Bumpy-Appreciation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$132

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

258

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-28 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

36% 0% $-126

Crypto

1% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	28	$3.7K	16,499	16,499	+0	open	—	07-15 10:31
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	10	$2.7K	2,573	2,573	+0	open	—	07-23 10:41
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	17	$2.0K	1,750	1,750	+0	open	—	06-08 22:50
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	4	$750	600	600	+0	Yes	$-126	04-01 14:48
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	6	$634	11,592	0	+11,592	open	—	05-11 09:25
will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	3	$590	671	671	+0	open	—	06-10 18:21
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	4	$510	6,077	0	+6,077	open	—	07-26 11:11
iran full airspace closure by july 27	10	$490	4,229	4,229	+0	open	—	07-27 21:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$471	1,136	1,165	-29	open	—	06-12 14:50
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$467	274	274	+0	open	—	03-26 06:58
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	15	$460	3,530	1,565	+1,965	open	—	07-29 21:54
north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	2	$435	321	321	+0	open	—	03-31 18:54
israel closes its airspace by august 15	8	$409	2,052	0	+2,052	open	—	07-28 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$362	250	250	+0	open	—	04-18 19:20
iran full airspace closure by august 15	9	$354	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	07-28 07:09
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$351	650	0	+650	open	—	07-19 14:34
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	5	$302	169	169	+0	open	—	03-29 09:08
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	2	$297	900	900	+0	open	—	07-29 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$293	0	300	-300	open	—	05-26 08:39
will wti reach 105 in july 2026	6	$266	2,900	0	+2,900	open	—	07-25 23:23
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$253	154	154	+0	open	—	03-21 23:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$243	149	147	+2	open	—	04-19 00:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$242	147	147	+0	open	—	05-26 10:19
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	6	$220	282	282	+0	open	—	06-21 00:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$211	132	132	+0	open	—	06-09 06:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$203	620	0	+620	open	—	06-19 03:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$203	0	253	-253	open	—	06-14 22:57
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$200	244	0	+244	open	—	04-18 23:04
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$164	600	0	+600	open	—	07-19 21:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$154	424	60	+364	open	—	05-31 11:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 21:54:32	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$10	0x7177e1…
07-29 21:51:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$10	0xa025d4…
07-29 21:50:23	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$95	0xfe1053…
07-29 21:48:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x5855e5…
07-29 21:46:50	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$20	0xc47d0b…
07-29 21:38:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	333	9¢	$32	0x80bac1…
07-29 21:37:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	900	6¢	$54	0xd75da2…
07-28 07:09:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	232	17¢	$39	0x326709…
07-28 06:50:39	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6f449c…
07-28 05:43:43	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x0f9a87…
07-28 04:49:09	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x70fa9d…
07-28 04:48:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xfafbb3…
07-28 04:33:18	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xca5299…
07-28 04:33:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x3e5c7f…
07-28 04:33:13	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	498	17¢	$85	0xa6ff65…
07-28 02:43:06	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x92b1bb…
07-28 02:43:04	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	409	19¢	$78	0x0be64d…
07-28 01:26:30	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x733a46…
07-28 01:25:27	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x179570…
07-28 01:25:16	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	211	19¢	$40	0x91ae5f…
07-28 01:12:49	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x792435…
07-28 00:55:19	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	370	19¢	$70	0xa29d57…
07-27 21:05:55	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	SELL	4,229	0¢	$10	0xe819cc…
07-27 14:45:52	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x59ea1f…
07-26 14:10:15	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1,767	6¢	$106	0x99b210…
07-26 14:07:09	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x53618c…
07-26 14:03:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x510d56…
07-26 13:56:15	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xbd7271…
07-26 13:53:24	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x8b8430…
07-26 13:46:27	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	482	6¢	$29	0x145202…
07-26 13:37:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xe011bd…
07-26 13:37:15	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x388534…
07-26 11:11:45	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0xf25972…
07-26 11:11:36	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x8dc60e…
07-26 00:33:58	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	534	2¢	$11	0x204736…
07-26 00:33:48	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	Yes	BUY	266	2¢	$5	0xf56098…
07-25 23:42:15	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	1,281	5¢	$64	0x4cd298…
07-25 23:23:16	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x4545f7…
07-25 23:23:03	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	468	6¢	$27	0x4ae1ea…
07-25 23:16:45	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xf2e22d…
07-25 23:16:40	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xb1420a…
07-25 23:14:34	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	453	6¢	$26	0xfc4555…
07-25 22:46:49	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$132	0x33dd48…
07-25 22:37:42	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$7	0xcea20b…
07-25 22:37:39	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xf27212…
07-25 21:11:24	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	900	27¢	$243	0x1d5f2b…
07-25 20:11:57	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0xff5e23…
07-25 19:41:51	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0x417595…
07-25 19:07:36	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xb1c496…
07-25 18:16:27	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$4	0x712e06…
07-25 13:03:42	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,544	11¢	$170	0xc54e3f…
07-24 17:36:10	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	356	11¢	$39	0xcde8f3…
07-24 16:21:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	1,374	3¢	$44	0x0cbbb2…
07-24 16:10:01	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x22f9ad…
07-24 16:09:19	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x0fe221…
07-24 02:11:51	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 27 2026 20260722225036951	Yes	SELL	46	13¢	$6	0xc6525d…
07-24 01:30:22	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 27 2026 20260722225036951	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x12128e…
07-24 01:12:33	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 14 2026 20260722225036938	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x7fc00a…
07-24 00:53:34	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x04987b…
07-24 00:46:22	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 29 2026 20260722225036953	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xb8afee…
07-24 00:43:58	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	SELL	409	19¢	$76	0xc3a9d4…
07-23 23:31:33	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 31 2026 20260722225036955	Yes	SELL	403	9¢	$38	0x4d01ef…
07-23 22:46:28	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	772	35¢	$270	0xc678e6…
07-23 22:33:28	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 3 2026 20260722225036927	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb1c8d5…
07-23 22:30:55	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 29 2026 20260722225036953	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x0bd1bf…
07-23 22:28:37	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 17 2026 20260722225036941	Yes	BUY	409	7¢	$30	0x9fb409…
07-23 22:27:25	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 31 2026 20260722225036955	Yes	BUY	403	9¢	$35	0x47547c…
07-23 22:10:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,600	1¢	$18	0x5329f4…
07-23 21:30:18	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x6cda93…
07-23 21:29:33	iran full airspace closure by july 27	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x2731e0…
07-23 21:18:45	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xcaa2b0…
07-23 10:56:33	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x20b90b…
07-23 10:51:16	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x46a611…
07-23 10:50:54	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x59f716…
07-23 10:50:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x99ac79…
07-23 10:50:49	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x7c7ef3…
07-23 10:45:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	91	8¢	$7	0x9b1465…
07-23 10:45:42	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x5c6b50…
07-23 10:44:22	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	859	8¢	$69	0x6172bc…
07-23 10:41:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	1,820	100¢	$1,818	0x144e10…
07-19 21:42:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	500	24¢	$122	0xe6f2c6…
07-19 19:06:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xc2c07d…
07-19 14:34:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	650	54¢	$351	0xa52b5b…
07-16 15:45:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	600	21¢	$124	0x475ac3…
07-15 17:49:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x82d90e…
07-15 14:40:04	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	420	24¢	$101	0x6b5dc4…
07-15 10:31:32	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	2,851	3¢	$77	0xe8c38f…
07-15 07:25:55	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x35dade…
07-14 22:42:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	402	4¢	$15	0xfd882d…
07-14 21:50:20	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	753	4¢	$30	0x0879bb…
07-14 15:13:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	800	28¢	$224	0x2b909d…
07-14 11:41:38	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0x5f1a2a…
07-14 11:39:44	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	163	6¢	$10	0x128b34…
07-14 04:18:22	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$150	0x493e28…
07-14 00:07:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	753	26¢	$197	0x507ec8…
07-13 23:53:19	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	525	8¢	$41	0xa7d907…
07-13 23:41:56	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	133	26¢	$35	0x76f803…
07-13 23:27:34	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	530	26¢	$137	0x4b808f…
07-13 23:09:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x27828d…
07-13 23:07:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	752	8¢	$59	0xe68fda…