Thorny-Platinum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved

190

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$990

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-10 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 48% -$17

Other

29% 39% +$7

Politics

10% 67% -$1

Sports

7% 46% -$2

Tech

5% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	4	$93	65	65	+0	Yes	-$1	03-19 07:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	4	$50	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	01-22 12:38
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$40	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 17:25
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 20:17
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$39	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	03-26 13:58
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-08 07:49
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 12:10 UTC	1	$30	40	0	+40	Up	+$10	03-20 12:14
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$29	18	18	+0	No	-$1	03-07 14:21
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-13 07:00 UTC	1	$28	28	0	+28	Up	+$0	02-13 07:14
ethereum up or down january 17 7am et	1	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	01-17 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 07:25 UTC	1	$25	28	0	+28	Up	+$3	03-13 07:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 13:30 UTC	1	$22	32	0	+32	Up	-$22	04-23 13:34
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-15 12:45 UTC	1	$22	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	04-15 12:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 02:30 UTC	1	$22	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	01-29 02:40
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	02-14 04:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 12:30 UTC	1	$20	23	0	+23	Up	+$3	01-22 12:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 12:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-24 12:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 06:15 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-06 06:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:05 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-02 13:09
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 12:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	04-08 12:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 06:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	02-08 06:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	02-22 07:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 12:30 UTC	1	$18	18	0	+18	Up	+$0	02-26 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	6	$7	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	06-06 07:18
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$6	19	19	+0	Down	+$2	04-29 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$6	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 12:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	5	$5	35	18	+17	Down	-$1	05-07 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$5	41	8	+33	Down	-$1	04-29 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$5	14	14	+0	No	-$1	05-16 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$4	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 04:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x18616b…
11-09 13:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1a06bd…
11-09 13:56:07	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf087f6…
11-09 07:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x434eba…
11-09 07:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xcbf86e…
11-09 07:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe87db1…
11-09 07:23:01	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6ca1e2…
11-09 07:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on November 10?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1fb5ab…
11-09 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47e7a5…
11-09 07:17:39	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5f0b7c…
10-09 14:06:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc4e90d…
10-09 07:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x0d1c0c…
10-09 07:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6dd7fd…
10-09 07:28:25	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xce403b…
10-09 07:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x91f8dd…
10-09 07:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x0dff68…
10-09 07:25:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xce6ff4…
09-14 12:43:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xc347af…
09-13 13:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaad8b0…
09-13 13:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x74d90f…
09-13 13:08:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x4e00c0…
09-13 13:07:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb54bd0…
08-12 07:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x692fd0…
08-12 07:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x991ea9…
08-11 07:12:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x1cad1f…
08-11 07:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xeec31c…
08-11 07:06:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd93b5f…
08-11 07:05:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8e3d7c…
08-11 07:03:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x09a37d…
08-11 07:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x390b60…
08-11 07:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x72d0df…
08-11 06:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9931da…
07-22 08:18:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xfd5638…
07-22 08:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x8704af…
07-21 08:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0xac81ee…
07-21 08:37:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x315249…
07-21 08:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x601de2…
07-21 08:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6ca43e…
07-21 08:27:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf237b2…
07-21 08:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb0d757…
07-21 08:25:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x3573d6…
07-09 08:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4c7cb8…
07-08 14:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x4fc7fa…
07-08 14:07:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x77022e…
07-08 14:02:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x8a9517…
07-08 14:01:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8d36fb…
07-08 13:57:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0b7855…
07-08 13:54:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x5f76da…
07-08 13:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x13fb91…
07-08 13:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9fc0b4…
07-08 13:45:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4f5626…
07-08 13:44:38	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x803cd3…
06-28 08:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xfc660c…
06-27 07:01:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xce980f…
06-26 15:12:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39d379…
06-26 15:12:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:10 UTC	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x384418…
06-26 15:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8dff99…
06-26 15:07:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7b5fc7…
06-26 15:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0xf25ea9…
06-26 15:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x383b12…
06-26 15:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x2aa47a…
06-26 15:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x31003b…
06-26 14:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xf37659…
06-26 14:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xabe80d…
06-26 14:56:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xc2d90e…
06-26 14:56:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5bd259…
06-26 14:55:28	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xae5d5e…
06-26 14:55:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-26 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6659b…
06-26 14:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe6222d…
06-26 14:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x493a2b…
06-26 14:47:47	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc33544…
06-26 14:47:22	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x6a4dd3…
06-26 14:46:59	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9810ca…
06-26 14:46:40	Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x59f91f…
06-26 14:46:26	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe58133…
06-19 14:44:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x565a0b…
06-17 08:08:55	Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbae9f7…
06-17 08:07:11	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x99dad7…
06-17 08:06:59	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc64f83…
06-17 08:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5b53f…
06-17 08:05:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd71150…
06-17 08:03:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xccacac…
06-07 14:40:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x098b97…
06-07 14:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x380d5a…
06-06 07:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0f4732…
06-06 07:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x474714…
06-06 07:17:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x9c9779…
06-06 07:17:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd95672…
06-06 07:15:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x1de3e4…
06-06 07:15:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa8201e…
06-06 07:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xb25e03…
06-06 07:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xce7878…
06-06 07:07:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x694b1b…
06-06 07:06:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x7e301a…
06-06 07:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc3c13a…
06-06 07:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x316e28…
06-06 06:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xf99b06…
06-06 06:58:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd696e1…
06-06 06:57:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x9c2cef…
06-01 14:31:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x039f56…