Excellent-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$133

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

578

lifetime

Volume

$92.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 05-19 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$133

Sports

7% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	3	$2.3K	1,973	372	+1,601	open	—	04-12 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	4	$2.2K	2,452	0	+2,452	open	—	05-04 04:13
bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	2	$2.2K	1,085	1,084	+0	open	—	04-24 12:56
bitcoin above 72k on april 19	2	$2.0K	1,013	1,012	+1	open	—	04-19 14:52
bitcoin above 78k on april 17	1	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	open	—	04-17 15:58
btc updown 5m 1776262800	1	$1.8K	1,778	0	+1,778	open	—	04-15 14:23
will bitcoin reach 77k on april 15	1	$1.7K	1,736	0	+1,736	open	—	04-15 23:33
bitcoin above 68k on april 6	2	$1.6K	1,145	500	+645	open	—	04-06 15:45
btc updown 4h 1776600000	4	$1.4K	1,279	300	+979	open	—	04-19 15:53
bitcoin above 76k on april 18	2	$1.4K	1,021	1,001	+21	open	—	04-18 13:16
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	3	$1.4K	1,398	0	+1,398	open	—	04-11 14:15
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,374	0	+1,374	Yes	+$14	04-14 00:20
bitcoin above 74k on april 13	3	$1.3K	687	684	+3	open	—	04-13 14:59
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	2	$1.3K	1,351	0	+1,351	open	—	04-18 00:56
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	04-08 23:26
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	1	$1.3K	1,277	0	+1,277	open	—	04-16 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	3	$1.2K	891	577	+314	open	—	05-02 15:33
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 11	1	$1.2K	1,215	0	+1,215	open	—	04-12 00:07
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$1.2K	1,151	526	+626	open	—	04-25 02:56
nba atl nyk 2026 04 18	1	$1.2K	1,182	0	+1,182	open	—	04-19 00:43
bitcoin above 68k on april 13	1	$1.1K	1,154	0	+1,154	open	—	04-13 11:18
btc updown 5m 1776558000	1	$1.1K	1,175	0	+1,175	open	—	04-19 00:22
bitcoin above 74k on april 8	2	$1.1K	1,296	0	+1,296	open	—	04-07 23:42
bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	5	$1.1K	1,123	19	+1,104	open	—	04-24 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$1.1K	893	865	+28	open	—	04-29 13:24
btc updown 4h 1776715200	1	$1.1K	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	04-20 23:23
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	1	$1.0K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	04-07 13:26
bitcoin above 66k on april 1	3	$1.0K	526	525	+2	open	—	04-01 16:14
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	04-22 14:02
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$1000	1,053	0	+1,053	No	+$53	04-14 00:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 11:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x3c3a11…
05-06 13:08:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18f514…
05-06 12:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0x1aeea5…
05-06 12:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x988166…
05-06 12:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x6476df…
05-06 12:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	70	99¢	$69	0x28a5ef…
05-06 11:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x7b7971…
05-06 11:40:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xf4718e…
05-06 11:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xcf7ddc…
05-06 11:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0xc63472…
05-05 15:05:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x612382…
05-05 15:05:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xdfa8d7…
05-05 15:05:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd60ab3…
05-05 14:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	459	100¢	$459	0x820197…
05-05 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	459	98¢	$450	0xcaafaa…
05-05 13:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	198	96¢	$190	0xaae390…
05-05 13:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xfcbaaa…
05-04 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	977	92¢	$900	0x8e14ac…
05-04 04:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x6a0d30…
05-04 04:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	888	90¢	$800	0x805cc3…
05-04 02:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xbf646d…
05-04 01:59:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	No	SELL	656	31¢	$203	0xe8eb14…
05-04 01:02:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	656	99¢	$650	0x21da95…
05-04 00:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf6c2cc…
05-03 09:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	372	99¢	$369	0xaa9ce5…
05-03 09:29:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xe6b427…
05-03 09:14:18	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x302565…
05-03 00:38:22	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	SELL	196	57¢	$112	0x61e189…
05-03 00:18:08	76ers vs. Celtics	76ers	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x671af6…
05-02 15:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	314	96¢	$300	0x0e122e…
05-02 14:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	SELL	577	80¢	$464	0xbf3533…
05-02 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 2?	Down	BUY	577	78¢	$450	0xbf9e03…
05-02 06:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x987ae3…
05-02 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x7a3bf0…
05-02 06:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xae6b92…
05-02 06:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd018a3…
05-02 05:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7de12a…
05-01 16:16:32	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xf9b508…
05-01 08:31:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	479	94¢	$450	0x512576…
04-30 15:52:36	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x916e68…
04-29 13:35:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	631	92¢	$580	0xef2232…
04-29 13:24:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	865	69¢	$597	0x68942e…
04-29 11:36:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0xaa44e5…
04-26 01:00:40	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	443	55¢	$244	0xd95c6a…
04-26 00:58:06	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0xe02193…
04-26 00:25:58	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0x6c4671…
04-25 05:22:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x8b4f3a…
04-25 02:56:06	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	625	96¢	$600	0xade250…
04-25 02:50:00	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	526	19¢	$100	0xfa0708…
04-25 02:34:04	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0xca08ee…
04-24 23:50:44	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x14ee12…
04-24 15:54:56	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	390	99¢	$388	0xdb5b0d…
04-24 15:48:14	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7df6c7…
04-24 15:38:44	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Down	BUY	708	99¢	$700	0x6b73dd…
04-24 13:25:52	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0xd957f5…
04-24 13:06:14	bitcoin up or down on april 24 2026	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb9e21e…
04-24 12:59:52	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x632af5…
04-24 12:56:40	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	1,084	100¢	$1,083	0xaa2b84…
04-24 11:43:56	bitcoin up or down april 24 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,079	0x1af2c8…
04-23 13:49:46	bitcoin up or down on april 23 2026	Down	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0x68ee5e…
04-23 11:53:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 23	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x1ac708…
04-23 11:52:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x8ca0c7…
04-23 11:49:22	bitcoin above 76k on april 23	Yes	BUY	518	97¢	$500	0xd2b7f8…
04-23 02:40:56	bitcoin up or down april 22 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	511	99¢	$506	0x0d6811…
04-23 02:38:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb56a96…
04-22 23:54:32	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 22	No	BUY	525	100¢	$523	0x4b40ea…
04-22 23:51:16	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	SELL	39	18¢	$7	0xccae18…
04-22 23:14:54	nba orl det 2026 04 22	Magic	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x967e79…
04-22 14:03:00	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 22	Yes	BUY	568	91¢	$520	0xe5274f…
04-22 14:02:04	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	520	100¢	$520	0x902165…
04-22 14:01:34	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 22	Yes	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xcdb3c4…
04-22 14:00:28	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 22	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$45	0x6f860c…
04-22 13:59:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 22	Yes	SELL	588	8¢	$49	0xd82db9…
04-22 12:37:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	615	39¢	$240	0x6a769d…
04-22 12:17:18	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	643	45¢	$290	0x73c917…
04-22 11:49:46	btc updown 4h 1776844800	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc4e2a1…
04-21 23:56:08	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	SELL	54	17¢	$9	0x85f48f…
04-21 23:54:54	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	131	98¢	$129	0x6e1d35…
04-21 23:38:26	nba phi bos 2026 04 21	76ers	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x448b19…
04-21 23:27:32	USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	512	98¢	$500	0x5d8baa…
04-21 23:26:54	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x42cbff…
04-21 15:58:52	bitcoin up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	401	98¢	$393	0xabb114…
04-21 15:35:22	bitcoin above 76k on april 21	No	BUY	430	93¢	$400	0x6fe302…
04-21 15:32:34	btc updown 4h 1776772800	Down	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x0ff94b…
04-20 23:23:50	btc updown 4h 1776715200	Down	BUY	1,094	99¢	$1,081	0x70eb13…
04-20 11:42:04	btc updown 4h 1776672000	Up	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xdb9863…
04-20 01:19:28	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	121	87¢	$105	0xbdcc75…
04-20 00:39:58	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x6b0166…
04-20 00:30:42	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7ce18a…
04-20 00:26:58	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	SELL	201	55¢	$110	0xacf3a6…
04-20 00:14:22	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Magic	BUY	205	34¢	$70	0xcd2984…
04-19 23:58:48	bitcoin above 76k on april 20	No	BUY	965	93¢	$900	0x1cb1b1…
04-19 23:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xa6895a…
04-19 16:03:38	btc updown 5m 1776614400	Down	BUY	328	99¢	$325	0xa27c26…
04-19 15:53:46	btc updown 4h 1776600000	Up	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x1f0ce0…
04-19 15:52:30	btc updown 4h 1776600000	Up	SELL	200	86¢	$172	0x2e49be…
04-19 15:37:56	btc updown 5m 1776612900	Down	BUY	61	89¢	$54	0x2621cb…
04-19 15:04:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 19	Yes	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0x1f8e62…
04-19 15:01:40	btc updown 4h 1776600000	Up	BUY	134	88¢	$117	0x6d8e23…
04-19 14:58:36	btc updown 4h 1776600000	Up	BUY	1,145	87¢	$1,000	0xc5a16f…