Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

130

Trades

349

lifetime

Volume

$1.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-01

last 11-04 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

82% 73% -$57

Politics

15% 55% +$8

Sports

3% 78% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+10	$6	59¢	$6	$0	11-04 13:57
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	+8	$5	62¢	$5	+$0	11-03 13:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+10	$4	36¢	$4	$0	11-04 18:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	4	$101	55	55	+0	Yes	+$8	11-04 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on October 15?	3	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$2	10-16 02:21
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on October 9?	2	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	10-09 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on October 13?	2	$53	30	30	+0	No	-$5	10-13 19:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 4?	6	$51	27	27	+0	No	-$1	10-04 15:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	11-04 00:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of October 12 2026?	8	$40	78	78	+0	No	-$24	10-16 16:45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	10-11 04:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	5	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	-$6	10-18 14:29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on October 14?	3	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	10-14 17:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on October 14?	5	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$2	10-14 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	6	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-07 15:08
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	11-04 00:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 7?	3	$37	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-07 18:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 16?	2	$34	21	21	+0	Yes	-$6	10-16 10:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	3	$31	16	16	+0	No	+$0	10-18 10:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 14?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	10-14 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13?	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	10-14 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	3	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$2	10-27 19:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on October 9?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-09 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 8?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-08 14:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-16 08:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or higher on October 13?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-13 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 13?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-14 04:47
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-28 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 13?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-13 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 16?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-16 06:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on October 13?	3	$19	20	20	+0	Yes	-$19	10-13 08:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 13?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-14 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	3	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	10-13 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 18:14:22	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xce39d3…
11-04 13:57:52	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xd1f11d…
11-04 02:59:19	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf1fd1b…
11-04 02:59:15	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5df64a…
11-04 02:59:07	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x54fa46…
11-04 02:59:03	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x100569…
11-04 02:33:51	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x4aa717…
11-04 02:00:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x8d007f…
11-04 02:00:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xbe7dcd…
11-04 00:57:16	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x9baee3…
11-04 00:56:13	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xc43ae7…
11-04 00:54:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x4ffcc3…
11-04 00:35:39	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x8ebb40…
11-04 00:34:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x352f54…
11-04 00:34:03	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbe94b6…
11-03 18:29:15	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x8e5ddf…
11-03 18:21:43	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xd075e8…
11-03 18:20:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x42f5be…
11-03 13:52:45	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x123e83…
11-03 13:06:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x877d3e…
11-03 13:06:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xda368a…
11-03 04:33:19	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x804946…
11-01 20:11:15	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6e1acb…
10-30 10:40:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6638f2…
10-29 08:58:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x50d157…
10-29 07:15:25	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfbd3d7…
10-29 07:14:50	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x53ff95…
10-28 18:06:19	Will Warsh say "Unchanged" or "Dissent" during October Press Conference?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x4f3e0f…
10-28 16:22:17	Will Warsh say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2d2bfb…
10-28 15:49:38	Will Warsh say "Unchanged" or "Dissent" during October Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x26e98d…
10-28 07:59:58	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8cc8a3…
10-27 19:25:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x0f648b…
10-27 18:59:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xbe8d0b…
10-26 13:06:18	Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd8e52a…
10-25 18:50:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x99769b…
10-25 18:12:54	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0x044830…
10-25 15:48:56	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x61336b…
10-24 06:32:18	Giants vs. Texans	Giants	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8ea97e…
10-23 16:53:06	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x301c6b…
10-23 15:45:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7521a3…
10-23 12:06:41	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xfb1afe…
10-22 14:36:59	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xe5b760…
10-22 13:19:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x20e1e2…
10-22 12:11:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xf6cde5…
10-22 12:03:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xb2ed93…
10-22 12:02:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xb326af…
10-22 12:02:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa0ae84…
10-22 12:02:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf8a48f…
10-22 12:02:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xde9097…
10-22 12:01:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xda00d2…
10-22 12:01:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa72154…
10-22 12:01:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xc1c94b…
10-22 12:01:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x280193…
10-22 10:48:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc72bd5…
10-22 10:17:29	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x3a7d79…
10-22 10:11:35	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x412e2d…
10-22 06:18:22	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x967fa7…
10-22 04:22:44	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x756a8b…
10-21 12:47:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on October 21?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x570d72…
10-21 12:17:18	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xe1e4db…
10-21 12:12:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0xc5fc1f…
10-21 12:11:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x1c9716…
10-21 12:11:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe7cf95…
10-21 11:11:38	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xda188e…
10-21 10:24:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x567ec3…
10-20 17:22:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd5223b…
10-20 17:21:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xcfcd70…
10-20 16:06:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x878ba8…
10-20 16:05:44	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x04fcdf…
10-20 14:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x5c1954…
10-20 12:41:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x92ff2f…
10-19 15:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4bc0dd…
10-19 13:24:14	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf4fa79…
10-19 13:23:20	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x4d29a1…
10-19 08:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 19?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1138d2…
10-19 05:24:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfeed3c…
10-19 01:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x209488…
10-19 01:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xceaccd…
10-19 01:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xd09dee…
10-19 01:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x7bc5b8…
10-18 16:37:30	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8e18e7…
10-18 16:36:21	Cardinals vs. Rams	Cardinals	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6b28c0…
10-18 15:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0a267e…
10-18 15:09:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeff410…
10-18 14:53:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 18?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5e8f85…
10-18 14:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6328b4…
10-18 14:29:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x00f2d1…
10-18 14:28:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc59c51…
10-18 13:52:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x539a1a…
10-18 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x0d8cb5…
10-18 10:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7f0fe…
10-18 10:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd7782a…
10-18 10:22:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfd0863…
10-18 10:20:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xb78b9a…
10-18 10:19:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x0a2011…
10-18 09:30:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5d6d83…
10-18 09:29:36	Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0xa2c78c…
10-17 16:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x28fdeb…
10-17 11:32:54	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x036765…
10-17 10:57:12	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x11eb34…