Fumbling-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.89K

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

264

Trades

933

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$5.63K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 07-19 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

81% 48% -$962

Sports

19% 27% -$293

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No		+5,750	$1,748	98¢	$5.6K	+$3,886	05-14 16:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	50	$1.7K	5,750	+5,750	open	—	05-14 16:00
will auburn womens win the 20252026 sec regular season	9	$1.7K	1,800	+1,800	No	+$56	03-16 03:35
will mississippi st womens win the 20252026 sec regular season	14	$1.5K	1,598	+1,598	No	+$73	03-16 03:34
will florida womens win the 20252026 sec regular season	7	$1.3K	1,349	+1,349	No	+$41	03-16 03:32
will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	30	$790	1,242	+1,242	No	-$790	04-03 18:58
cwbb sc ucla 2026 04 05	1	$640	1,000	+1,000	UCLA Bruins	-$640	04-05 16:37
will ucla win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	112	$321	2,536	+2,536	Yes	+$2,215	04-01 15:49
will polymarket be said at the super bowl 556	2	$280	360	+360	No	+$80	02-08 16:40
2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of TEs drafted O/U 10.5	2	$273	507	+507	Yes	+$234	04-23 16:22
will iowa state advance to the quarterfinals	7	$243	600	+600	No	-$243	03-22 19:03
ncaa tournament 1 seed knocked out before round of 16	5	$242	397	+397	Yes	-$242	03-20 04:51
Will Arizona Cardinals draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?	2	$237	350	+350	No	+$113	04-23 03:41
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?	3	$234	550	+550	No	-$234	04-29 11:17
cbb nevada aubrn 2026 03 25 spread home 9pt5	2	$216	400	+400	Nevada Wolf Pack	+$184	03-25 23:09
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	9	$213	250	+250	Yes	+$37	05-14 07:23
will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	5	$211	386	+386	Yes	-$211	07-07 16:58
2026 Pro Football Draft: Number of RBs drafted O/U 16.5	2	$210	326	+326	Under 16.5	-$210	04-23 23:07
ncaa tournament double digit seed to make quarterfinals	5	$183	439	+439	No	-$183	03-20 17:52
will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	3	$169	350	+350	No	-$169	04-23 03:10
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	2	$161	294	+294	Connecticut Huskies	+$133	04-06 03:57
will the 2026 mens ncaa basketball national champion come from the acc atlantic coast conference	3	$150	616	+616	No	-$150	03-22 03:54
will jordyn tyson be drafted 5th overall in the 2026 pro football draft	3	$149	191	+191	No	+$43	04-23 17:52
will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	4	$145	250	+250	No	+$105	07-05 22:37
pro football championship player to cry during national anthem	2	$136	340	+340	No	+$204	02-08 04:50
cbb tenn iowast 2026 03 27	2	$136	340	+340	Tennessee Volunteers	+$164	03-27 19:12
cbb ucf ucla 2026 03 20	1	$136	200	+200	UCLA Bruins	+$64	03-20 03:31
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20 spread home 2pt5	2	$131	247	+247	Miami Hurricanes	-$131	03-20 04:49
cbb cabap kan 2026 03 20 spread home 13pt5	2	$131	247	+247	California Baptist Lancers	-$131	03-20 04:47
will aj dybantsa be the ncaa division 1 leading scorer at the end of the season	1	$130	200	+200	Yes	-$130	03-18 17:03
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19 spread home 27pt5	2	$129	251	+251	Siena Saints	-$78	03-19 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 15:35:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x598688…
07-19 15:34:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x75cc82…
07-14 18:11:46	will michael olise score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0xbac752…
07-10 18:29:46	will dani olmo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	130	69¢	$89	0x5f1f00…
07-10 18:28:02	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x5ee16a…
07-07 22:49:46	will luis javier surez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x19503f…
07-07 16:58:28	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0x4555e1…
07-07 16:57:53	will enzo fernndez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xf6298b…
07-07 16:57:19	will alexis mac allister score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	122	71¢	$87	0xca9dc5…
07-07 16:55:43	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	81	65¢	$53	0x426aac…
07-07 16:55:20	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0xecbc27…
07-05 22:37:35	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xc1dbf4…
07-05 22:37:01	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x180678…
07-05 22:35:46	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$5	0x5ed071…
07-05 22:35:05	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$14	0x8940aa…
07-05 22:34:26	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$21	0xf30b0b…
07-03 16:34:34	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe02379…
07-03 16:27:59	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xdb5210…
07-02 22:20:55	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x423a2d…
07-02 22:20:11	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$11	0x9a9334…
07-02 22:19:04	will croatia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120780	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x035411…
07-02 22:12:46	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x47a7b7…
07-02 19:09:16	will ferran torres score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0195cd…
07-02 19:07:23	will christian pulisic score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	82	59¢	$48	0x9279d5…
07-02 19:05:37	will julin lvarez score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x384901…
07-02 16:28:10	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	No	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x1a605b…
07-01 19:33:10	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	32	65¢	$21	0xc4e73b…
07-01 19:32:35	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x654783…
07-01 19:32:04	will belgium reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120759	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x125bc2…
06-12 18:37:39	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,080	5¢	$50	0x7edaa4…
06-05 18:29:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xe6fee2…
06-05 18:29:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x8a0442…
06-05 18:25:52	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xb5bb80…
06-05 18:24:58	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xe72dc2…
06-05 18:24:19	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$27	0xf6656c…
06-05 18:20:43	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xf14ffe…
06-04 22:25:21	will england reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134511	Yes	BUY	79	57¢	$45	0x6d161e…
06-04 22:24:04	will france reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134499	Yes	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x8b73ae…
06-04 22:23:13	will spain reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134495	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x2c7a53…
06-04 22:22:10	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	Yes	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x4c3b4a…
06-04 22:19:15	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	140	59¢	$82	0xd7d6dd…
06-03 22:56:16	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xebdd68…
06-03 22:47:58	will takefusa kubo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x4640bc…
06-03 22:46:27	will scott mctominay score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	110	57¢	$62	0x69f8dd…
06-03 22:44:43	will nick woltemade score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	110	63¢	$69	0xdc83a4…
06-03 22:41:03	will sadio man score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x51fe5f…
05-14 16:00:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0xb3c748…
05-14 07:23:28	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0x254358…
05-14 03:29:52	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6bcbff…
05-14 03:27:41	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x75cf2b…
05-13 17:24:35	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x4afe1d…
05-08 22:27:16	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	25¢	$125	0x7dfe6e…
05-08 14:27:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	579	25¢	$145	0x6dc835…
05-08 00:34:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x6cfe0a…
05-08 00:34:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x96054a…
05-07 23:35:14	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xb8a72f…
05-07 23:35:03	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	367	25¢	$92	0x6b8ce0…
05-07 23:34:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	281	30¢	$84	0xd323b3…
05-07 22:44:43	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x66e386…
05-07 19:34:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x65e93c…
05-07 19:08:54	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x1d5e20…
05-07 19:07:29	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	122	33¢	$40	0xb7d523…
05-07 18:55:19	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	83	33¢	$27	0x468d0b…
05-07 18:36:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x3e3e4a…
05-07 18:33:26	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xdb0107…
05-07 18:28:13	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x823769…
05-07 18:21:17	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	103	33¢	$34	0x04c260…
05-07 18:03:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x630a60…
05-07 17:29:55	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xd6226a…
05-07 17:00:36	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x13a963…
05-07 16:32:43	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xe8ace9…
05-07 16:20:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x4ccf58…
05-07 16:16:44	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xd0d5f3…
05-07 15:07:12	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x25fca7…
05-07 15:03:21	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd68388…
05-07 14:55:57	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xdf2684…
05-07 14:51:18	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb8c856…
05-07 14:30:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x936cb6…
05-07 14:26:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xd8ec31…
05-07 12:13:27	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x58b7fc…
05-07 12:09:05	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	267	33¢	$88	0x3ec4f4…
05-07 12:02:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x51b738…
05-07 11:50:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x191208…
05-07 11:32:06	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0x161e90…
05-07 11:26:47	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa65d5f…
05-07 08:32:10	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1993e6…
05-07 07:07:00	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9825ff…
05-07 05:41:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x2d4723…
05-07 05:30:17	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x7bd8aa…
05-07 05:18:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	31	34¢	$11	0x94ac1b…
05-07 05:12:37	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	130	34¢	$44	0x5b68c0…
05-06 21:39:51	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x9d45c7…
05-06 21:33:30	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	462	34¢	$157	0x08d53b…
05-06 19:03:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x8ff93e…
05-06 16:12:38	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	35¢	$176	0x7adf71…
05-06 00:57:32	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	889	30¢	$267	0x4b97d5…
05-05 19:17:50	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	111	30¢	$33	0xad7c45…
05-03 22:44:24	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	89	85¢	$76	0xbc129a…
05-03 22:28:22	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x0d2451…
04-30 17:06:40	Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0a71fe…