Mountainous-Buy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$26.2K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved (90d)

13,993

Trades (90d)

26,774

234,682 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$984.7K

$4.52M lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-02 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 196 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$150,416

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 981 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:25 UTC	5	$3.8K	5,252	4,057	+1,195	Up	-$1,786	08-14 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:05 UTC	3	$3.4K	5,353	121	+5,232	Up	+$22	08-21 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:10 UTC	9	$2.8K	3,717	1,375	+2,341	Down	-$500	07-28 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	11	$2.7K	5,146	694	+4,452	Up	-$586	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	7	$2.7K	3,391	298	+3,093	Up	+$426	08-20 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:00 UTC	2	$2.6K	2,871	0	+2,871	Down	+$309	08-08 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:35 UTC	4	$2.5K	3,293	963	+2,330	Up	-$367	08-01 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:35 UTC	6	$2.4K	4,074	1,326	+2,748	Up	-$940	07-24 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$2.4K	3,094	1,610	+1,485	Down	-$1,334	08-23 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:40 UTC	4	$2.3K	1,881	838	+1,043	Up	+$176	07-31 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:30 UTC	5	$2.3K	2,952	1,222	+1,730	Up	+$1,431	08-06 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	5	$2.3K	3,322	346	+2,976	Down	-$588	08-02 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:05 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,386	0	+2,386	Down	+$158	08-05 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:20 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,334	0	+2,334	Up	+$175	08-14 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 23:10 UTC	4	$2.1K	2,433	300	+2,133	Up	+$376	08-28 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$2.0K	3,340	1,224	+2,116	Up	-$1,665	09-02 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:50 UTC	2	$2.0K	3,004	0	+3,004	Up	+$1,001	08-03 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:50 UTC	5	$2.0K	2,304	1,066	+1,238	Down	+$212	08-07 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:50 UTC	13	$2.0K	2,268	1,420	+849	Down	+$731	08-24 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:35 UTC	6	$2.0K	3,022	135	+2,887	Up	+$809	08-01 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:35 UTC	3	$1.9K	2,167	30	+2,137	Up	+$240	08-08 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	11	$1.9K	1,920	807	+1,114	Up	-$798	08-22 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 15:40 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,745	436	+1,309	Up	+$125	08-04 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	10	$1.9K	2,349	1,349	+1,000	Up	-$329	07-31 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	30	$1.9K	2,753	1,435	+1,318	Down	-$208	05-13 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:55 UTC	1	$1.9K	2,697	0	+2,697	Up	-$1,910	08-04 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 01:05 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,056	0	+2,056	Up	+$159	08-01 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	1,697	624	+1,073	Down	+$18	08-14 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:10 UTC	6	$1.9K	2,398	338	+2,061	Up	+$695	08-02 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:50 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,276	0	+2,276	Up	+$399	07-28 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 11:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x162ebe…
11-02 10:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9bac49…
11-02 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x391161…
11-02 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	49¢	$18	0x2f3f3a…
11-02 09:11:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-02 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x1b2c85…
11-02 07:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	51¢	$19	0x11a15c…
11-02 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0xfa4577…
11-02 07:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xb74f14…
11-02 06:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	97	16¢	$16	0x94d2db…
11-02 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xe5078d…
11-02 06:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	37	30¢	$11	0xa50343…
11-02 06:20:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xaa6786…
11-02 05:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x026d7d…
11-02 05:53:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xd0fa34…
11-02 05:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x46fbc5…
11-02 05:18:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x0bee10…
11-02 03:17:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0xb387aa…
11-02 02:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0x01b537…
11-02 01:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x8f8922…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xcaa6f8…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xa2ef08…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	97	50¢	$48	0x4ce320…
11-02 00:38:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x7c9bb3…
11-02 00:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	23¢	$9	0x5f84a6…
11-01 22:48:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	13	59¢	$7	0x4b2db4…
11-01 22:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x913618…
11-01 22:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x4e5d45…
11-01 21:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	23¢	$16	0x617a82…
11-01 21:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0x85bc30…
11-01 21:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0xf0d9b4…
11-01 19:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xdb0ff2…
11-01 19:41:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0x6eb2e1…
11-01 19:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4d7650…
11-01 19:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x1c4c7e…
11-01 16:14:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x3b63bf…
11-01 15:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xdd277f…
11-01 15:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	37	9¢	$3	0x5d37e0…
11-01 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xfdf56c…
11-01 15:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	37	10¢	$4	0x152779…
11-01 14:18:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	59¢	$18	0x150101…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	79	64¢	$50	0xfb7038…
11-01 13:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	29¢	$11	0xdfba7d…
11-01 13:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0x616b60…
11-01 12:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0xf53949…
11-01 11:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0xf106b5…
11-01 10:11:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0x92d6ed…
11-01 10:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xb492db…
11-01 08:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0xbfd9c4…
11-01 08:39:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	40	69¢	$27	0x6ba30a…
11-01 08:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xcdeb4a…
11-01 08:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0xb115ec…
11-01 07:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	76¢	$13	0x7c4e36…
11-01 04:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x483155…
11-01 04:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37	11¢	$4	0x37a8d0…
11-01 04:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x2d8d61…
11-01 04:09:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x7b1097…
11-01 01:12:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xb35839…
11-01 00:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0xe2d0d9…
11-01 00:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x923bed…
11-01 00:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x843164…
11-01 00:22:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	30	84¢	$25	0x81b643…
10-31 23:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0xb52afb…
10-31 22:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x1e85ab…
10-31 22:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xf9d64e…
10-31 21:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x08c79e…
10-31 20:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x00dc24…
10-31 17:07:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xa0651e…
10-31 14:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xb955ef…
10-31 14:51:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x0385fe…
10-31 10:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe42958…
10-31 10:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc8f031…
10-31 10:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x4be99a…
10-31 10:02:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x0717e2…
10-31 09:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xc968a5…
10-31 09:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xa0c0dc…
10-31 09:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x3ab445…
10-31 09:07:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x339db1…
10-31 06:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x2f7d64…
10-31 04:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	120	30¢	$36	0x7e11df…
10-31 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	73¢	$27	0xd3e394…
10-31 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x65cfe3…
10-31 01:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x673519…
10-30 23:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6e47be…
10-30 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	76¢	$28	0x7a4eae…
10-30 18:47:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xd24d55…
10-30 17:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0xa5ec06…
10-30 17:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x8022ad…
10-30 17:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x3fe9d2…
10-30 17:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2acc98…
10-30 16:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	53¢	$20	0x3888c6…
10-30 16:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	54	50¢	$27	0x2edd37…
10-30 15:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xd458bf…
10-30 15:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xdcaf49…
10-30 15:13:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdb40c5…
10-30 14:37:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x9c6c0f…
10-30 14:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	37	95¢	$35	0x38d906…
10-30 14:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xda4396…
10-30 13:58:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x45aff7…
10-30 13:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	37	46¢	$17	0x383b1b…
10-30 13:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	91	53¢	$48	0xfde5e7…