Limping-Aid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 05-14 14:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

40% 50% $-5

Politics

37% 50% $-6

Crypto

22% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$453	400	400	+0	open	—	04-16 13:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	12	$399	400	400	+0	open	—	04-19 16:33
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	19	$373	510	610	-100	open	—	04-25 13:56
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	24	$169	400	400	+0	open	—	04-27 19:03
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	11	$153	186	186	+0	open	—	04-28 02:16
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	6	$149	150	150	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 10:23
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	10	$105	200	100	+100	open	—	04-26 15:37
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	4	$101	100	100	+0	open	—	05-04 17:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	6	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 22:42
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	6	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 20:39
donald trump of truth social posts april 14 april 21 180 199	6	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 03:25
James Comey arrested by May 15?	2	$97	200	0	+200	open	—	04-29 05:12
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	5	$92	100	50	+50	Michael	$-6	04-26 17:14
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	4	$70	72	72	+0	open	—	04-28 02:15
donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	2	$69	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 20:42
solana up or down april 10 2026 1pm et	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	04-10 17:50
donald trump of truth social posts april 10 april 17 120 139	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 15:38
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	2	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:45
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	17	$41	80	80	+0	open	—	04-20 02:16
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	8	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	05-07 11:10
xrp up or down april 10 2026 1pm et	1	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	04-10 17:50
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$28	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 02:42
will trump say tax 10 times during no tax on tips roundtable	8	$26	220	112	+107	open	—	04-17 00:03
bitcoin up or down april 8 2026 7pm et	2	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	04-08 23:50
xrp up or down april 8 2026 7pm et	2	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	04-08 23:50
ethereum up or down april 9 2026 9pm et	1	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	04-10 01:50
solana up or down april 8 2026 5pm et	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-08 21:50
xrp up or down april 9 2026 4pm et	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-09 20:50
xrp up or down april 9 2026 1am et	2	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	04-09 05:50
ethereum up or down april 8 2026 4pm et	2	$25	31	0	+31	open	—	04-08 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 14:23:49	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x746df2…
05-11 12:45:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xbf7435…
05-11 11:30:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $435 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xaf4233…
05-11 00:00:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x10acf3…
05-10 22:04:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xee976a…
05-07 11:22:04	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf0a347…
05-07 11:10:34	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0x63573a…
05-07 11:09:07	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x1bcfd1…
05-06 10:23:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x72b274…
05-06 05:44:08	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x36b01a…
05-05 02:57:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	SELL	100	51¢	$51	0x97eef7…
05-04 18:57:00	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xf43fc7…
05-04 17:21:02	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xdafa30…
05-02 17:46:18	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x3978c3…
05-02 06:50:58	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x057673…
05-02 05:32:56	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x036e49…
05-02 04:52:06	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xb6233e…
05-02 04:52:06	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x2c8c2a…
05-01 23:21:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x54cbc7…
05-01 23:15:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xc7a151…
05-01 23:14:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x9bfe19…
05-01 23:11:26	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xbd0d3c…
05-01 21:21:18	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	SELL	64	5¢	$3	0x7ee3b0…
05-01 02:56:22	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9b9f5e…
04-30 21:52:08	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x663940…
04-30 19:24:12	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x46becb…
04-30 15:49:20	James Comey mugshot released by May 5?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xd77e50…
04-29 23:05:22	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x1c540d…
04-29 23:05:22	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x1c540d…
04-29 20:52:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x213227…
04-29 19:19:38	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf12109…
04-29 08:18:24	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x119011…
04-29 05:12:14	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x37bc4f…
04-29 04:16:38	James Comey arrested by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x7150f7…
04-29 02:42:56	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x109960…
04-29 02:42:44	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x9e6d8c…
04-28 21:44:52	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x5b3f38…
04-28 20:45:34	Will Boston Celtics advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2ad034…
04-28 18:31:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x58882f…
04-28 02:16:42	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x7dd2e2…
04-28 02:16:32	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xbf34f6…
04-28 02:15:22	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	47¢	$34	0xe1f7b1…
04-28 01:09:34	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x8d6341…
04-27 22:38:36	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	49¢	$16	0x74238f…
04-27 21:44:12	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x540113…
04-27 19:43:04	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x847292…
04-27 19:03:04	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xf357b6…
04-27 18:48:02	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x67e17e…
04-27 16:55:18	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8cfadd…
04-27 16:54:40	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	89¢	$39	0x323472…
04-27 16:51:10	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x8ef013…
04-27 16:20:32	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xabf6ed…
04-27 13:51:46	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xff33f7…
04-27 12:09:58	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	54	25¢	$14	0x885b4f…
04-27 10:16:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x60d2f8…
04-27 10:16:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x796501…
04-27 10:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x9e49ca…
04-27 10:15:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x332e43…
04-27 05:45:20	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	50	21¢	$11	0x242689…
04-27 02:29:16	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x88d772…
04-26 19:21:42	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xfbdc8c…
04-26 17:14:48	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x94a5ca…
04-26 16:46:56	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0xa73bad…
04-26 15:46:26	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0xd85c16…
04-26 15:43:02	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe709d6…
04-26 15:37:26	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x66d8a5…
04-26 13:49:32	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf10048…
04-26 06:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x246601…
04-25 21:23:08	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0xf77689…
04-25 18:44:38	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	The Devil Wears Prada 2	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xbb3716…
04-25 18:31:26	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xf2e7fd…
04-25 18:31:02	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x6ab650…
04-25 18:00:42	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0xd60165…
04-25 17:59:12	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xea8c86…
04-25 17:13:38	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	186	9¢	$17	0xca218c…
04-25 16:13:52	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf96781…
04-25 15:47:24	The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	Michael	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0x36d62b…
04-25 15:04:36	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xcf20b1…
04-25 14:38:04	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x757762…
04-25 14:06:30	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x18b9e8…
04-25 13:56:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x571829…
04-25 13:44:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	17¢	$16	0x0d25c2…
04-25 13:00:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xfba141…
04-24 21:54:14	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xad6e1d…
04-24 15:42:08	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	9	52¢	$4	0x48598a…
04-24 15:29:06	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x165a34…
04-24 15:15:44	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0xc8e6ec…
04-24 15:13:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xfabd19…
04-24 14:39:30	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	41	52¢	$22	0x008bbf…
04-24 13:47:52	Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x3c19db…
04-24 13:47:24	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xb51cc9…
04-24 13:47:00	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x3ac4cf…
04-24 12:38:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	17¢	$16	0xb37313…
04-24 12:36:18	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x60c5fe…
04-24 12:28:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x8363eb…
04-23 20:42:18	donald trump of truth social posts april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x6cda31…
04-23 20:22:46	Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xe7e2b2…
04-23 18:45:50	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 20 and June 26?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x55b07f…
04-23 18:45:40	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 13 and June 19?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x9f497b…
04-23 05:59:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xd1e83b…