Flawed-Pension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

375

Trades

977

lifetime

Volume

$7.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 09-30 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

96% 62% +$59

Politics

2% 50% -$19

Crypto

1% 78% +$1

Sports

1% 43% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?	2	$269	140	140	+0	No	+$8	06-11 07:11
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 14c	5	$229	116	116	+0	No	+$3	03-23 03:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	8	$161	125	125	+0	No	+$6	06-11 19:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?	5	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$4	06-09 16:02
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	4	$153	86	86	+0	No	+$18	03-23 16:52
highest temperature in paris on march 18 2026 17c	7	$140	93	65	+28	No	+$3	03-18 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	3	$136	70	70	+0	No	+$3	06-10 07:07
highest temperature in dallas on march 24 2026 80 81f	5	$123	94	31	+63	No	+$2	03-24 20:54
highest temperature in london on march 21 2026 14c	7	$121	65	65	+0	No	+$8	03-21 16:38
highest temperature in paris on march 22 2026 16c	6	$119	67	67	+0	No	+$12	03-22 14:39
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 11c	9	$118	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-25 14:11
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 18c	4	$113	57	57	-0	No	+$0	03-24 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	6	$108	66	66	+0	No	+$24	06-11 15:16
highest temperature in nyc on march 21 2026 52 53f	6	$108	55	55	+0	No	+$1	03-21 17:47
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 15c	4	$89	50	50	+0	No	+$10	03-24 19:56
highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 32c	7	$84	44	44	+0	No	+$3	03-23 09:17
highest temperature in chengdu on march 25 2026 19c	8	$83	47	47	+0	No	+$8	03-25 07:44
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 14c	7	$81	75	73	+2	Yes	+$23	04-03 13:33
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 15c	5	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$1	04-03 14:24
highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 12c	6	$76	41	41	+0	No	+$6	03-24 14:42
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 27c	3	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$8	03-25 05:28
highest temperature in paris on march 24 2026 18c	5	$69	53	53	+0	No	$0	03-23 11:41
highest temperature in london on march 21 2026 12c	2	$59	40	40	+0	No	+$9	03-21 12:53
highest temperature in chongqing on march 28 2026 16c	4	$58	36	36	+0	Yes	+$3	03-28 11:12
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 13c	3	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$2	03-30 18:59
highest temperature in tokyo on march 21 2026 16c	7	$57	31	31	+0	No	+$5	03-21 12:09
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$57	52	52	+0	No	+$6	03-18 15:05
highest temperature in miami on march 29 2026 80 81f	8	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	03-30 00:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?	3	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$5	06-08 13:34
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	7	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	03-22 18:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 07:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x141b74…
06-18 05:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x934dfb…
06-18 05:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x865953…
06-17 13:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 17?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x48442a…
06-17 10:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 17?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xa40041…
06-17 09:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd6c77d…
06-17 09:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x672808…
06-17 08:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 17?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x6673fd…
06-16 08:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x5cb82d…
06-16 08:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$0	0x5b2ff0…
06-16 08:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xb4ae93…
06-16 08:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 16?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x413805…
06-16 08:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x63e961…
06-16 07:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 16?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x36e702…
06-16 07:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2a0a25…
06-16 07:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd24e70…
06-16 07:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4d33bb…
06-16 06:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6780bb…
06-16 06:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb94b44…
06-16 05:35:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2e4fc4…
06-16 05:04:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xe94399…
06-16 05:02:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x153bb5…
06-15 12:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2f7c34…
06-15 09:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2676df…
06-15 09:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x5b11b0…
06-15 08:07:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xcca301…
06-15 07:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4e7620…
06-15 07:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 15?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xcdda21…
06-15 07:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb9b242…
06-15 07:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xd080db…
06-15 07:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x826e4a…
06-15 07:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc565d6…
06-15 07:20:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x7f99d5…
06-15 05:00:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x443e06…
06-15 04:59:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7fd1c2…
06-14 06:38:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5d2530…
06-14 06:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x4a2c57…
06-14 06:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xb3e987…
06-14 06:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xb1b717…
06-14 06:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x2f7bea…
06-14 05:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5fae5a…
06-14 05:45:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xed57c9…
06-13 17:13:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4ce4b2…
06-13 14:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0e1e90…
06-13 14:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6c3247…
06-13 07:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb0428c…
06-13 07:36:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x2d783f…
06-13 07:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xb0ed0c…
06-13 07:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9845ad…
06-13 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd6e88f…
06-13 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x89024e…
06-13 07:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13?	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2e9e2c…
06-13 07:13:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2179c2…
06-13 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 13?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x73acbe…
06-13 06:56:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 13?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xc3b075…
06-12 10:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x613652…
06-12 10:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbe3599…
06-12 10:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0443e1…
06-12 09:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xf47273…
06-12 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x293b0f…
06-12 07:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9fb6cd…
06-12 07:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd79cfa…
06-12 07:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x8d9387…
06-12 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x989811…
06-12 06:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x924b8d…
06-12 05:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x796996…
06-12 04:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xa0980c…
06-12 04:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x654da0…
06-12 04:57:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa8d107…
06-11 22:54:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x68c3e3…
06-11 19:23:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x3ef0c0…
06-11 19:21:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	42	60¢	$25	0x8a2286…
06-11 19:20:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0xa971f0…
06-11 19:18:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x913e3d…
06-11 18:52:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0x933ec7…
06-11 18:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x94e054…
06-11 17:54:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	33	69¢	$23	0x5af234…
06-11 17:54:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xae215a…
06-11 17:54:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x4eb883…
06-11 15:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xf2929d…
06-11 14:42:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xbe1be8…
06-11 12:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1d3ff8…
06-11 12:55:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf9c82c…
06-11 12:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8d6ee3…
06-11 12:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xd0434b…
06-11 12:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x58bc1c…
06-11 12:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x3979e2…
06-11 12:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb57cae…
06-11 12:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xdf2b7e…
06-11 12:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd7c00e…
06-11 12:44:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf4c219…
06-11 12:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8c2efa…
06-11 12:26:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 11?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xb00f03…
06-11 12:17:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	43	38¢	$16	0x2e212f…
06-11 12:17:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x63e80a…
06-11 07:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x3e22ac…
06-11 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x4f7c8d…
06-10 19:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x226ab9…
06-10 16:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7ed028…
06-10 16:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa37485…