Original-Lathe-Maker — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

27 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$345

$345 lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up		+20	$14	99¢	$20	+$6	05-05 22:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$25	40	+40	open	—	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Up	+$1	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	05-05 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$17	20	+20	open	—	05-05 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$16	20	+20	Up	+$4	05-05 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$15	20	+20	Down	$-15	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$7	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Down	$-7	05-05 04:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-05 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	+$4	05-05 03:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$2	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	20	+20	open	—	05-05 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$0	20	+20	open	—	05-05 20:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x82c975…
05-05 20:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1b902d…
05-05 20:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf07e72…
05-05 19:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xcf9b2d…
05-05 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x85a331…
05-05 19:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc3829b…
05-05 18:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x8dc2f7…
05-05 17:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x300245…
05-05 16:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd624a0…
05-05 15:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xaef07a…
05-05 15:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe9f0cf…
05-05 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x08d964…
05-05 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x2614db…
05-05 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x529694…
05-05 14:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xc7a8fa…
05-05 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x62411c…
05-05 13:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6533cb…
05-05 13:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x8c3f4b…
05-05 12:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x88cb7c…
05-05 12:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x983488…
05-05 11:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xb94868…
05-05 05:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x6150f6…
05-05 04:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6786e9…
05-05 03:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd3c8dc…
05-05 02:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xfef6ea…
05-05 02:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8bacfa…
05-04 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xc29f94…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$7.08K	113	05-05 22:00
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	24	$2.70K	113	05-05 20:09
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	19	$1.27K	240	05-05 22:00
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	19	$926	82	05-05 22:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	17	$907	52	05-05 22:00
Suspicious-Comedy 0x6e58…b5b1	16	$883	51	05-05 20:08
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	16	$644	55	05-05 20:08
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	15	$883	51	05-05 22:00