Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or below on May 15?
open
Total volume
$667
$2,062 in 24h
Trades
70
Unique wallets
52
Liquidity
$1,375
Latest YES mid
85¢
Latest NO mid
15¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $131 | $10 | +$121 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $260 | $59 | +$201 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 10 | $258 | $46 | +$212 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $7 | $7 |
| Median | 11 | $20 | $4 | +$16 |
| Below median | 13 | $35 | $8 | +$27 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $37 | — | +$37 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $39 | — | +$39 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | +149 | $131 | $131 | 2 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | +83 | $64 | $64 | 4 | 05-14 05:21 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | +71 | $37 | $37 | 4 | 05-14 04:05 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +46 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 05-13 17:27 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +26 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 05:51 |
| Busy-Private 0xcaca…e149 | No | +26 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-14 05:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | Yes | +25 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-14 05:20 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +24 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:39 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +21 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-13 06:29 |
| Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | Yes | +19 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | +15 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:49 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:14 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | Yes | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | +14 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 13:08 |
| Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | +13 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Ignorant-Graduate 0x9de1…2dd4 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 11:52 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 07:16 |
| Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:09 |
| Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 07:09 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 06:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x55f6…b059 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 05:31 |
| Wooden-Afternoon 0xdd71…33bc | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:54 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 19:52 |
| Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-14 05:21 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b6…caca | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 01:41 |
| Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 07:44 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:28 |
| Miserable-Lily 0x7bdb…65f8 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Euphoric-Rehospitalization 0xdf72…8c89 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x905f…a2da | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Single-Civilisation 0xfe3d…78f8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:26 |
| Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:24 |
| Agonizing-Proportion 0xfe6e…e5dd | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:29:06 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x638972… |
| 05-14 13:19:30 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 89¢ | $42 | 0x8716b6… |
| 05-14 13:14:21 | Grand-Gym 0x8040…1b02 | Yes | SELL | 232 | 84¢ | $195 | 0x5e8181… |
| 05-14 13:08:04 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb8b114… |
| 05-14 12:32:57 | Honest-Compassion 0x5900…2366 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x76eadc… |
| 05-14 12:24:26 | Busy-Private 0xcaca…e149 | No | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x3dc161… |
| 05-14 12:10:26 | Trustworthy-Mutt 0xc017…c979 | No | SELL | 4 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf71015… |
| 05-14 11:54:17 | Wooden-Afternoon 0xdd71…33bc | No | BUY | 6 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd84961… |
| 05-14 11:52:32 | Ignorant-Graduate 0x9de1…2dd4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x4ed10f… |
| 05-14 11:45:34 | (anonymous) 0xf1f5…a261 | No | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xed3c51… |
| 05-14 11:34:23 | Euphoric-Rehospitalization 0xdf72…8c89 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xb34a94… |
| 05-14 11:29:14 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 88¢ | $89 | 0x73f582… |
| 05-14 11:12:24 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | SELL | 10 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xf55307… |
| 05-14 11:09:13 | Agonizing-Proportion 0xfe6e…e5dd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x3d64e7… |
| 05-14 10:39:16 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 24 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x7c32ea… |
| 05-14 09:14:08 | Lanky-Still 0x0e4b…1fcd | Yes | SELL | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xb9f25a… |
| 05-14 08:24:22 | Stiff-Diving 0x795e…7768 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xe6a2fa… |
| 05-14 07:09:12 | Tidy-Washtub 0x973e…15c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xc837e2… |
| 05-14 06:28:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xd6dd79… |
| 05-14 06:02:07 | Grand-Gym 0x8040…1b02 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 78¢ | $16 | 0x32905d… |
| 05-14 05:31:04 | (anonymous) 0x55f6…b059 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 75¢ | $5 | 0xaf0c54… |
| 05-14 05:21:03 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xc35155… |
| 05-14 05:21:03 | Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 78¢ | $31 | 0xafaaa0… |
| 05-14 05:20:34 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | Yes | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0x8e2d02… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x636289… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0xf9df04… |
| 05-14 05:20:32 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x9d5cc1… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 76¢ | $21 | 0x47c9ee… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Perfect-Cast 0x338f…6822 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x540c22… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0x11be51… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xaf0f32… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | (anonymous) 0xa2ed…9d98 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 77¢ | $10 | 0xefdd77… |
| 05-14 05:20:27 | Svelte-Proximity 0xd673…1ca5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xc1c162… |
| 05-14 05:05:36 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 5 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x34c235… |
| 05-14 05:05:29 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xe2c6b7… |
| 05-14 04:05:41 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 62¢ | $14 | 0x839f34… |
| 05-14 02:26:30 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x684240… |
| 05-14 02:26:30 | Single-Civilisation 0xfe3d…78f8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x4ea6c8… |
| 05-14 02:26:30 | Needy-Drawer 0x18f6…e980 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xde10ad… |
| 05-14 02:26:30 | Crowded-Sticker 0x53bc…be7c | Yes | BUY | 19 | 60¢ | $11 | 0x867418… |
| 05-14 02:26:30 | Miserable-Lily 0x7bdb…65f8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xd22712… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x2b5590… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Idealistic-Observatory 0xad65…b49e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x2d9aeb… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | BUY | 17 | 59¢ | $10 | 0xb0cb1b… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 59¢ | $1 | 0x9afd5d… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xbda2e4… |
| 05-14 02:26:28 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | Yes | BUY | 14 | 59¢ | $8 | 0x9a51a8… |
| 05-14 01:49:39 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x1bbe72… |
| 05-14 01:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x91b6…caca | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x01570d… |
| 05-14 01:06:43 | (anonymous) 0x905f…a2da | Yes | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0xefb018… |
| 05-14 00:50:23 | Shy-Workshop-Chem 0xd583…4e14 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x6182dd… |
| 05-14 00:09:56 | Jealous-Quote 0xb07e…e682 | No | BUY | 11 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x1cd7a8… |
| 05-14 00:06:35 | Female-Lout 0x873d…f7a9 | No | BUY | 13 | 45¢ | $6 | 0x77f30f… |
| 05-13 19:52:52 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xfba80f… |
| 05-13 19:52:39 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | SELL | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x07d457… |
| 05-13 17:27:37 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 46 | 50¢ | $23 | 0x8da44b… |
| 05-13 11:58:17 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 50¢ | $7 | 0x6e247f… |
| 05-13 11:53:27 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 49¢ | $7 | 0xacf234… |
| 05-13 08:09:36 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xc83a29… |
| 05-13 07:44:45 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x280aa1… |
| 05-13 07:16:17 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x7f8f0b… |
| 05-13 06:36:21 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x9a7ed6… |
| 05-13 06:36:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x8a1659… |
| 05-13 06:34:25 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x2b98ac… |
| 05-13 06:29:42 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 14 | 56¢ | $8 | 0x47d1c7… |
| 05-13 06:29:28 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x182529… |
| 05-13 06:13:57 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 2 | 63¢ | $1 | 0xd55e5a… |
| 05-13 05:51:33 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 25¢ | $6 | 0x4d7b11… |
| 05-13 05:31:32 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0xb23587… |
| 05-13 05:14:29 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x40e2fa… |