Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.70K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

104

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$86.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$299

Open exposure

$1.23K

1 position

First seen

2026-03-12

last 10-30 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

70% 96% -$1,369

Sports

10% 25% +$32

Politics

9% 0% -$440

Crypto

7% 67% -$2,237

Tech

3% 100% +$319

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No		+1,236	$1,234	100¢	$1.2K	+$1	10-30 06:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.5K	1,947	1,947	+0	No	-$2	05-06 02:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,442	3,442	+0	Yes	-$379	05-11 02:19
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	4	$2.9K	1,992	1,992	-0	No	+$319	06-17 18:15
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	20	$2.8K	1,873	1,873	+0	No	-$131	04-10 20:37
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	12	$2.8K	3,560	3,560	+0	open	—	07-13 15:20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$2.4K	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$5	10-28 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,224	1,224	+0	No	+$1	10-27 09:09
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$2.3K	2,495	0	+2,495	Yes	-$2,271	04-13 08:24
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	3	$2.1K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	+$26	03-30 03:33
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$8	03-23 13:07
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.9K	1,387	1,387	+0	No	-$305	07-16 05:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	13	$1.8K	6,580	6,580	+0	No	-$707	05-25 14:58
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	5	$1.7K	845	845	+0	No	+$3	10-29 15:14
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.2K	895	895	+0	No	-$50	06-03 03:16
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,236	0	+1,236	open	—	10-30 06:15
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,221	0	+1,221	No	+$5	10-23 07:18
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	8	$1.2K	605	605	+0	No	+$1	10-23 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	Yes	+$1	10-14 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	No	+$2	10-13 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	1	$1.2K	1,197	0	+1,197	No	+$1	09-21 06:49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18?	1	$1.2K	1,194	0	+1,194	No	+$1	09-18 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on September 8?	1	$1.2K	1,192	0	+1,192	No	+$1	09-08 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	1	$1.2K	1,191	0	+1,191	No	+$1	09-14 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	1	$1.1K	1,148	0	+1,148	No	+$1	08-11 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7?	1	$1.1K	1,145	0	+1,145	No	+$1	08-07 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 6?	3	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	No	+$3	08-06 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?	3	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	No	+$2	07-28 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	2	$1.1K	1,127	0	+1,127	Yes	+$1	07-27 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 22?	2	$1.1K	1,115	0	+1,115	No	+$1	07-22 06:48
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 25?	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	No	+$1	09-23 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 06:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,236	100¢	$1,234	0x0dacc2…
10-29 15:14:35	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$281	0x9bda13…
10-29 15:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xcd73a7…
10-29 15:03:23	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x4253e8…
10-29 14:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	456	100¢	$456	0xfff0a9…
10-28 09:22:25	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	845	100¢	$842	0x7282a5…
10-28 09:19:52	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0xeb0050…
10-28 09:19:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x597d5c…
10-28 09:17:46	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,228	100¢	$1,227	0x518a3a…
10-27 09:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	405	100¢	$403	0x5fe70f…
10-27 09:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	408	100¢	$405	0x0f57cd…
10-27 09:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	416	99¢	$413	0x559e59…
10-27 09:09:57	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	1,224	100¢	$1,223	0x2d405c…
10-26 05:57:42	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	1,224	100¢	$1,222	0x6bebdb…
10-23 07:18:36	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1,221	100¢	$1,216	0x2b956b…
10-23 00:50:45	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x71b17d…
10-23 00:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87d802…
10-23 00:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a8964…
10-23 00:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xddaf72…
10-23 00:01:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x627bfa…
10-23 00:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x504768…
10-22 23:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	429	100¢	$429	0xb92f70…
10-21 07:05:08	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	605	100¢	$603	0xf71e0f…
10-20 09:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0x381173…
10-20 09:29:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x6318b1…
10-20 09:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x4b7210…
10-20 09:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x88a003…
10-20 09:29:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xf56622…
10-20 09:28:27	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0xb08c6e…
10-15 05:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 16?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x135306…
10-15 05:55:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 16?	No	BUY	877	100¢	$876	0xd83f91…
10-14 08:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,205	100¢	$1,204	0xb342df…
10-13 05:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	653	100¢	$652	0xf9e93f…
10-13 05:34:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	552	100¢	$550	0x50f9a8…
10-11 09:35:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 12?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x67ad4d…
10-11 07:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x10b055…
10-11 07:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	591	100¢	$590	0x3aff9e…
10-11 07:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	312	100¢	$311	0x8a077d…
09-23 11:23:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 24?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x4ba9ad…
09-23 11:21:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 25?	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,105	0x8e0756…
09-21 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1,197	100¢	$1,196	0x777485…
09-20 03:20:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	662	100¢	$661	0x7e21a4…
09-20 03:19:34	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x508c54…
09-20 03:19:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x108e91…
09-18 07:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	1,194	100¢	$1,193	0x1222a3…
09-16 03:49:18	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?	No	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0xd1dc2b…
09-16 03:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x234f69…
09-16 03:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	532	100¢	$532	0x3503e0…
09-14 08:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 14?	No	BUY	1,191	100¢	$1,190	0xa06cc4…
09-13 08:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 13?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xfb6e8f…
09-13 08:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	998	100¢	$997	0x5a897d…
09-10 11:26:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x416ab0…
09-10 11:26:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa9241f…
09-10 11:26:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb058c7…
09-10 11:24:09	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x4e267a…
09-10 10:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	498	100¢	$498	0x3051d8…
09-10 10:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 11?	No	BUY	563	100¢	$563	0x859e93…
09-09 06:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0x12d12e…
09-09 06:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xf37db4…
09-09 06:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 9?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa6d25…
09-09 06:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	771	100¢	$771	0x86d74f…
09-09 06:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x958adc…
09-08 00:13:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	1,192	100¢	$1,191	0xfc494a…
09-05 13:57:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x209902…
09-05 13:54:36	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 5?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x0f1d43…
09-05 13:54:24	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	173	99¢	$171	0x8b7889…
09-04 15:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	604	100¢	$603	0x20a325…
09-04 15:11:21	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xbbce65…
09-04 14:49:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x8fc091…
09-04 14:48:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x749ae8…
09-04 14:48:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xd53fb1…
09-04 14:48:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x6edb60…
09-04 14:47:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x330fa2…
09-04 14:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0xa4ebd1…
09-02 12:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x1f8185…
09-02 12:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	637	100¢	$637	0x0db7ff…
09-02 12:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xff55c9…
09-02 12:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0xf12177…
09-02 12:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd79c64…
08-31 05:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	635	100¢	$634	0x5f03ec…
08-31 05:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xe32d55…
08-31 05:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on August 31?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x8c0dcb…
08-30 09:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xf2949a…
08-30 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1217cc…
08-30 08:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x12b879…
08-30 08:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4b9544…
08-30 08:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24eb5…
08-30 07:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	205	100¢	$204	0x1abe64…
08-30 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x7bf418…
08-30 03:22:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 30?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x9413d5…
08-30 03:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0x348522…
08-28 17:23:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 29?	No	BUY	521	100¢	$520	0x0b2753…
08-28 17:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	564	100¢	$564	0x12304d…
08-28 17:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 29?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x8f2769…
08-27 08:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xaf5af3…
08-27 08:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf75308…
08-27 08:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	1,031	100¢	$1,030	0x93cabf…
08-21 11:46:07	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x2f5399…
08-21 11:45:33	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x68d47e…
08-21 11:39:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 21?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x2a236c…