Mountainous-Buy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved (30d)

1,034

Trades (30d)

1,616

234,874 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$28.3K

$4.52M lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 11-05 01:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 199 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$150,526

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 981 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	44¢	$2	$0	11-05 03:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 16:25 UTC	5	$3.8K	5,252	4,057	+1,195	Up	-$1,786	08-14 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 07:05 UTC	3	$3.4K	5,353	121	+5,232	Up	+$22	08-21 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:10 UTC	9	$2.8K	3,717	1,375	+2,341	Down	-$500	07-28 01:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	11	$2.7K	5,146	694	+4,452	Up	-$586	07-31 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	7	$2.7K	3,391	298	+3,093	Up	+$426	08-20 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 06:00 UTC	2	$2.6K	2,871	0	+2,871	Down	+$309	08-08 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 00:35 UTC	4	$2.5K	3,293	963	+2,330	Up	-$367	08-01 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 11:35 UTC	6	$2.4K	4,074	1,326	+2,748	Up	-$940	07-24 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$2.4K	3,094	1,610	+1,485	Down	-$1,334	08-23 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 12:40 UTC	4	$2.3K	1,881	838	+1,043	Up	+$176	07-31 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:30 UTC	5	$2.3K	2,952	1,222	+1,730	Up	+$1,431	08-06 14:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:40 UTC	5	$2.3K	3,322	346	+2,976	Down	-$588	08-02 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 10:05 UTC	3	$2.2K	2,386	0	+2,386	Down	+$158	08-05 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 17:20 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,334	0	+2,334	Up	+$175	08-14 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 23:10 UTC	4	$2.1K	2,433	300	+2,133	Up	+$376	08-28 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	8	$2.0K	3,340	1,224	+2,116	Up	-$1,665	09-02 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 22:50 UTC	2	$2.0K	3,004	0	+3,004	Up	+$1,001	08-03 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 13:50 UTC	5	$2.0K	2,304	1,066	+1,238	Down	+$212	08-07 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 13:50 UTC	13	$2.0K	2,268	1,420	+849	Down	+$731	08-24 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 18:35 UTC	6	$2.0K	3,022	135	+2,887	Up	+$809	08-01 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 00:35 UTC	3	$1.9K	2,167	30	+2,137	Up	+$240	08-08 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	11	$1.9K	1,920	807	+1,114	Up	-$798	08-22 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 15:40 UTC	3	$1.9K	1,745	436	+1,309	Up	+$125	08-04 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	10	$1.9K	2,349	1,349	+1,000	Up	-$329	07-31 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	30	$1.9K	2,753	1,435	+1,318	Down	-$208	05-13 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:55 UTC	1	$1.9K	2,697	0	+2,697	Up	-$1,910	08-04 06:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 01:05 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,056	0	+2,056	Up	+$159	08-01 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 14:15 UTC	5	$1.9K	1,697	624	+1,073	Down	+$18	08-14 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:10 UTC	6	$1.9K	2,398	338	+2,061	Up	+$695	08-02 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:50 UTC	2	$1.9K	2,276	0	+2,276	Up	+$399	07-28 06:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x793695…
11-05 01:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xe22b26…
11-05 01:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	74	41¢	$30	0x7e9abb…
11-05 01:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4a389b…
11-05 01:07:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2212e2…
11-05 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x69ee6d…
11-05 00:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x348b32…
11-05 00:24:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	54¢	$16	0xdfbf56…
11-05 00:16:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x23f49a…
11-04 23:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xd8c10d…
11-04 23:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	48¢	$23	0xf3631a…
11-04 22:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xab636a…
11-04 21:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x70fbf1…
11-04 21:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x7a89d8…
11-04 21:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x6316ec…
11-04 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	39¢	$14	0xf4763d…
11-04 20:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0xd93bb2…
11-04 19:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	37	17¢	$6	0x27b13e…
11-04 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0xf43c78…
11-04 19:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	37	34¢	$13	0x9129d4…
11-04 19:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x688648…
11-04 19:05:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xb3d9c7…
11-04 18:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x06a0c9…
11-04 18:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	37	36¢	$13	0x4aa089…
11-04 18:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0xd5c72e…
11-04 18:19:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xd48d4b…
11-04 18:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x772949…
11-04 17:57:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x1a2c72…
11-04 17:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x883292…
11-04 17:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0x442d17…
11-04 16:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	28	41¢	$11	0x0e7b50…
11-04 16:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x805757…
11-04 16:14:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x593b93…
11-04 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x6f86a2…
11-04 15:32:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xfb901c…
11-04 15:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x4fe1cd…
11-04 15:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	71	55¢	$39	0x63cbaf…
11-04 15:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xf2dc17…
11-04 15:23:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x8ecc48…
11-04 15:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0x4c4a3a…
11-04 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	37	50¢	$18	0xf50335…
11-04 15:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x00e895…
11-04 15:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	74	67¢	$50	0xc11896…
11-04 15:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0x5f5be7…
11-04 15:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0xf4a2d2…
11-04 15:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	44	54¢	$24	0x5c78e7…
11-04 15:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x045d79…
11-04 15:11:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x004d13…
11-04 15:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0xd06f25…
11-04 15:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6ed45d…
11-04 15:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	40	60¢	$24	0x2eb912…
11-04 15:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	61¢	$16	0xc3f7fb…
11-04 15:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x08913b…
11-04 15:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	85	35¢	$30	0x48d629…
11-04 15:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	71¢	$9	0x31ecf8…
11-04 15:07:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0xcb277d…
11-04 15:06:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x059584…
11-04 15:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0x8adfd3…
11-04 14:59:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xadba2f…
11-04 14:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x11d964…
11-04 14:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x285c54…
11-04 14:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0x6c2b1a…
11-04 14:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x4efc70…
11-04 14:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x0b6ca2…
11-04 14:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x097c87…
11-04 14:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0x90d0c5…
11-04 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xcea1d9…
11-04 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xcc4c48…
11-04 14:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	34	53¢	$18	0x8b160d…
11-04 13:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x9316fe…
11-04 13:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$5	0x00f4e6…
11-04 13:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	37	23¢	$9	0xa84295…
11-04 13:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x9c5350…
11-04 13:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xde1261…
11-04 13:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x7008e4…
11-04 12:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x60cb48…
11-04 12:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0x3ffe66…
11-04 10:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xdd8691…
11-04 10:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x8cddd8…
11-04 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x99279c…
11-04 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	20¢	$11	0x60adf7…
11-04 10:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xcaab16…
11-04 08:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x38136e…
11-04 08:13:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x172748…
11-04 08:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xd2ca25…
11-04 07:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	37	37¢	$14	0xf8e6ed…
11-04 07:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	37	41¢	$15	0x6cab0d…
11-04 06:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	37	39¢	$15	0x7f79a3…
11-04 06:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0xe8efbc…
11-04 06:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x24bf07…
11-04 05:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x88700a…
11-04 05:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x9d540d…
11-04 04:10:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xae9099…
11-04 03:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x6ce551…
11-04 02:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	37	37¢	$14	0x2447d4…
11-04 02:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x814d76…
11-04 02:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	78	38¢	$30	0x977b64…
11-04 01:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	37	45¢	$17	0x3af8b6…
11-04 01:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	37	87¢	$32	0x689ea7…
11-04 00:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	37	71¢	$26	0x778e61…