Realized P&L
-$2.36K
Unrealized P&L
-$110
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
4,119
Trades
21,951
lifetime
Volume
$245.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$2.21K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 09-18 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 68 days
Categories
Other
81% 48% -$1,542
Crypto
17% 56% -$855
Sports
2% 53% +$33
Politics
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 552 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +445 $384 98¢ $438 +$53 07-20 14:12
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +375 $291 82¢ $307 +$16 07-21 03:55
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +280 $166 98¢ $275 +$110 07-22 09:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +280 $260 96¢ $269 +$8 07-19 20:00
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +249 $245 100¢ $248 +$3 07-15 22:40
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 +319 $184 30¢ $96 -$88 07-19 19:46
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +97 $65 94¢ $92 +$27 07-22 04:48
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +82 $72 94¢ $77 +$5 07-22 01:50
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +97 $57 68¢ $66 +$9 07-17 11:09
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +153 $119 40¢ $61 -$58 07-21 08:51
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +75 $34 66¢ $50 +$16 07-15 03:40
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +50 $39 95¢ $48 +$9 07-23 21:27
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +50 $32 79¢ $40 +$8 07-22 11:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +773 $145 4¢ $31 -$114 07-23 15:55
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +25 $20 96¢ $24 +$4 07-13 15:03
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +75 $36 32¢ $24 -$12 07-22 16:47
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +94 $26 18¢ $17 -$9 07-19 19:10
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes +142 $18 8¢ $12 -$6 07-21 06:25
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +12 $8 94¢ $12 +$4 07-21 21:33
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +139 $29 7¢ $10 -$19 07-23 03:30
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +75 $26 6¢ $5 -$21 07-21 11:58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +84 $31 6¢ $5 -$26 07-22 03:06
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +175 $17 2¢ $3 -$14 07-23 20:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 07-17 17:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +304 $13 0¢ $0 -$13 07-14 07:46
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 6¢ $0 $0 07-22 00:06