Dull-Softdrink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.6%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-31 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

83% 96% -$5

Politics

13% 100% +$3

Sports

2% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	05-29 15:59
will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by march 31	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-01 13:23
Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	05-12 13:08
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-12 18:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 9c	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$1	03-18 08:33
will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	2	$48	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	04-21 22:08
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-07 05:40
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$1	03-16 08:30
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-06 22:32
will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	03-26 05:51
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	05-30 15:54
will ukraine re enter maliivka by march 31	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-01 06:19
highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 48 49f	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	03-18 22:07
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-30 12:30
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-31 23:59
Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-21 06:49
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	2	$35	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	06-07 22:45
will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	07-16 10:25
will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	03-17 21:59
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-03 12:31
ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	Yes	+$0	07-02 16:24
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-15 10:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	03-19 00:42
gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-17 04:20
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 11.5m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	05-04 20:04
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-27 06:45
will the us lose more than 150k jobs in march	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	04-02 12:17
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:24
will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-16 22:32
white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 160 179	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	03-27 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 06:20:10	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc0ee00…
08-31 05:45:25	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfccd2c…
08-02 06:20:39	Will Suzanne Krzyzanowski be the VA-05 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x71f071…
07-16 12:34:44	Will Beth Jones win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x620008…
07-16 10:25:13	will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc3a01c…
07-04 01:33:20	will sydney eugene be eliminated from love island usa this week 20260626220759032	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x2d65fe…
07-02 16:24:07	ethereum above 1100 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfa3e84…
06-25 13:24:04	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf6cb76…
06-25 12:13:05	Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x39b6e6…
06-15 23:33:52	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x65ac60…
06-15 18:33:07	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 49 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x640a05…
06-15 10:47:49	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xb75163…
06-09 13:00:54	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xe4257a…
06-07 22:45:18	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd876b4…
06-06 12:59:01	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc4ae43…
06-01 19:31:49	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xa1fb27…
05-31 23:59:15	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x5c863c…
05-30 15:54:34	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x1d4ac3…
05-30 02:04:12	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x0a3862…
05-29 15:59:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x7c2f77…
05-29 15:58:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3e114c…
05-25 19:38:09	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x2973fe…
05-21 06:49:56	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x27357b…
05-20 17:39:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x16a723…
05-18 00:06:09	Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x46f3cd…
05-16 03:13:05	Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be less than 16,500,000?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x656e41…
05-12 13:08:02	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd3f61c…
05-11 00:22:36	Will annual inflation increase by 3.5% in April?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb359e9…
05-06 22:32:20	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4c96ab…
05-06 00:03:38	Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xa72926…
05-04 20:04:42	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 11.5m?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2a1f8b…
05-04 19:34:24	Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa29cad…
05-03 15:29:52	Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 11.5m?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6d871d…
04-30 12:30:16	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0c9c87…
04-29 13:46:38	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x933f43…
04-27 06:45:30	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe4c362…
04-26 12:47:20	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x419579…
04-21 22:08:16	will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa6a700…
04-20 12:01:22	will trust me the false prophet be the top global netflix show this week 453	Yes	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xca68a7…
04-17 04:20:50	gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x0b0bea…
04-16 01:49:18	gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa5422a…
04-12 18:47:33	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa88fe7…
04-11 00:00:19	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x871d4f…
04-10 02:25:37	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4f6541…
04-07 05:40:47	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xb7feb6…
04-06 20:26:17	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x0d7e5a…
04-03 12:31:11	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x86e6c2…
04-02 12:17:53	will the us lose more than 150k jobs in march	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x91908e…
04-02 00:13:49	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xe63781…
04-01 13:23:07	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by march 31	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe9f311…
04-01 06:19:17	will ukraine re enter maliivka by march 31	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x92591d…
03-30 00:01:22	will ukraine re enter maliivka by march 31	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xcceee7…
03-30 00:01:22	will usd reach 1pt8m iranian rials by march 31	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb5294d…
03-27 14:19:07	white house of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xd72804…
03-26 05:51:39	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0ddc80…
03-25 18:00:21	will mrbeasts next video get 80 million or more views on day 5	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xa88513…
03-19 16:04:13	highest temperature in toronto on march 20 2026 5c	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x748431…
03-19 00:42:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x860373…
03-19 00:20:01	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 7c	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x8980a4…
03-18 22:07:19	highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 48 49f	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3d9454…
03-18 08:33:41	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 9c	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xbb14a6…
03-18 01:36:23	highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 9c	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x57a45a…
03-17 21:59:19	will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc32e62…
03-17 21:24:33	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x916b81…
03-17 13:23:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 18 2026 48 49f	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8bec64…
03-17 12:13:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 18 2026 3c	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x95632e…
03-17 00:23:47	will democrats 66 d66 win the most seats in the hagues 2026 municipal election	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xccae0e…
03-16 22:32:41	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x23c74c…
03-16 12:40:01	highest temperature in tokyo on march 17 2026 12c	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xcbd8ba…
03-16 08:30:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa58531…
03-16 07:10:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 31corbelow	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xce116e…
03-16 03:40:29	highest temperature in miami on march 16 2026 90 91f	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf8a82f…
03-16 00:18:33	will robert peters be the democratic nominee for il 02 717	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x12065a…
03-15 21:31:55	will partido popular win 28 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xde223f…
03-15 19:53:09	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe6931d…
03-15 12:26:41	will scream 7 3rd weekend box office be greater than 9m	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x99676c…
03-14 23:11:13	will partido popular win 28 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3c34ed…
03-13 06:21:47	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7c648a…
03-12 21:10:07	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x822291…
03-11 12:39:09	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1492a8…
03-11 12:31:03	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9384e9…
03-11 12:30:25	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf69064…
03-10 00:28:25	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x199c38…
03-10 00:00:39	will annual inflation increase by 2pt3 in february 467 579 977 165	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9a623c…
03-10 00:00:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 in february	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x348544…
03-10 00:00:39	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt4 or more in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x09c38e…
03-09 00:42:21	will bridgerton season 4 be the top us netflix show this week 271	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xafa15c…
03-07 21:00:53	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1fd0e1…
03-06 13:38:23	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1f61d5…
03-06 00:01:03	will medina win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8b6573…
03-06 00:01:03	will smash into pieces win melodifestivalen 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x217d6f…
03-05 03:05:39	will the us add between 125k and 150k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x3c6051…
03-03 19:41:17	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcb59a5…
03-02 15:14:53	highest temperature in miami on march 3 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xaa98f4…
03-02 04:49:07	Will Matthew Smith be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x9607a8…
03-01 21:18:35	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x52c969…
03-01 19:04:31	highest temperature in seoul on march 2 2026 9c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b0842…
03-01 11:51:11	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb72dea…
02-28 21:30:55	will antti paalanen win umk 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x552b23…
02-28 17:04:35	highest temperature in paris on march 1 2026 16c	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5a4548…