Elliptical-Flu-Redesign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.8%

Resolved

Trades

994

lifetime

Volume

$46.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-30 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

75% 96% +$2

Sports

19% 100% +$1

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	7	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-25 18:11
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:10
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-05 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:25
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 21:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 18:02
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-19 20:50
mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-13 01:55
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 12:27
ufc den2 mar91 2026 04 18	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-18 23:57
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 23:59
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 30c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 04:27
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 19:13
val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	06-29 16:05
SK Poltava vs. FK Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih: O/U 1.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-01 13:54
mls dal min 2026 04 22 total 2pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 02:52
atp sakella samuel 2026 04 08	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-09 16:13
Will Malcolm Wellmaker win by KO or TKO?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 03:18
highest temperature in jakarta on april 20 2026 33c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-20 07:21
wta sonmez paolini 2026 04 14	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-15 13:14
cs2 saw2 waz 2026 04 11 game1	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-11 11:08
ukr1 obo sp 2026 04 17 total 1pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-17 19:15
Spread: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc38f21…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5a8dd2…
06-30 10:12:46	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc5afd9…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf1c7ca…
06-30 04:16:11	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe72953…
06-30 00:35:04	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5412a3…
06-29 19:42:49	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe29c16…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b5705…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x783461…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9c9d41…
06-28 20:53:40	mlb phi nym 2026 06 28	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3fb0bc…
06-28 19:49:38	mar1 wac old 2026 06 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62d8ee…
06-28 17:22:32	cs2 yaw bk 2026 06 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbea067…
06-28 09:55:26	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x274c3d…
06-28 04:01:44	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6c5a59…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59cc3e…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7ba06f…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x719813…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0f0c2a…
06-26 20:12:52	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25a2d2…
06-26 20:12:50	spy up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc08afc…
06-26 18:05:04	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe208b9…
06-26 18:05:04	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9a0820…
06-26 18:04:56	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3af3f9…
06-26 18:04:50	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1e6d17…
06-26 18:04:41	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x51e3d9…
06-26 12:36:11	kbo han ssg 2026 06 26	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x334974…
06-26 11:54:01	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x05ffdb…
06-26 08:58:44	val t1a soswee 2026 06 26	T1 Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfd23c2…
06-26 00:59:14	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 4pt5	Tunisia	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0ef677…
06-25 22:21:13	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x62956a…
06-25 02:00:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3c1817…
06-25 01:49:29	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9e490a…
06-25 00:04:46	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c7f6e…
06-25 00:02:40	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x85ce68…
06-24 21:13:58	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners team home 4pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd6303b…
06-24 20:58:34	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde80a2…
06-24 13:07:17	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x61c5b8…
06-24 09:08:34	cs2 mana1 hon1 2026 06 24 game1	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98f29a…
06-24 03:09:10	mlb bos col 2026 06 23 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc42fc4…
06-24 00:26:11	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x57d550…
06-23 20:00:55	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc1cba8…
06-23 19:46:34	val fks1 mir 2026 06 23 game1	MIR	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7e52d0…
06-23 19:02:40	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 second half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x376455…
06-23 18:25:07	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2cc9e4…
06-23 18:11:34	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdebb0f…
06-23 14:38:49	kbo ssg kt 2026 06 23	KT Wiz	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xacad08…
06-23 14:28:17	kbo ssg kt 2026 06 23	KT Wiz	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x901f1c…
06-23 00:54:55	mlb kc tb 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	Kansas City Royals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe2e1c8…
06-21 20:32:50	mlb cws det 2026 06 21 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6397ff…
06-21 18:12:55	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xce8957…
06-21 16:54:26	mar1 mad rsb 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x27415b…
06-20 18:24:02	atp ofner assche 2026 06 20	Luca Van Assche	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x253989…
06-20 14:13:04	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x824676…
06-20 14:12:43	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x790c2e…
06-20 14:12:40	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbb6a81…
06-20 14:11:05	wta zarazua thamm 2026 06 20	Renata Zarazua	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x607a19…
06-20 12:43:56	cs2 echo ice 2026 06 20 game1	ECHO	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x12e3de…
06-20 05:14:14	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea41bc…
06-20 02:37:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdd546e…
06-20 01:49:01	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x26c62a…
06-19 15:45:29	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x94ac07…
06-19 00:04:22	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x164f8c…
06-18 22:59:26	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ecb3e…
06-18 04:03:25	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4d87eb…
06-17 19:17:56	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc134d2…
06-17 19:04:13	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa7c075…
06-17 16:10:19	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x575358…
06-17 16:07:43	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb53208…
06-17 16:06:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x71063a…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2688a4…
06-17 06:19:01	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20a5e0…
06-16 14:06:23	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88739f…
06-16 12:37:39	Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8331c8…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x77ac7a…
06-15 12:41:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9bb9cd…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa3ab4a…
06-14 19:57:39	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x14f55b…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7f29c4…
06-13 11:58:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fafa5…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf797e6…
06-12 23:27:33	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x85f332…
06-12 20:26:54	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x65baf6…
06-12 20:18:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x56d8c1…
06-12 20:17:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaad3bb…
06-12 13:30:07	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x11a4c1…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xbcdaa2…
06-12 10:42:01	cs2 ruby1 g2a 2026 06 12 game2 round handicap ruby1 6pt5	G2 Ares	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb8c8af…
06-11 22:13:40	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x81195e…
06-11 21:05:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1bcdb6…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1cc6aa…
06-10 20:16:58	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x419863…
06-10 20:05:13	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xea71c1…
06-09 17:38:22	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x282ad2…
06-08 21:37:01	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd52aa3…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf5a854…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x884e76…
06-07 20:35:48	codmw lat1 faz 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2f8ba0…
06-07 20:04:55	codmw lat1 faz 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x49eaaa…
06-07 20:03:43	codmw lat1 faz 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4e407c…