Oily-Cartoon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,740

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-28 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$0

Other

35% 78% +$10

Crypto

16% 97% +$20

Sports

4% 80% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 911 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1,020	$2.3K	2,483	2,423	+61	open	—	06-14 20:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	838	$1.8K	1,930	1,916	+14	open	—	06-10 21:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	713	$1.7K	1,718	1,682	+36	open	—	06-15 17:18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	665	$1.6K	1,680	1,447	+233	open	—	06-01 11:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	334	$684	757	776	-19	open	—	06-19 20:33
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?	191	$458	442	459	-17	open	—	05-29 14:35
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	212	$457	481	478	+4	open	—	06-03 15:25
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	162	$369	384	393	-9	open	—	06-03 05:03
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	189	$313	318	309	+9	open	—	06-09 16:20
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	164	$305	380	373	+7	open	—	07-13 00:10
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	142	$268	351	336	+15	open	—	06-07 20:49
over 30m committed to the laso finance public sale 196 325	114	$258	278	264	+14	open	—	07-04 16:24
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?	101	$250	236	230	+6	open	—	06-06 14:48
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	103	$223	237	223	+14	open	—	07-07 15:49
Jiujiang: Lanlana Tararudee vs Han Shi	15	$220	227	0	+227	Lanlana Tararudee	+$7	05-06 04:59
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	17	$204	221	0	+221	New York Mets	+$16	05-07 03:14
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	93	$204	214	200	+14	open	—	07-13 15:54
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	83	$196	202	192	+10	open	—	06-03 17:33
iran closes its airspace by july 31	74	$178	190	175	+15	open	—	06-07 18:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	13	$160	104	87	+17	open	—	05-18 15:42
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	92	$158	194	182	+13	open	—	06-07 19:00
untitled market 1 20260629155005352	71	$156	164	155	+9	open	—	07-17 21:44
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	57	$153	140	130	+10	open	—	06-02 16:15
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	70	$150	164	157	+7	open	—	07-27 15:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	12	$147	149	0	+149	open	—	05-17 04:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	60	$144	142	147	-5	open	—	05-22 02:48
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	58	$133	140	125	+15	open	—	06-22 18:39
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	63	$128	170	140	+30	open	—	06-12 16:26
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	49	$115	121	110	+11	open	—	07-13 12:39
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	58	$110	133	128	+5	open	—	06-09 20:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 22:19:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x745504…
07-28 20:52:32	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28	Team Jenz	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb86d92…
07-28 20:17:35	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28	Amaru Gaming	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6fe875…
07-28 20:10:50	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28	Team Jenz	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0xcf1b6b…
07-28 20:10:50	dota2 amaru jenz 2026 07 28	Team Jenz	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x5deb68…
07-27 15:15:51	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc901a7…
07-27 15:07:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x0586f6…
07-27 15:07:00	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa158b3…
07-27 15:06:51	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xca7c78…
07-27 15:06:31	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf8dc0d…
07-27 15:06:22	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2b51d6…
07-27 15:01:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x39e743…
07-27 15:00:19	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd059fb…
07-27 15:00:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x322950…
07-27 14:45:04	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x7f72be…
07-27 12:23:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x552c26…
07-27 11:50:19	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46ab08…
07-27 11:19:40	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xcfc8f4…
07-27 10:40:06	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xff53d7…
07-27 10:07:54	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2fdb4d…
07-27 10:07:07	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaffc59…
07-27 09:22:48	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc55d0f…
07-27 09:22:45	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x091a97…
07-27 09:14:13	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x646ed7…
07-27 03:53:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x1c982b…
07-27 01:09:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf5b9ae…
07-27 01:09:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x71d11a…
07-27 01:09:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x930aa6…
07-27 01:06:52	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0c0d90…
07-27 01:01:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7c64e7…
07-26 23:42:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd3bccf…
07-26 23:36:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x86f078…
07-26 22:42:48	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x620fcf…
07-26 22:33:12	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x4fe8c7…
07-26 22:29:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x50239e…
07-26 22:17:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x333108…
07-26 22:11:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd8c3fc…
07-26 22:11:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x2f79e1…
07-26 22:11:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x74c1c3…
07-26 22:01:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1ea8cf…
07-26 22:00:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xc0ff56…
07-26 22:00:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x240b79…
07-26 21:41:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0e5d82…
07-26 21:21:39	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xde76db…
07-26 20:53:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x10b858…
07-26 20:29:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xab9ec7…
07-26 20:28:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xdbf56b…
07-26 20:28:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xbabe94…
07-26 20:28:27	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f60ff…
07-26 20:18:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x072578…
07-26 20:16:43	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1e2424…
07-26 20:08:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x6db975…
07-26 16:25:10	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xfa6521…
07-26 15:53:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe4b040…
07-26 15:45:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x02cec3…
07-26 15:35:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x71a96c…
07-26 15:35:39	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe366b0…
07-26 15:29:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xd10541…
07-26 15:25:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xda30a7…
07-26 14:23:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xac0085…
07-26 14:15:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb44388…
07-26 14:09:33	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6b3555…
07-26 14:09:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x4baa36…
07-26 13:59:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdef1d2…
07-26 13:52:03	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xcd9c60…
07-26 13:51:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3657a…
07-26 13:51:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5ba7e0…
07-26 13:48:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc198c7…
07-26 13:48:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xadf7e2…
07-26 13:46:42	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x74156e…
07-26 13:20:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x09e123…
07-26 12:59:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x91176f…
07-26 12:46:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xfcdde6…
07-26 12:45:54	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f8c77…
07-26 12:41:30	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x716db1…
07-26 12:19:46	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4fb56a…
07-26 12:09:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa3bcc6…
07-26 12:09:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xf15d3d…
07-26 11:53:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x21b6a7…
07-26 11:17:18	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa8288e…
07-26 11:14:51	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xf75c98…
07-26 11:13:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f66c0…
07-26 10:59:49	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xad8ece…
07-26 09:51:57	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc9a8c1…
07-26 05:23:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x14435d…
07-26 05:11:12	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xbd7c38…
07-26 04:38:13	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xaeb791…
07-26 04:29:07	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x26316d…
07-26 04:16:24	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x59e53c…
07-26 03:54:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x35e7b0…
07-26 03:54:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf2d2aa…
07-26 03:54:15	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7a477a…
07-26 03:28:15	Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x033063…
07-25 23:14:21	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xead17e…
07-25 23:06:58	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7ecd17…
07-25 23:06:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x60a7d9…
07-25 22:59:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xef6bb5…
07-25 17:39:16	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x4d40b9…
07-25 17:29:36	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x87f5c5…
07-25 17:29:22	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4bbdac…