Thorny-Platinum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

Trades

186

lifetime

Volume

$850

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-26 15:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 75% +$4

Other

22% — —

Politics

12% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-2

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	4	$93	65	65	+0	open	—	03-19 07:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$50	29	29	+0	open	—	01-22 12:38
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$40	30	30	+0	open	—	04-02 17:25
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	22	22	+0	open	—	02-28 20:17
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	$-1	03-26 13:58
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 07:49
xrp updown 5m 1774008600	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	03-20 12:14
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$29	18	18	+0	open	—	03-07 14:21
sol updown 15m 1770966000	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	02-13 07:14
ethereum up or down january 17 7am et	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	01-17 12:59
btc updown 5m 1773386700	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	03-13 07:29
eth updown 5m 1776951000	1	$22	32	0	+32	open	—	04-23 13:34
eth updown 15m 1776257100	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	04-15 12:59
eth updown 15m 1769653800	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	01-29 02:40
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-14 04:02
btc updown 15m 1769085000	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	01-22 12:44
eth updown 15m 1774353600	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-24 12:14
btc updown 15m 1770532200	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-08 06:44
eth updown 5m 1775135100	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-02 13:09
xrp updown 15m 1772777700	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 06:29
doge updown 5m 1775651400	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-08 12:34
eth updown 15m 1772109000	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-26 12:43
eth updown 15m 1771744500	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-22 07:29
btc updown 5m 1780730100	6	$7	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$6	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$5	41	8	+33	open	—	04-29 14:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$4	24	18	+6	Down	+$0	05-07 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$4	15	15	+0	open	—	04-29 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$4	24	9	+16	open	—	04-29 13:52
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$4	0	100	-100	open	—	01-17 12:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 15:12:31	btc updown 5m 1782486600	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39d379…
06-26 15:12:20	btc updown 5m 1782486600	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x384418…
06-26 15:10:58	btc updown 5m 1782486600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8dff99…
06-26 15:07:41	btc updown 5m 1782486300	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7b5fc7…
06-26 15:04:32	btc updown 5m 1782486000	Down	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xf25ea9…
06-26 15:03:11	btc updown 5m 1782486000	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x383b12…
06-26 15:02:31	btc updown 5m 1782486000	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x2aa47a…
06-26 15:01:47	btc updown 5m 1782486000	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x31003b…
06-26 14:56:37	btc updown 5m 1782485700	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xc2d90e…
06-26 14:56:04	btc updown 5m 1782485700	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5bd259…
06-26 14:55:28	eth updown 15m 1782485100	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xae5d5e…
06-26 14:55:08	eth updown 15m 1782485100	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6659b…
06-06 07:18:18	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0f4732…
06-06 07:17:54	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x474714…
06-06 07:17:33	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x9c9779…
06-06 07:17:12	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd95672…
06-06 07:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1de3e4…
06-06 07:15:30	btc updown 5m 1780730100	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8201e…
06-06 07:13:49	btc updown 5m 1780729800	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb25e03…
06-06 07:13:19	btc updown 5m 1780729800	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xce7878…
06-06 07:07:00	btc updown 5m 1780729500	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x694b1b…
06-06 07:06:34	btc updown 5m 1780729500	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x7e301a…
06-06 07:06:03	btc updown 5m 1780729500	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3c13a…
06-06 06:57:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x9c2cef…
05-28 08:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c33cf…
05-23 12:40:15	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb83677…
05-16 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x981f62…
05-16 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x8f2086…
05-16 07:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x86fd8f…
05-16 07:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6a4d7a…
05-16 07:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x98d392…
05-16 07:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xff0294…
05-16 07:21:00	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x86707f…
05-07 12:37:12	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x973f71…
05-07 12:33:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x188dc2…
05-07 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x826ff7…
05-07 12:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8f7153…
05-07 12:27:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8a5460…
05-07 12:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x78afa5…
05-07 12:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7ea954…
05-07 12:25:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x8622cc…
05-07 12:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x8e0409…
05-01 12:48:48	Solana Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f4922…
04-30 02:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x294d1d…
04-30 02:48:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x328aeb…
04-30 02:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x74644f…
04-30 02:38:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0f8597…
04-29 16:04:30	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb31298…
04-29 15:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x46ad47…
04-29 15:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf2a7ed…
04-29 15:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xa0f3cc…
04-29 15:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbb7299…
04-29 15:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x974696…
04-29 15:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x59a2f1…
04-29 15:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x71d8d2…
04-29 15:23:44	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3bc49d…
04-29 15:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x758832…
04-29 15:17:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x70b854…
04-29 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf262ea…
04-29 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x18a6cc…
04-29 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x86c92e…
04-29 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x9744a6…
04-29 14:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa4df19…
04-29 13:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0xe6ba37…
04-29 13:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x558e90…
04-29 13:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x03b2e3…
04-29 13:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x247e6d…
04-29 13:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x1bed87…
04-29 13:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc6c3eb…
04-29 13:43:34	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb38b60…
04-29 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x05ba1f…
04-29 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x65042f…
04-29 13:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf8a447…
04-29 13:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x72d3d9…
04-29 13:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb69a20…
04-29 13:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x188797…
04-29 13:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x6c68a0…
04-29 13:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4598b6…
04-29 13:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5dea2c…
04-29 13:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7ba3e3…
04-29 13:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x3a6ccd…
04-29 13:18:54	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x178c2c…
04-29 13:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd90e4b…
04-29 13:17:00	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d8d80…
04-29 13:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x776ec8…
04-29 13:13:22	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc13de6…
04-29 13:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x60d5ee…
04-29 13:12:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x5401e7…
04-29 13:10:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7199dc…
04-29 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0x89807e…
04-29 13:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5386bb…
04-29 13:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$2	0xe990f3…
04-29 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd5bdb5…
04-29 13:04:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xa9665b…
04-29 13:03:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3946e2…
04-29 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xdb486a…
04-29 13:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x225fe7…
04-29 12:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6f9dc5…
04-29 12:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x23f900…
04-29 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x08e1c0…