Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 04-11 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

45% 28% -$43

Crypto

27% 42% -$79

Other

27% 46% -$25

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$101	60	60	+0	No	-$10	03-23 14:19
ethereum above 2000 on march 29	5	$85	92	40	+52	No	-$27	03-28 21:53
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	3	$71	57	57	+0	No	+$1	03-30 21:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$68	55	55	+0	Yes	-$2	03-30 09:57
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$62	34	34	+0	Yes	+$4	03-23 12:18
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	7	$57	126	126	+0	No	-$17	03-31 13:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$55	98	98	+0	No	-$5	03-20 00:23
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	7	$55	40	40	+0	No	+$1	03-23 21:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-23 21:46
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	4	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	$0	03-27 21:17
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$39	22	22	+0	No	-$1	03-28 15:30
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$38	1,667	1,667	+0	No	-$2	03-19 21:11
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$38	30	30	+0	No	-$1	03-26 08:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$37	44	30	+14	Yes	+$1	03-30 08:05
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	1	$35	48	0	+48	No	+$13	03-31 13:37
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$30	45	0	+45	Yes	+$15	03-28 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	3	$29	1,071	71	+1,000	Up	-$11	03-24 00:05
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	3	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$3	03-27 20:12
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-28 12:39
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	2	$24	19	19	+0	No	+$4	03-26 11:52
will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	3	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$2	04-11 07:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$21	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	03-30 08:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$20	136	136	+0	No	-$10	03-31 02:06
bitcoin above 68k on march 26	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-26 14:43
ethereum above 1900 on march 29	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 15:27
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	1	$20	33	0	+33	No	-$20	03-28 13:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-28 12:39
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$19	14	14	+0	No	$0	03-23 13:59
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	2	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	03-23 12:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:00 UTC	2	$14	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	03-21 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-11 07:56:25	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0x916e79…
04-04 07:22:45	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x981b86…
03-31 13:37:07	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0x463d62…
03-31 13:29:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x424e68…
03-31 13:23:55	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xada5e7…
03-31 04:31:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$3	0x9defc6…
03-31 02:06:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	136	4¢	$5	0x8c9fed…
03-30 21:06:07	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xad0c27…
03-30 21:04:47	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	SELL	57	64¢	$36	0xc16c7f…
03-30 20:57:45	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf6b471…
03-30 20:57:39	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x94f48d…
03-30 18:59:21	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	69	11¢	$8	0xa5c6ba…
03-30 10:05:22	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6a2596…
03-30 10:03:34	will fidesz kdnp win at least 80 seats	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x50056f…
03-30 09:57:48	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	34	91¢	$31	0xf4d635…
03-30 08:05:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa19150…
03-30 08:04:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x6adf27…
03-29 10:24:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xfc2f7b…
03-28 21:53:08	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xdd4ffb…
03-28 21:53:06	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xff9763…
03-28 19:30:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb2c175…
03-28 19:28:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xea53a4…
03-28 19:24:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:20 UTC	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x0ecc04…
03-28 19:23:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2144ed…
03-28 16:29:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xbc1a9c…
03-28 16:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x199faa…
03-28 16:20:57	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x7fd896…
03-28 15:38:33	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x524766…
03-28 15:31:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x62c753…
03-28 15:31:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	21	10¢	$2	0xa90cbf…
03-28 15:30:35	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	83¢	$19	0x6ba4f9…
03-28 15:29:51	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x21b824…
03-28 15:27:47	ethereum above 1900 on march 29	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xff98be…
03-28 13:25:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x2b59bc…
03-28 13:17:31	ethereum above 1900 on march 29	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x1d6719…
03-28 13:01:29	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xdb77cd…
03-28 13:01:15	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x249dca…
03-28 12:53:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xc5187d…
03-28 12:45:21	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x7f9cec…
03-28 12:42:19	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xf6a459…
03-28 12:39:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe9f0e…
03-28 12:39:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x333da0…
03-28 09:09:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe04f17…
03-28 09:08:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xcd09a5…
03-28 09:08:07	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	SELL	18	15¢	$3	0x9c6c39…
03-27 21:46:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x65d5d2…
03-27 21:17:31	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x4f8a03…
03-27 21:14:15	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x21d254…
03-27 20:12:47	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0x137c37…
03-26 15:12:59	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x17e9eb…
03-26 15:12:27	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x8ff526…
03-26 14:57:03	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x08abba…
03-26 14:56:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3f8066…
03-26 14:50:39	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xbeb83d…
03-26 14:47:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x3aca06…
03-26 14:43:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x423af5…
03-26 14:43:17	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdcd06b…
03-26 11:52:11	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	No	SELL	19	75¢	$14	0x9d10ec…
03-26 09:17:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x8136c8…
03-26 09:17:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xde11c0…
03-26 09:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb9e902…
03-26 09:14:39	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb56e2e…
03-26 09:14:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xbc7f13…
03-26 08:48:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x7a0a23…
03-26 08:47:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9e6d92…
03-26 08:45:43	bitcoin above 70k on march 26	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe33f12…
03-26 08:45:19	bitcoin above 68k on march 26	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x86fa98…
03-26 08:40:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x553f8e…
03-26 08:38:23	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc89796…
03-26 08:32:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x047998…
03-26 08:32:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0x84e6aa…
03-26 08:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x928d6a…
03-26 08:13:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x21141b…
03-24 00:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	896	1¢	$10	0xacc85a…
03-24 00:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe0eb04…
03-24 00:10:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x154f8e…
03-24 00:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2de211…
03-24 00:02:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0xd2ef9a…
03-24 00:02:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf801eb…
03-23 23:24:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4a0c2b…
03-23 21:52:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x713bd3…
03-23 21:47:17	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	SELL	35	71¢	$25	0x506a3f…
03-23 21:46:29	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xfa5a0e…
03-23 14:31:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb017ca…
03-23 14:19:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x95d2d5…
03-23 14:00:27	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe5de85…
03-23 13:59:47	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$9	0x5e4064…
03-23 13:57:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x7e61fb…
03-23 12:50:21	Will Alison Loehnis be the next CEO of Lululemon?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4cc066…
03-23 12:50:19	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x92b5ec…
03-23 12:43:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x9291f7…
03-23 12:34:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xea5d46…
03-23 12:26:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xdd7ccc…
03-23 12:18:15	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x586e8e…
03-23 12:17:35	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x4dce43…
03-23 11:55:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x190168…
03-23 11:12:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xc3cc2d…
03-23 11:12:47	bitcoin above 70k on march 24	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb339cc…
03-22 13:52:15	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x250263…
03-22 10:34:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9c44e3…