Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.2%

Resolved

169

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$6.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-14 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Politics

80% 10% +$179

Crypto

10% 20% -$36

Other

8% 13% -$205

Sports

3% 27% +$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$1.6K	2,920	2,920	+0	No	-$273	03-23 11:41
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	7	$1.2K	2,386	2,386	+0	Yes	+$152	02-28 07:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$851	1,348	0	+1,348	Yes	+$498	02-28 06:30
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	3	$379	780	780	+0	No	-$83	03-07 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:45 UTC	2	$254	158	156	+2	Up	+$56	03-07 10:51
houthi strike on israel by february 28	2	$181	403	403	+0	No	-$19	02-28 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	4	$93	295	293	+2	Down	-$47	03-07 10:32
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$89	288	288	+0	Yes	-$9	02-27 21:06
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$89	74	74	+0	Sean Strickland	+$60	05-10 04:50
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$56	79	79	+0	No	-$2	06-22 15:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$55	173	43	+130	Yes	+$161	03-08 21:45
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$55	688	0	+688	No	-$55	02-20 11:58
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$54	981	0	+981	No	-$54	02-20 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:45 UTC	4	$43	131	31	+100	Up	+$9	01-10 09:57
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	2	$39	551	0	+551	No	-$39	07-11 21:08
israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	2	$37	226	226	+0	No	-$13	03-19 16:03
spx opens up or down on january 23 2026	2	$32	29	29	+0	Down	+$22	01-23 14:40
iran strike on us military by february 28	3	$25	916	0	+916	Yes	-$25	02-28 20:34
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	2	$24	67	67	+0	Yes	+$20	01-23 03:30
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$24	110	110	+0	No	+$5	06-22 17:54
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$22	100	100	+0	No	+$12	03-23 11:49
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	3	$21	1,169	0	+1,169	No	-$21	02-20 11:57
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$20	270	270	+0	No	+$0	02-27 21:58
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	1	$20	71	0	+71	No	-$20	01-29 06:36
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte2	1	$19	70	0	+70	No	-$19	06-23 10:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$19	23	23	+0	Yes	-$1	02-19 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 09:30 UTC	3	$18	25	25	+0	Up	+$10	01-10 09:43
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$17	16	16	+0	Yes	-$3	02-26 08:40
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	-$3	02-18 20:00
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	3	$16	53	53	+0	No	-$2	01-10 10:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:52:25	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xcf2126…
07-14 20:50:31	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	97	2¢	$2	0x6c7556…
07-14 20:50:08	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	SELL	176	0¢	$0	0xeeaefb…
07-14 20:45:50	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$2	0x58e90a…
07-14 20:45:25	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$3	0xed3fda…
07-14 20:44:43	Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xea9b7a…
07-11 21:08:20	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	123	7¢	$9	0x5d07fd…
07-11 20:57:19	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	429	7¢	$30	0x02a481…
07-07 17:56:29	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xe14d01…
07-07 17:12:46	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xa4275c…
07-07 17:12:10	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x06ffc8…
07-03 22:29:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	62	4¢	$2	0x4f5b92…
07-03 22:12:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xb5a2ad…
06-23 10:23:10	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 goals harry kane gte2	Yes	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0x5f146c…
06-22 17:54:01	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	34	14¢	$5	0xcfe990…
06-22 17:45:29	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2a57a1…
06-22 17:44:26	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	76	13¢	$10	0x9d32f9…
06-22 15:53:14	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts first half	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xda961f…
06-22 15:52:46	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	SELL	79	34¢	$27	0x29677a…
06-21 11:29:58	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	79	37¢	$29	0xd0ddb9…
06-20 18:25:58	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x30b9a4…
06-20 17:48:02	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xad01db…
06-20 17:47:26	Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x3b814d…
06-20 17:20:29	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xf681ee…
06-20 17:20:10	Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1029ed…
05-19 11:13:09	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	8¢	$9	0xa55c71…
05-17 13:59:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x75082a…
05-11 06:36:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x2d80eb…
05-10 04:50:08	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x4c9500…
05-09 14:14:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0xf8fb3f…
05-09 14:13:53	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	938	2¢	$15	0x4a618a…
05-03 22:34:24	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x1cb97c…
04-23 11:39:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf42de0…
04-23 11:39:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd3e8f3…
04-23 11:39:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1cddc5…
04-03 23:53:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$5	0x4ed386…
03-23 11:49:03	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x005f0c…
03-23 11:41:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,920	23¢	$672	0x839df5…
03-23 11:21:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,848	33¢	$940	0x404e92…
03-23 09:28:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x22c991…
03-23 09:26:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x10913b…
03-23 09:24:41	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	455	0¢	$1	0x5a93a8…
03-23 09:24:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	Yes	SELL	406	0¢	$1	0x6d3cfc…
03-23 09:23:55	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x6a17cd…
03-19 16:03:49	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	226	5¢	$12	0xc8f0f0…
03-19 07:49:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x7dde62…
03-19 07:48:31	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2b01b3…
03-18 17:04:21	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0xadbdbd…
03-18 16:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8ddc7c…
03-13 12:50:17	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x2dee94…
03-11 14:14:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb6fc16…
03-11 14:13:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3e3d4f…
03-11 14:13:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb4c717…
03-11 14:13:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc0545e…
03-08 21:45:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xc7a8e2…
03-07 10:51:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	156	99¢	$154	0x92544e…
03-07 10:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	158	63¢	$100	0x0585a6…
03-07 10:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	293	8¢	$23	0x2b6a93…
03-07 10:32:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xc8b712…
03-07 10:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	153	29¢	$45	0x678ae6…
03-07 10:31:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x867e89…
03-07 10:10:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	780	19¢	$148	0x55d556…
03-06 17:45:19	Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0xd5822d…
03-05 22:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xfbe20b…
03-05 22:47:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x330fd6…
03-05 22:46:11	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0xd0aa08…
03-05 20:18:53	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf8d052…
03-03 13:05:11	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	776	30¢	$230	0xce569e…
03-03 13:03:33	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbb784c…
03-02 21:39:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	173	7¢	$12	0x4e04a1…
03-02 21:33:21	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	226	11¢	$25	0x38328b…
03-01 11:24:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x30dfb3…
03-01 11:23:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	13¢	$5	0x738124…
02-28 20:34:01	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	260	6¢	$15	0x6ade69…
02-28 18:33:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xcd7a91…
02-28 18:32:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd8c82d…
02-28 18:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:25 UTC	Down	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x367745…
02-28 18:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x5964c6…
02-28 18:25:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xf47a05…
02-28 18:23:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0x081718…
02-28 18:23:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	27	3¢	$1	0x6faf85…
02-28 18:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x155179…
02-28 18:19:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7fef22…
02-28 18:14:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa91757…
02-28 17:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xca7f1c…
02-28 17:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3ed11b…
02-28 16:35:29	houthi strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	403	20¢	$81	0x679162…
02-28 15:28:29	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0xead056…
02-28 14:03:39	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	239	2¢	$5	0x7c6740…
02-28 13:48:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x76acdb…
02-28 13:03:43	houthi strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	403	25¢	$100	0x86998c…
02-28 12:07:47	will the us next strike iran on march 31 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4e1235…
02-28 12:07:39	will the us next strike iran on march 30 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc91163…
02-28 12:07:31	will the us next strike iran on march 29 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8cc826…
02-28 12:07:21	will the us next strike iran on march 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x82318f…
02-28 12:07:13	will the us next strike iran on march 27 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x976ba1…
02-28 12:07:07	will the us next strike iran on march 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbbee96…
02-28 12:07:01	will the us next strike iran on march 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x46dccc…
02-28 12:06:55	will the us next strike iran on march 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd37464…
02-28 12:06:45	will the us next strike iran on march 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc03e34…