Surprised-Dialect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$580

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.9%

Resolved

3,135

Trades

4,598

lifetime

Volume

$50.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-28 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 149 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 53% +$672

Other

2% 50% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2AM ET	4	$144	94	94	+0	Down	+$44	05-31 11:43
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	7	$144	94	94	+0	Down	+$44	05-31 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	3	$144	94	94	+0	Down	+$44	05-31 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8PM ET	4	$119	226	0	+226	Down	-$119	09-09 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	14	$99	187	0	+187	Up	+$88	10-06 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7PM ET	3	$90	170	0	+170	Up	+$80	09-09 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 4PM ET	3	$89	170	0	+170	Up	+$80	09-12 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2AM ET	3	$89	170	0	+170	Down	-$89	09-15 05:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 12am et	3	$89	170	0	+170	Up	+$80	09-28 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5PM ET	3	$88	170	0	+170	Up	+$81	09-12 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5PM ET	3	$88	170	0	+170	Down	-$88	09-09 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 12AM ET	3	$88	170	0	+170	Down	-$88	10-07 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	3	$87	170	0	+170	Up	+$83	10-02 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9PM ET	3	$87	170	0	+170	Up	+$83	09-11 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8PM ET	3	$87	170	0	+170	Up	+$83	09-10 23:00
ethereum up or down september 27 2026 8pm et	5	$84	158	0	+158	Down	-$84	09-28 00:01
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 5PM ET	6	$84	158	0	+158	Down	-$84	09-09 21:00
ethereum up or down september 27 2026 6pm et	3	$84	158	0	+158	Down	-$84	09-27 21:00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	3	$84	158	0	+158	Down	-$84	10-02 19:00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 9, 8PM ET	4	$83	158	0	+158	Down	-$83	09-09 23:59
Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 6PM ET	3	$83	158	0	+158	Up	+$76	10-02 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10AM ET	2	$60	113	0	+113	Up	+$53	09-10 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-02 09:00 UTC	4	$60	113	0	+113	Up	+$53	09-02 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7PM ET	2	$60	113	0	+113	Down	-$60	09-15 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	2	$60	113	0	+113	Up	+$53	09-15 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8PM ET	2	$60	113	0	+113	Up	+$53	09-07 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	2	$60	113	0	+113	Down	-$60	10-06 19:00
ethereum up or down september 27 2026 11pm et	2	$59	113	0	+113	Down	-$59	09-28 02:00
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 7am et	2	$59	113	0	+113	Up	+$54	09-28 10:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6PM ET	2	$59	113	0	+113	Down	-$59	09-09 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x052671…
10-28 01:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xe723d6…
10-28 01:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x131a96…
10-28 00:45:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xa9e43b…
10-28 00:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xbf7a90…
10-27 23:00:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xcff170…
10-27 22:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x292de0…
10-27 21:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xfaed97…
10-27 21:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x11f1ee…
10-27 19:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x055f9d…
10-27 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xfbd582…
10-27 16:00:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x8c046e…
10-27 15:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x1faa3c…
10-27 12:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xa53f08…
10-27 12:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x47514b…
10-27 12:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xc45c20…
10-27 07:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x552864…
10-27 03:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4af635…
10-27 03:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x36aca4…
10-27 03:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xab1618…
10-27 01:15:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x71d3e1…
10-27 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7a3d33…
10-27 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x71a898…
10-27 00:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x3d8563…
10-27 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb2e455…
10-27 00:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x93bb34…
10-27 00:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x7c5277…
10-26 23:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x38b033…
10-26 22:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x364bd4…
10-26 21:15:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x95ab1d…
10-26 21:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xfa1d2d…
10-26 21:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xeaf077…
10-26 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x58be65…
10-26 20:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x9663a2…
10-26 19:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x2e6c79…
10-26 19:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb7a574…
10-26 19:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x94ac50…
10-26 16:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xd5d51b…
10-26 14:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x50f2bc…
10-26 14:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x47cbc6…
10-26 14:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0f3060…
10-26 13:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe66dc8…
10-26 13:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe38fed…
10-26 13:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x417717…
10-26 13:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x78524a…
10-26 13:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x6d30c6…
10-26 13:15:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x64634d…
10-26 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x7aa8ff…
10-26 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x895e2c…
10-26 08:45:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x645c50…
10-26 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xc843c2…
10-26 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x175e21…
10-26 03:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x6123e5…
10-26 02:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x03c4ac…
10-26 01:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb777d2…
10-25 23:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0162fb…
10-25 23:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x527f51…
10-25 23:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xab34e0…
10-25 23:00:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0dcd9e…
10-25 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xdd4974…
10-25 22:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2ef009…
10-25 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc7eb93…
10-25 22:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xa54712…
10-25 22:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x9af417…
10-25 21:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x6770b4…
10-25 21:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x2c7b29…
10-25 21:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x969132…
10-25 21:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3ceb19…
10-25 20:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x0bfe21…
10-25 19:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf70ff9…
10-25 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xe8ab3f…
10-25 15:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7b431b…
10-25 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x1719ee…
10-25 08:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb5777c…
10-25 08:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x561b74…
10-25 07:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xefac37…
10-25 07:07:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09ced4…
10-25 06:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd14008…
10-25 06:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xd0f061…
10-25 06:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x5110a1…
10-25 05:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6cf0a4…
10-25 05:59:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b0297…
10-25 02:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xc8466a…
10-25 02:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x150aa8…
10-25 00:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xdfc393…
10-25 00:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x419bfa…
10-24 23:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x01422a…
10-24 20:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xf69d9f…
10-24 20:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6a877a…
10-24 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x8758da…
10-24 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xde0e27…
10-24 15:15:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xd096a0…
10-24 15:00:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb2a3ea…
10-24 15:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x7b21fa…
10-24 14:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x3263bb…
10-24 14:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xb9944a…
10-24 14:15:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x116ef4…
10-24 09:53:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x945f90…
10-24 09:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x72f999…
10-24 09:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xa4fa0f…