Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.8%

Resolved

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$916

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 08-20 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

51% 31% -$7

Politics

26% 39% -$7

Crypto

15% 25% -$3

Tech

6% 0% -$3

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on july 13 2026	29	$124	71	65	+6	Yes	-$2	07-13 03:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	57	$79	47	40	+6	Yes	+$0	07-21 18:24
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	36	$75	73	69	+3	Yes	+$1	07-23 07:56
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	24	$57	73	73	+0	Yes	-$1	07-23 12:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	22	$52	30	30	+0	Yes	-$2	07-23 17:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	24	$48	330	330	+0	No	-$3	07-11 23:44
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	16	$33	49	49	+0	No	+$0	07-21 02:48
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	23	$32	167	167	+0	No	+$1	07-23 12:31
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	7	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 12:31
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	18	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 15:36
Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	3	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	07-17 09:33
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	8	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	07-21 18:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	8	$17	47	47	+0	open	—	07-14 17:05
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$15	12	12	-0	Yes	$0	07-17 09:35
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	21	$15	1,276	1,276	+0	No	-$2	07-11 13:13
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	6	$13	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-11 14:14
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	6	$13	15	15	-0	No	$0	07-23 08:11
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	7	$13	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-11 23:13
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	6	$13	52	52	+0	No	+$0	07-13 16:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$12	30	30	+0	No	-$1	07-12 04:57
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	6	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	07-25 19:52
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?	13	$11	1,235	1,235	+0	No	-$3	07-11 20:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	10	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	07-17 09:34
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$11	24	24	+0	No	+$0	07-14 16:57
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$10	44	44	+0	No	$0	07-14 16:58
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?	4	$9	9	9	+0	No	$0	07-12 09:29
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$9	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 05:28
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	4	$8	88	88	+0	No	-$1	07-11 14:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$6	15	15	+0	open	—	07-14 16:58
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	7	$5	121	121	+0	No	$0	07-14 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 22:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x4032a3…
08-20 21:20:28	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x94668c…
08-20 21:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x383a3c…
08-20 20:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x076510…
08-20 20:06:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0xd41f37…
08-20 17:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x11dfdb…
07-27 17:58:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8aaef3…
07-27 17:52:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x506957…
07-27 17:38:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xda2c49…
07-27 17:35:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xf5f6b8…
07-27 17:14:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xee891e…
07-27 17:12:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x747176…
07-27 17:12:24	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x2b7d56…
07-27 17:03:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xe248ca…
07-27 16:59:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x39aca9…
07-27 16:05:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x2420ce…
07-27 16:02:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0xd9981e…
07-27 12:06:46	will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x4b4912…
07-27 12:05:55	will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x80b5e9…
07-25 19:52:39	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xdf1228…
07-24 17:03:46	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd1697b…
07-24 15:35:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x81b882…
07-24 15:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9e3620…
07-24 15:24:24	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc51cf8…
07-24 15:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86f493…
07-24 15:24:24	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1cd199…
07-24 15:24:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x123e10…
07-24 15:24:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd4c8ca…
07-24 15:16:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x6c1c3d…
07-24 15:11:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcd0790…
07-24 15:08:13	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xc11c23…
07-24 00:18:25	Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x36e99f…
07-23 23:54:12	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x479954…
07-23 21:56:31	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x30dddd…
07-23 18:07:30	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0x3a6afb…
07-23 17:52:46	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x61c589…
07-23 17:52:04	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8937f6…
07-23 17:52:03	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x7f8649…
07-23 17:49:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x6df8c2…
07-23 17:49:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7293db…
07-23 12:31:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x682933…
07-23 12:31:12	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe9241c…
07-23 12:31:00	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x3cbe6f…
07-23 08:11:18	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x7419de…
07-23 07:56:07	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xee980b…
07-23 07:52:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc25806…
07-23 07:52:00	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x76f087…
07-23 07:51:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x3ec7bc…
07-23 07:36:10	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x6c0257…
07-23 02:49:45	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x71aaab…
07-22 22:25:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xcc8976…
07-22 22:25:55	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xccc139…
07-22 22:25:55	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2a418e…
07-22 22:10:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x27221d…
07-22 20:14:01	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xb43252…
07-22 18:00:10	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xf149cf…
07-22 17:37:33	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x4af3b0…
07-22 17:37:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0c2832…
07-22 17:37:31	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x751896…
07-22 17:29:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x4ca802…
07-22 17:12:40	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xd8fd2e…
07-21 19:03:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x7fea01…
07-21 19:03:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x49c51f…
07-21 18:47:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x68fabb…
07-21 18:39:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xe3550a…
07-21 18:39:09	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?	No	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x455f7d…
07-21 18:31:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xd39e7f…
07-21 18:31:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x6dbe57…
07-21 18:30:36	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x27c380…
07-21 18:24:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xeb5b58…
07-21 18:24:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xa34853…
07-21 18:24:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x7a5547…
07-21 18:22:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xedf0c5…
07-21 18:22:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb838a3…
07-21 18:22:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x67648e…
07-21 18:22:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x51faf0…
07-21 11:42:31	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xbbd44a…
07-21 10:45:54	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xcf618c…
07-21 10:30:49	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa86b22…
07-21 10:29:04	Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf4ee5b…
07-21 10:29:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x955e45…
07-21 10:29:03	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x55eaf4…
07-21 10:27:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc75810…
07-21 10:26:04	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd2579a…
07-21 10:21:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa578b4…
07-21 10:21:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0x4f7c74…
07-21 10:19:18	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x892aa9…
07-21 10:17:03	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xbb874b…
07-21 10:00:39	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xe29a18…
07-21 09:57:07	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xcae0ee…
07-21 06:59:58	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf0dc13…
07-21 06:59:58	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	4	39¢	$2	0x573a84…
07-21 06:59:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8fdb87…
07-21 06:53:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x67474a…
07-21 06:53:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x608c70…
07-21 06:45:04	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xc99aa9…
07-21 06:44:01	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb1cf0b…
07-21 06:44:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xc50958…
07-21 06:42:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0b35ae…
07-21 05:02:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe8ffc8…