Realized P&L
+$35.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.6K
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
85
Trades
3,839
lifetime
Volume
$582.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$59.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 10-29 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
59% 52% +$45,216
Other
36% 52% -$8,634
Tech
3% 100% +$904
Sports
2% 44% -$1,548
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +425,000 $5,307 2¢ $10.6K +$5,318 10-25 01:26
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +17,151 $4,788 42¢ $7.3K +$2,501 10-22 05:39
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +16,226 $4,237 42¢ $6.7K +$2,497 10-22 05:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +14,797 $126 42¢ $6.2K +$6,066 10-22 05:37
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +8,129 $2,219 42¢ $3.5K +$1,235 09-21 20:22
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +4,393 $1,678 68¢ $3.0K +$1,332 10-03 12:06
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3,693 $2,841 78¢ $2.9K +$20 10-14 00:56
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +3,500 $1,960 72¢ $2.5K +$542 08-16 22:26
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +3,175 $1,912 62¢ $2.0K +$41 10-21 06:45
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,241 $1,001 30¢ $1.8K +$840 10-29 06:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5,751 $2,420 22¢ $1.3K -$1,126 10-21 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +10,000 $1,200 12¢ $1.2K +$50 10-20 20:36
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +2,721 $726 42¢ $1.2K +$430 10-09 07:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -14,429 -$2,274 8¢ $-1082 +$1,192 05-03 16:42
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +7,750 $1,195 13¢ $1.0K -$184 08-02 08:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,258 $541 68¢ $862 +$321 05-26 01:58
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +5,555 $1,914 15¢ $805 -$1,108 08-03 03:38
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +711 $569 97¢ $692 +$123 04-29 09:11
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +3,114 $2,274 18¢ $576 -$1,698 10-22 05:36
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +163,354 $490 0¢ $572 +$82 09-23 13:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +1,722 $482 32¢ $560 +$77 10-28 09:02
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,328 -$172 42¢ $551 +$723 10-20 16:42
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +32,900 $329 1¢ $477 +$148 09-07 11:36
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +2,500 $375 16¢ $387 +$12 10-26 13:51
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -12,500 -$3,017 3¢ $-331 +$2,685 08-29 23:25
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +849 $289 36¢ $310 +$21 10-28 19:40
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +279 $103 68¢ $188 +$86 09-22 19:26
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -5,895 -$439 3¢ $-156 +$283 06-04 19:02
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +166 $90 86¢ $144 +$54 08-02 04:23
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +280 $78 40¢ $114 +$35 10-20 16:58