Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.8%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$574

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-23 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

34% 100% +$9

Sports

7% 50% $-0

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+12	$8	52¢	$6	$-1	07-09 06:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+5	$4	86¢	$4	$-0	07-23 19:33
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	-3	$-2	94¢	$-2	$-1	06-09 00:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	38	$86	85	81	+4	open	—	04-30 05:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	12	$32	35	32	+3	open	—	06-15 02:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	19	$32	64	56	+8	open	—	05-25 20:56
iran closes its airspace by june 8	10	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	06-08 22:14
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	07-07 18:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	12	$24	23	8	+15	open	—	06-20 10:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	8	$24	268	268	+0	open	—	06-01 22:26
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	12	$24	16	11	+5	open	—	07-23 19:33
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	11	$20	42	42	+0	open	—	05-01 21:24
highest temperature in lucknow on april 18 2026 42c	11	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-18 13:01
rl ssg vp 2026 04 18 game4	5	$14	15	7	+8	open	—	04-18 18:54
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	7	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 17:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	7	$12	16	4	+12	open	—	07-09 06:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$12	18	16	+2	open	—	06-19 21:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	6	$10	20	0	+19	Yes	+$9	05-08 18:53
Game Handicap: Hero (-1.5) vs WG (+1.5)	8	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 00:22
Gorgodze vs. Yuan: Match O/U 21.5	5	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-19 10:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$9	12	7	+5	open	—	05-23 23:58
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	3	$8	2	18	-16	open	—	06-09 16:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:01
will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	3	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	07-06 20:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 20:50
rl ssg vp 2026 04 18 game3	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-18 18:54
will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	5	$6	7	4	+3	open	—	07-01 05:32
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-13 23:12
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	5	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	06-09 18:45
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-22 02:22
Chirayu Rana sued?	9	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 04:05
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-21 21:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	5	$4	12	2	+10	open	—	04-21 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 19:33:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x7db8cf…
07-23 19:02:07	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x84e1fd…
07-23 19:00:37	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x66156b…
07-23 19:00:15	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0c687f…
07-23 19:00:12	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x6c14cb…
07-23 19:00:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5c2127…
07-23 11:44:54	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xc2add4…
07-23 02:01:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xc51321…
07-22 22:00:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x959ab2…
07-22 21:29:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xd9b0f1…
07-22 05:34:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xf5ecba…
07-22 02:22:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xca94f1…
07-19 22:58:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8d14c8…
07-19 19:17:33	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x2808ca…
07-19 17:12:46	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x800748…
07-19 10:36:45	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x091eba…
07-13 10:40:59	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe081c2…
07-10 19:21:25	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x613139…
07-09 16:47:41	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x898053…
07-09 15:19:08	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0d9ffc…
07-09 06:08:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x5e00e2…
07-07 22:12:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x81d807…
07-07 22:05:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5b17a4…
07-07 21:49:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4b1f5d…
07-07 21:46:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xdda9ce…
07-07 21:34:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xff69b4…
07-07 21:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5e8254…
07-07 20:33:53	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xdc9697…
07-07 19:02:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb21153…
07-07 18:19:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	8	71¢	$5	0xc52f96…
07-07 18:19:17	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0xc9d60d…
07-07 18:19:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x5458d5…
07-07 18:19:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xbc2446…
07-07 18:10:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa16b2d…
07-07 18:10:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa78b48…
07-07 18:10:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x26a1d5…
07-07 18:09:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x39aba0…
07-07 18:09:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0973ac…
07-07 18:09:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd289a3…
07-07 18:09:40	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x921267…
07-07 00:06:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x3759bb…
07-06 23:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x98b820…
07-06 20:59:55	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x75435a…
07-06 20:03:55	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xd2fd7c…
07-06 20:03:43	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xfbb2b8…
07-06 01:29:53	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xaf0681…
07-06 01:29:50	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xbef528…
07-01 05:32:58	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9d066f…
06-30 23:31:56	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x20fd69…
06-30 23:31:38	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc9086c…
06-30 23:24:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xaad5f9…
06-30 21:19:44	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3c6041…
06-30 17:10:58	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xaf7ee9…
06-29 18:23:20	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x9e9c7f…
06-20 10:11:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x0e4cfb…
06-19 21:07:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xa0f029…
06-19 21:02:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x418e22…
06-19 21:00:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xef9b3f…
06-19 19:55:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x00bff3…
06-19 19:54:59	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2e76ca…
06-19 19:54:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x4ab657…
06-19 19:11:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xfbcc91…
06-19 18:00:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xf39859…
06-19 15:32:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	41¢	$0	0x8bb028…
06-19 07:55:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x398910…
06-19 06:26:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xb0306a…
06-17 03:24:25	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x97e985…
06-15 02:24:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x7feb4a…
06-15 01:01:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf43c1e…
06-14 22:22:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x659269…
06-14 22:09:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xc0aab9…
06-14 21:59:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xdbc40d…
06-14 21:59:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3c2308…
06-14 21:59:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6d97e8…
06-14 21:58:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5aef7e…
06-14 21:58:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3ba502…
06-14 21:56:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x627e5a…
06-14 21:55:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x442217…
06-14 21:31:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9aa224…
06-14 21:29:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x632ae2…
06-14 21:23:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3055cd…
06-14 21:20:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	24	41¢	$10	0x3db168…
06-14 00:40:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xec7601…
06-14 00:40:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4d4c10…
06-12 22:45:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbe5a94…
06-12 22:45:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0ec2b3…
06-12 19:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xe1f8df…
06-12 19:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x360e95…
06-12 13:29:40	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb13c0d…
06-11 19:34:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x7c3762…
06-11 19:34:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xca4e5c…
06-10 18:40:01	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x8a91c6…
06-10 18:11:27	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x783b09…
06-09 18:45:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1d3836…
06-09 17:02:01	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xae24b6…
06-09 17:01:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x11d00b…
06-09 16:52:28	will claude 5 be released by june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb1d994…
06-09 16:52:24	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc534e1…
06-09 16:52:13	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xe9f758…
06-09 07:26:27	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4df8ce…