Worst-Festival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$678

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

101

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$6.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-15 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% -$512

Sports

43% 65% +$147

Politics

5% 29% -$306

Crypto

2% 40% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	5	$426	552	552	+0	No	-$288	05-23 00:22
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$253	341	115	+226	Thunder	-$131	05-23 00:22
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	2	$225	145	145	+0	76ers	+$63	05-03 02:10
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	3	$197	117	117	+0	Under	+$37	05-10 14:31
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?	3	$191	278	0	+278	Yes	-$191	05-17 03:37
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	2	$170	100	100	+0	Over	+$30	05-10 04:22
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	1	$151	296	0	+296	Knicks	-$151	05-10 00:21
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	1	$150	218	0	+218	Germany	-$150	06-14 13:02
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score	2	$150	105	105	+0	No	+$60	05-17 03:33
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$147	227	0	+227	No	-$147	05-12 07:37
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$141	82	82	+0	Timberwolves	+$24	05-11 02:50
VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5	2	$137	98	98	+0	Under	+$57	05-09 15:58
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	2	$123	203	0	+203	Over	+$79	05-14 00:56
Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$122	167	0	+167	No	-$122	05-13 14:12
nba gsw phx 2026 02 05	1	$120	182	0	+182	Warriors	-$120	02-06 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 27?	2	$119	103	99	+4	Yes	+$83	04-27 23:23
will domantas sabonis be traded this season	1	$118	171	0	+171	No	+$53	01-14 02:12
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	2	$113	73	73	+0	Over	+$33	05-11 02:50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	2	$112	70	70	+0	Yes	+$28	05-03 15:13
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	2	$112	62	62	+0	Chelsea FC	+$12	05-09 13:52
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	1	$102	204	0	+204	Pistons	-$102	05-01 09:22
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$101	62	61	+1	1. FSV Mainz 05	+$21	04-25 16:28
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	1	$99	132	0	+132	Over	+$33	05-18 09:39
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$98	148	0	+148	Spurs	+$50	05-14 04:41
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$95	153	0	+153	Cavaliers	+$58	05-09 11:56
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	2	$85	54	54	+0	76ers	+$23	05-01 02:53
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	1	$85	160	0	+160	Over	+$75	05-11 02:52
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	1	$80	157	0	+157	Knicks	-$80	05-04 04:49
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	1	$80	121	0	+121	Spurs	+$41	04-26 06:59
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?	1	$80	113	0	+113	No	+$33	05-10 00:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 00:46:49	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x3e87bd…
06-14 13:04:52	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	No	BUY	56	74¢	$41	0x9d648e…
06-14 13:02:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 4pt5	Curaçao	BUY	218	69¢	$150	0xc04a53…
06-12 05:23:27	Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	537	7¢	$40	0x961a1c…
06-12 05:17:55	Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	106	50¢	$53	0x14987f…
05-23 00:22:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	116	57¢	$66	0x929a89…
05-23 00:22:27	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	552	13¢	$69	0xfdf57f…
05-22 13:27:55	Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)	OGC Nice	BUY	96	62¢	$59	0x1a63d1…
05-22 13:24:04	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	115	53¢	$61	0x6e1134…
05-22 01:15:01	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	73	67¢	$49	0xb36f69…
05-21 08:37:05	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	225	56¢	$126	0xa2e94c…
05-20 12:01:49	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5	Over	BUY	97	72¢	$70	0x50b593…
05-20 01:13:30	Spread: Knicks (-8.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	79	76¢	$60	0x55426f…
05-19 08:16:42	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	118	68¢	$80	0x160e7d…
05-18 09:39:31	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	132	75¢	$99	0x9f5c18…
05-18 09:39:13	Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xf7a14c…
05-17 03:37:36	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	148	70¢	$103	0x53c38f…
05-17 03:33:22	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8c335b…
05-17 03:05:46	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xda9845…
05-17 03:00:58	Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-16?	No	BUY	104	67¢	$70	0x73a208…
05-17 01:17:09	Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	105	43¢	$45	0x8b2cc4…
05-16 14:01:50	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	102	44¢	$45	0xba10f7…
05-16 07:41:23	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5	Over	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x8e85cf…
05-14 04:41:37	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	148	66¢	$98	0x493571…
05-14 04:38:21	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	151	68¢	$103	0x916046…
05-14 00:56:31	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	57	76¢	$43	0xf65bca…
05-13 14:12:57	Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	167	73¢	$122	0xd1f547…
05-13 08:43:29	Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x0436a3…
05-13 07:05:10	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x5bd435…
05-12 12:10:31	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	152	67¢	$101	0x7df395…
05-12 08:00:20	Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-12?	No	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x76fa22…
05-12 08:00:11	Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xd70993…
05-12 07:37:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Over	BUY	130	54¢	$70	0x50e2d5…
05-12 07:37:09	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x26e656…
05-12 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xe742fa…
05-12 05:54:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x952f71…
05-11 13:24:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x5c054a…
05-11 13:24:07	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x62abdc…
05-11 13:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x3dc036…
05-11 11:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x6f2944…
05-11 04:55:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x89fa60…
05-11 02:55:10	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	141	69¢	$97	0x5f83c9…
05-11 02:52:29	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	160	53¢	$85	0xefba7f…
05-11 02:51:47	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xdd6e49…
05-11 02:50:23	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x867faa…
05-11 02:50:09	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x0af469…
05-11 00:35:44	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	82	71¢	$59	0x5c86dd…
05-10 15:33:21	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xc30fec…
05-10 15:23:43	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x7ce737…
05-10 14:55:12	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5	Over	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x1868cc…
05-10 14:54:31	Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	70	57¢	$40	0xaaf299…
05-10 14:31:06	Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x1c3613…
05-10 11:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	108	18¢	$20	0xf6e393…
05-10 11:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x2888cb…
05-10 11:42:12	Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb578e7…
05-10 11:41:56	Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	88	68¢	$60	0x06fe2c…
05-10 04:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	SELL	97	1¢	$1	0x56e540…
05-10 04:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xe67c75…
05-10 04:22:55	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x92458a…
05-10 01:06:34	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x85d1f7…
05-10 00:25:49	Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	113	71¢	$80	0x139f87…
05-10 00:21:39	Spread: Knicks (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	296	51¢	$151	0x7de8ba…
05-09 16:05:39	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	133	55¢	$73	0xa12677…
05-09 16:02:05	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x3490db…
05-09 15:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd9d145…
05-09 15:58:46	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x2b524a…
05-09 15:58:28	VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x818d0a…
05-09 14:00:21	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	90	59¢	$53	0xf89a68…
05-09 13:57:55	VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xaff6ce…
05-09 13:52:58	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xb64b04…
05-09 13:52:47	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xf87ab1…
05-09 11:56:48	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xf71600…
05-09 11:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x523461…
05-09 11:51:48	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x7ec2ad…
05-09 11:45:55	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x2f8d51…
05-09 11:44:57	Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)	Chelsea FC	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x912deb…
05-09 11:44:45	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xdc52e0…
05-09 06:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3ed90b…
05-05 07:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0xb09d28…
05-04 13:38:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x830c26…
05-04 13:35:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x50cd9e…
05-04 04:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?	Yes	BUY	58	34¢	$19	0x1c100f…
05-04 04:52:54	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0x6f953f…
05-04 04:49:50	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0xe59056…
05-04 00:24:34	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	104	50¢	$52	0x269954…
05-03 15:25:04	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x53d22d…
05-03 15:20:20	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x473b2c…
05-03 15:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xb543ce…
05-03 15:13:16	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0xa0c3ab…
05-03 14:13:44	Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x8df1f0…
05-03 14:11:50	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xc59526…
05-03 14:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0xfb36f6…
05-03 08:24:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	70	60¢	$42	0x7b665e…
05-03 05:44:10	Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xaa6ee5…
05-03 05:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x1f3fba…
05-03 02:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x2f71c2…
05-03 02:10:36	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0xa04609…
05-01 15:15:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x3cf4c9…
05-01 15:11:32	Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	76ers	BUY	145	56¢	$81	0xde83a3…
05-01 09:22:22	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Magic	BUY	204	50¢	$102	0x370dce…