Oily-Cartoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,713

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-04 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Other

35% 78% +$10

Crypto

17% 97% +$20

Sports

3% 80% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 911 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+5	$2	80¢	$4	+$2	06-25 15:33
Haiti elections delayed again?	Yes	+5	$2	72¢	$4	+$2	06-10 13:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+3	$9	100¢	$3	$-5	06-15 17:18
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes	+5	$2	36¢	$2	$-0	07-04 00:18
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	+2	$1	52¢	$1	$-0	06-02 00:32
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	20¢	$1	$-0	06-23 01:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+28	$11	0¢	$0	$-11	06-15 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1,020	$2.3K	2,483	2,423	+61	open	—	06-14 20:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	838	$1.8K	1,930	1,916	+14	open	—	06-10 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	713	$1.7K	1,718	1,682	+36	open	—	06-15 17:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	665	$1.6K	1,680	1,447	+233	open	—	06-01 11:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	334	$684	757	776	-19	open	—	06-19 20:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	191	$458	442	459	-17	open	—	05-29 14:35
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	212	$457	481	478	+4	open	—	06-03 15:25
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	162	$369	384	393	-9	open	—	06-03 05:03
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	189	$313	318	309	+9	open	—	06-09 16:20
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	142	$268	351	336	+15	open	—	06-07 20:49
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	101	$250	236	230	+6	open	—	06-06 14:48
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi	15	$220	227	0	+227	Lanlana Tararudee	+$7	05-06 04:59
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	17	$204	221	0	+221	New York Mets	+$16	05-07 03:14
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	83	$196	202	192	+10	open	—	06-03 17:33
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	88	$195	220	199	+21	open	—	07-04 15:36
iran closes its airspace by july 31	74	$178	190	175	+15	open	—	06-07 18:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	13	$160	104	87	+17	open	—	05-18 15:42
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	92	$158	194	182	+13	open	—	06-07 19:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	57	$153	140	130	+10	open	—	06-02 16:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	12	$147	149	0	+149	open	—	05-17 04:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	60	$144	142	147	-5	open	—	05-22 02:48
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	58	$133	140	125	+15	open	—	06-22 18:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	63	$128	170	140	+30	open	—	06-12 16:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	60	$125	142	130	+12	open	—	07-04 13:44
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	58	$110	133	128	+5	open	—	06-09 20:22
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	48	$107	125	115	+10	open	—	06-10 18:10
Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Adrian Arcon	6	$99	108	0	+108	Florent Bax	+$9	05-06 05:47
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	43	$96	105	95	+10	open	—	06-07 23:14
Jiujiang: Heather Watson vs Kyoka Okamura	7	$93	56	56	-0	Heather Watson	$-6	05-06 05:09
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	40	$93	103	87	+15	open	—	06-23 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 15:36:28	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe21870…
07-04 15:35:58	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2cec19…
07-04 15:35:28	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xac01e4…
07-04 15:23:31	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc55605…
07-04 15:23:02	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x9a46c2…
07-04 15:22:53	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3bf5d5…
07-04 15:21:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xef20d2…
07-04 15:20:28	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3e2079…
07-04 15:19:58	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x273fad…
07-04 15:19:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x14bca7…
07-04 15:19:02	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x878db1…
07-04 15:18:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb47773…
07-04 15:17:35	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbfcf33…
07-04 15:17:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa2b3f1…
07-04 15:17:13	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xda8944…
07-04 15:16:50	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xa1e6ba…
07-04 15:16:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x680b2a…
07-04 15:16:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x40e5b4…
07-04 15:16:37	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x49cbe0…
07-04 15:13:19	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa05ae0…
07-04 15:10:22	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4cd582…
07-04 15:09:59	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0xc263b7…
07-04 15:09:13	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x8749f3…
07-04 15:08:16	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x7d313c…
07-04 14:50:22	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x8b143d…
07-04 14:47:28	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x04acb7…
07-04 14:44:01	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x53f392…
07-04 14:39:29	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb00886…
07-04 14:39:02	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x464478…
07-04 14:18:25	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x6bc4da…
07-04 13:44:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xeb576c…
07-04 13:40:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x791325…
07-04 13:38:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x7f9499…
07-04 13:38:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x75edda…
07-04 13:37:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb32139…
07-04 13:36:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x73f77e…
07-04 13:35:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd94010…
07-04 13:35:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe57910…
07-04 13:35:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x566eb2…
07-04 13:34:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe8c3a2…
07-04 13:33:59	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x801d52…
07-04 13:15:50	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa2565f…
07-04 13:15:47	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x233f08…
07-04 13:14:38	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc9653e…
07-04 13:09:43	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x74b797…
07-04 13:09:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x741528…
07-04 13:07:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x33ceac…
07-04 13:06:31	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xda8abd…
07-04 13:05:01	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x0e0721…
07-04 13:04:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8d6a81…
07-04 13:03:05	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa4dd44…
07-04 12:58:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x8649b9…
07-04 12:25:37	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb62689…
07-04 11:48:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x4db40a…
07-04 11:13:35	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x14ce02…
07-04 11:10:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x872233…
07-04 11:07:38	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x80dfc3…
07-04 11:07:20	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x927432…
07-04 11:05:32	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x520908…
07-04 11:05:23	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x232ca4…
07-04 11:03:46	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x33741e…
07-04 10:49:11	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x5f7b09…
07-04 10:36:05	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x91631d…
07-04 10:35:55	over 35m committed to the laso finance public sale 555 417	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4b689d…
07-04 09:20:16	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xf25683…
07-04 09:17:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x903d1d…
07-04 09:07:07	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x2a3450…
07-04 09:06:46	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xb5b4df…
07-04 09:06:35	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x34d0c7…
07-04 08:51:26	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xebb116…
07-04 08:50:50	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa9704a…
07-04 08:34:40	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x314e00…
07-04 08:23:32	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x403b42…
07-04 08:07:20	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x9c2b1d…
07-04 08:06:25	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x685032…
07-04 08:00:52	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf8ddba…
07-04 07:11:17	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe9e527…
07-04 07:09:08	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x91e432…
07-04 07:08:34	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8374a7…
07-04 07:08:22	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x786c71…
07-04 06:56:52	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x963402…
07-04 06:43:26	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0ef324…
07-04 05:28:58	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5bc081…
07-04 05:16:41	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbc654…
07-04 05:12:50	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x560166…
07-04 05:07:44	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x56e84f…
07-04 05:07:17	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xed2516…
07-04 05:07:13	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5680fa…
07-04 04:48:52	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2ae51a…
07-04 04:48:44	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaae80d…
07-04 04:40:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x5243a2…
07-04 04:39:37	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1bae6b…
07-04 04:31:40	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x594443…
07-04 04:29:32	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5bb2fd…
07-04 04:15:14	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x305636…
07-04 04:14:47	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x195e59…
07-04 04:00:58	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x721167…
07-04 04:00:37	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xebc429…
07-04 03:38:53	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x85fad6…
07-04 03:38:04	over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9544d8…