No	-$1	03-15 08:11
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	62	0	+62	No	-$1	03-15 21:38
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	40	0	+40	No	-$1	03-15 22:11
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	1	$1	14	0	+14	No	-$1	05-16 23:50
uef cze den 2026 03 31 den	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	-$1	03-31 20:37
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	1	$1	57	0	+57	No	-$1	03-15 21:54
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	03-15 22:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$1	30	0	+30	No	-$1	04-06 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 02:39:46	Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xc5c93d…
06-16 02:39:33	Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	227	4¢	$10	0x97930d…
06-16 02:39:24	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x82ead8…
06-16 02:38:55	Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0x215263…
06-16 02:19:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2ee54c…
06-16 02:17:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x79d947…
06-16 02:17:07	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe3a22d…
06-16 02:15:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0xb73a2a…
06-16 02:13:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	98¢	$133	0x69cca7…
06-08 12:31:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	135	17¢	$23	0x90e10f…
05-17 09:48:08	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x1a252a…
05-16 23:50:23	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf1fef8…
05-16 23:50:11	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xac26ed…
05-16 23:43:06	Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc3f0a2…
05-16 23:42:32	Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7cf6f0…
05-16 23:41:57	Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x224239…
05-16 23:41:40	Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xac6049…
04-06 21:10:07	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf13bb6…
04-06 21:08:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xe997b1…
03-31 20:37:57	uef cze den 2026 03 31 den	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x796cb9…
03-31 20:37:45	uef cze den 2026 03 31 cze	Yes	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x04528b…
03-31 20:36:33	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	139	1¢	$1	0xf7a36f…
03-31 20:18:49	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x063913…
03-31 20:12:55	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x54c92e…
03-31 20:12:09	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x10a0ee…
03-31 20:08:57	uef bih ita 2026 03 31 bih	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xff8631…
03-31 20:08:01	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa4bfb8…
03-31 20:05:29	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8fa8e1…
03-31 20:02:39	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc7f4f8…
03-31 20:01:01	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x7ad4de…
03-31 20:00:45	uef kvx tur 2026 03 31 kvx	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba1c71…
03-31 19:58:03	uef swe pol 2026 03 31 pol	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x46bb2e…
03-23 20:58:49	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xaeff92…
03-23 20:56:47	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0xe8a746…
03-15 22:35:53	will mrbeast say iran or nuclear during his next video	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x418b51…
03-15 22:32:33	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xedc14f…
03-15 22:30:49	will a 10 us blanket tariff be in effect on march 31	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6ca5c2…
03-15 22:29:37	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xec48ef…
03-15 22:29:13	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x665903…
03-15 22:26:09	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x99a74d…
03-15 22:13:31	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x6ce0ec…
03-15 22:12:13	Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0xd2012b…
03-15 22:11:57	Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2e780a…
03-15 22:11:41	Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x27d58a…
03-15 22:07:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x899d2a…
03-15 21:58:05	ice shooter charged by march 31	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x51e32f…
03-15 21:54:49	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xa90d47…
03-15 21:39:59	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1633b1…
03-15 21:39:35	will zootopia 2 win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8fce4f…
03-15 21:38:53	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7f6387…
03-15 21:38:27	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x453c82…
03-15 21:38:21	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xcbf73f…
03-15 21:38:11	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa74b31…
03-15 21:38:01	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x0755a0…
03-15 08:16:25	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0xfa13ba…
03-15 08:16:07	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb8ab32…
03-15 08:15:57	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x365925…
03-15 08:11:33	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month 952	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0x515799…