Crafty-Focus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

777

Trades

1,447

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 07-19 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 52% -$8

Other

7% 36% -$19

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?	24	$120	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	05-15 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	32	$84	174	174	+0	Down	+$22	05-15 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$31	10	35	-25	Up	-$7	05-16 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	11	$26	25	35	-10	Up	+$7	05-16 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	17	$25	231	231	+0	Down	-$11	05-15 08:54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	07-10 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$16	12	19	-7	Down	+$7	05-16 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$16	10	35	-25	Down	+$8	05-16 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$6	05-18 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-18 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$7	05-17 20:35
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$12	10	10	+0	Norway	+$6	07-05 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$6	05-18 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$6	05-18 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$6	05-18 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-18 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-17 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-17 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 05:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:20:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc99646…
07-19 19:08:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf302ba…
07-14 19:28:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x905a28…
07-11 20:05:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xeedee7…
07-10 20:19:01	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xaecae9…
07-10 19:37:16	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0xfb6d32…
07-10 19:18:55	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb56ffe…
07-05 21:49:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x2937b4…
07-05 17:56:56	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x692349…
06-28 19:43:23	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team to advance	South Africa	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xb19645…
06-26 18:46:58	Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa3ef2a…
06-21 20:27:38	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x0e9dce…
06-21 20:19:07	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfaebfe…
06-21 20:18:47	Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x15800e…
06-21 00:57:55	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x22e84f…
06-20 21:26:38	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x448541…
06-20 21:02:25	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6b43ce…
06-20 21:01:59	Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x799e71…
06-20 14:46:59	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa5f9ca…
06-20 11:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0x5bf39b…
06-20 05:44:28	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2c6254…
06-20 04:06:13	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x430918…
06-20 04:05:56	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd2785a…
06-20 04:00:34	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x723d24…
06-19 06:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	217	1¢	$3	0xd0f740…
06-15 20:15:45	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdafc68…
06-05 19:32:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x579e7e…
05-31 07:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x19cef8…
05-31 07:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfc541a…
05-31 06:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe20b53…
05-31 06:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xffe51d…
05-30 18:47:21	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd8b45d…
05-30 16:06:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xfb7f24…
05-27 05:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xead0ec…
05-26 06:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xa7df50…
05-26 06:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	206	1¢	$2	0xda3f08…
05-18 18:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x72802c…
05-18 18:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x8af71e…
05-18 18:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xf564b4…
05-18 18:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x49b419…
05-18 18:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x87a61e…
05-18 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xdc16d5…
05-18 18:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x43d9ab…
05-18 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe8050f…
05-18 18:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x71deab…
05-18 18:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x588c49…
05-18 18:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xa75c1a…
05-18 18:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfd197a…
05-18 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xaecaea…
05-18 18:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xacd475…
05-18 18:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfd34f1…
05-18 18:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x82a3cd…
05-18 18:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xbef9fd…
05-18 17:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x926cc6…
05-18 17:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x94887c…
05-18 17:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x7d2af3…
05-18 17:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xac3e65…
05-18 17:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x72d51f…
05-18 17:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xc701d9…
05-18 17:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6355d9…
05-18 17:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x7717f6…
05-18 17:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xbc31d5…
05-18 17:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcb76fa…
05-18 17:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x93f756…
05-18 17:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4c5562…
05-18 17:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x572b7f…
05-18 17:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xdd050f…
05-18 17:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x844809…
05-18 17:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x718558…
05-18 16:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4eedd2…
05-18 16:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x7a6e0d…
05-18 16:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x61530d…
05-18 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xfa2984…
05-18 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4f264f…
05-18 16:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xbb0e30…
05-18 16:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xec879f…
05-18 16:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x1e6216…
05-18 16:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xd5a0ce…
05-18 16:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x6e7dcd…
05-18 16:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x0936ea…
05-18 16:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0xd9b416…
05-18 16:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x351fc4…
05-18 16:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xa903de…
05-18 16:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x790010…
05-18 16:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$2	0x6688b5…
05-18 16:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xb4fb4d…
05-18 16:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x551e9f…
05-18 16:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xcb26f4…
05-18 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x09f610…
05-18 15:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x2d7c79…
05-18 15:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xe832b2…
05-18 15:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xfabe2a…
05-18 15:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0xd8ab87…
05-18 15:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x7ce949…
05-18 15:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xedf18e…
05-18 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0xda9e4c…
05-18 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x35f853…
05-18 15:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x8301a0…
05-18 15:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x3110f9…
05-18 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x60e0d2…