Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$112

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-31

last 11-06 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% +$3

Politics

31% 42% -$13

Tech

6% 75% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$4	13	+13	Yes	-$2	08-03 19:41
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 05:20
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-20 22:47
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	09-24 03:37
will msft reach 495 by august 3 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-04 03:42
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-03 07:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	08-03 10:33
will msft reach 502 50 by september 14 2026 from september 15	1	$2	5	+5	No	+$3	09-16 07:19
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	9	+9	No	+$7	09-23 07:33
tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt34	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-01 22:27
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-23 07:34
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-02 19:11
will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	08-04 11:43
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-19 02:54
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-02 17:10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-07 14:27
will msft reach 502 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-17 04:31
crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 06:28
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-21 15:12
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-03 02:32
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-01 13:59
will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	07-31 12:55
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	08-01 04:58
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	2	$2	4	+4	No	+$0	09-27 08:34
will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-12 22:43
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	+$0	07-31 20:57
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-13 06:46
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-07 17:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-31 05:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 17:47:18	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x309195…
11-06 08:28:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x936398…
11-05 12:13:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf32f9…
11-05 02:41:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x881349…
11-02 04:22:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x52d18e…
11-01 20:02:28	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x80a55b…
10-31 21:56:15	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x169f00…
10-31 05:41:46	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd13d48…
10-28 08:25:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4edd9b…
10-28 00:04:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeab01f…
10-27 13:51:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xdb75ac…
10-27 05:42:53	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x861675…
10-23 04:27:18	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x286d1c…
10-22 20:25:24	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcfd660…
10-22 12:21:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x461043…
10-18 22:58:05	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $352 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb9e52a…
10-18 13:15:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x380c4b…
10-18 05:12:17	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb1bb24…
10-17 15:42:09	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa740be…
10-16 23:02:00	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6bfe96…
10-16 12:28:49	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe748fe…
10-16 03:45:10	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfe6144…
10-15 06:00:58	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x024ebb…
10-14 22:00:49	will lam research lrcx q1 total revenue be above 20261008120025000 8pt5b	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf7d32e…
10-14 01:02:06	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x277716…
10-12 04:00:30	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xab2ee5…
10-11 19:59:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x42f8ff…
10-11 11:42:56	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7b749b…
10-11 03:06:38	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0249e9…
10-10 11:44:31	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f77f3…
10-08 01:17:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xef440c…
10-07 17:16:53	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x121cc1…
10-06 20:10:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb5fbf5…
10-06 00:10:20	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd4be87…
10-05 15:30:01	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x06a1e1…
10-05 00:40:43	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc33593…
10-02 05:42:48	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcf8eaa…
10-01 16:52:56	will the next claude haiku 4pt6 model be released by october 7 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x26d652…
10-01 08:52:12	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb37fb8…
09-30 23:21:12	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa07709…
09-30 00:43:38	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4faed7…
09-29 16:32:18	will googl reach 350 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x520bbf…
09-29 08:21:17	will trump say radical left during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x58151b…
09-29 08:18:23	will msft dip to 502 50 by september 28 2026 from september 28	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x749e94…
09-28 22:47:09	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xddf23b…
09-28 14:40:20	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x927699…
09-28 05:22:21	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc8a7f1…
09-27 21:22:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xafe2ce…
09-27 08:34:45	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x86aa3a…
09-27 08:23:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x07b532…
09-26 10:39:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6c6e30…
09-25 13:38:21	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4a3973…
09-25 04:23:44	will amzn reach 252 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x06ba02…
09-24 19:47:59	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x78ae1b…
09-24 11:38:35	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5bbab0…
09-24 03:37:44	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa54276…
09-23 07:34:26	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe5dddf…
09-23 07:33:23	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xabb67f…
09-20 22:47:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x22fe0c…
09-19 05:20:43	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x10ce85…
09-16 07:19:10	will msft reach 502 50 by september 14 2026 from september 15	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa406d1…
09-07 14:27:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xe23edc…
09-03 07:50:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xbf8af4…
09-02 19:11:31	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa1ab2c…
08-21 15:12:27	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xd53b17…
08-19 02:54:13	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6d63e7…
08-17 04:31:07	will msft reach 502 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x06ac26…
08-13 06:46:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x30b042…
08-12 22:43:48	will trump say transgender during remarks in new york 20260811183234693	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xe55031…
08-04 11:43:57	will trump say hell 8 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421447	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x105f33…
08-04 03:42:03	will msft reach 495 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0ea130…
08-03 19:41:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x6b1894…
08-03 10:33:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xafceac…
08-03 10:33:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x17ad1d…
08-03 02:32:41	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3a6a39…
08-02 17:10:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9a7caf…
08-02 06:28:36	crsp quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 neg1pt18	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xaeacee…
08-01 22:27:24	tko quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt34	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc502ab…
08-01 13:59:38	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6b0d63…
08-01 04:58:00	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x161313…
07-31 20:57:02	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcec4aa…
07-31 12:55:56	will trump say data center during cabinet meeting 20260727172357448	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x357f2b…