Elliptical-Flu-Redesign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

1,766

Trades

1,909

lifetime

Volume

$83.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-30 22:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 204 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% -$32

Sports

15% 100% +$13

Crypto

3% 98% +$2

Tech

2% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-28 16:31
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	7	$100	50	50	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$100	50	50	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:10
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$100	50	50	+0	Mali	+$0	06-05 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:31
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:25
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	04-15 20:54
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$50	50	0	+50	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22
nhl pit wsh 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	04-12 21:45
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:18
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$50	50	0	+50	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdf2fdd…
10-30 16:19:12	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb4c7cc…
10-30 04:33:54	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5a489c…
10-29 20:05:15	Guayaquil: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x185e1b…
10-29 16:56:20	M15 João Pessoa: Nicolas Bruna vs Bastian Malla	Nicolas Bruna	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f1396…
10-29 15:14:13	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x032ea0…
10-29 14:53:46	M25 Sheffield: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich	Matt Ponchet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacf61d…
10-28 19:17:17	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Johan Alexander Rodriguez	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa0bfcc…
10-28 15:38:16	W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko	Ekaterina Dotsenko	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd84565…
10-27 21:08:24	FC Bayern Munchen vs. Barcelona	Barcelona	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd1f199…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf15af5…
10-25 22:08:56	Sioux Falls: Cooper Woestendick vs Andrew Fenty	Andrew Fenty	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd27d6…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x145876…
10-25 04:37:36	Will San Diego FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1c9944…
10-24 16:56:23	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xad8e80…
10-24 16:56:18	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs DENDELE CS - Map 1 Winner	FURIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4aea9e…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfa1a84…
10-24 12:13:08	Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Quintessence - Map 1 Winner	Donstu Esports	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6f968c…
10-24 08:54:35	Illawarra Hawks vs. Brisbane Bullets	Brisbane Bullets	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe20cc9…
10-23 19:57:09	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Galorys (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	BESTIA	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x47eb96…
10-23 19:42:09	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Virtus.pro - Map 3 Winner	Team Nemesis	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x754a51…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1c157f…
10-23 07:20:57	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x87cdd5…
10-23 06:10:06	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x901ed2…
10-22 03:03:08	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa7eb3c…
10-22 03:02:56	Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x4e1264…
10-21 12:22:57	Will Yokohama F·Marinos win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x38f808…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc649a0…
10-20 18:45:42	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0fc4de…
10-20 17:07:17	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x900ce5…
10-20 15:06:41	Counter-Strike: Revise vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Privateer Gaming	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x059e18…
10-19 19:08:29	Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Sander Jong	Sander Jong	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3f1519…
10-19 15:46:38	Florence: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Bondioli	Federico Bondioli	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x639b5f…
10-18 22:40:00	Fort Worth: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Michael Antonius	Michael Antonius	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4e5179…
10-18 17:03:23	Lisbon: Kai Wehnelt vs Milos Karol	Kai Wehnelt	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64e3ec…
10-18 15:35:05	European Open, Qualification: Clement Chidekh vs Gauthier Onclin	Clement Chidekh	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4df515…
10-18 13:09:32	Will GKS Piast Gliwice win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd58a5a…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe20fef…
10-17 13:14:09	wta kubka salkova 2026 10 17	Dominika Salkova	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x09066f…
10-17 12:20:54	Will Shōnan Bellmāre win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1867c9…
10-15 20:32:42	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7895be…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xaf3281…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44871f…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xccf71f…
10-14 12:36:45	wta hercog ortenzi 2026 10 14	Polona Hercog	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaca778…
10-14 11:41:26	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x55c6da…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x9ab810…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe30217…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd7540c…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x370a97…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x393614…
10-12 16:35:41	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x20b634…
10-12 09:01:39	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed1016…
10-12 09:01:39	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x9ad3a5…
10-12 04:54:30	Wuhan Tennis Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Sonay Kartal	Sonay Kartal	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbbed39…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4eb098…
10-11 18:40:13	Basketball Loewen Braunschweig vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg	Riesen Ludwigsburg	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4175c0…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xbb9c19…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xdd5656…
10-11 09:21:13	Jinan: Omar Jasika vs Petr Bar Biryukov	Omar Jasika	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc75d49…
10-11 05:33:41	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Adrian Mannarino	Karen Khachanov	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c0ca6…
10-11 04:54:54	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc0b28e…
10-10 23:37:54	Tennessee vs. Arkansas	Tennessee	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x112f05…
10-10 14:49:51	Will Sandvikens IF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69df09…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x917bf4…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb1a1fc…
10-09 18:57:59	W35 Villeneuve d'Ascq: Amandine Monnot vs Oceane Dodin	Amandine Monnot	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x71eea4…
10-09 14:50:48	Braga: Lukas Neumayer vs Max Alcala Gurri	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcbe74e…
10-09 14:50:27	atp neumaye gurri 2026 10 09	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfd388d…
10-09 12:00:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x85d5ba…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x398a27…
10-08 07:15:49	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe65ec8…
10-08 05:28:14	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Kimmer Coppejans vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x04c331…
10-07 22:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdfb4b…
10-07 14:01:46	Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino	Matej Dodig	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfa3a50…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x360af4…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1c9aef…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x97a901…
10-06 22:24:14	Antofagasta: Guido Justo vs Francisco Comesana	Guido Justo	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe6f3c1…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc6c0d2…
10-06 20:36:54	Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1323cf…
10-06 17:34:35	Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0a4d89…
10-06 16:07:35	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xde2d0a…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0e555a…
10-05 13:56:19	Counter-Strike: MORROW vs Noir Verse (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A	MORROW	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78e17e…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x84ea92…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44dea3…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3d66f3…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6d733b…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x217aca…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6d2146…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe03e1a…
10-03 00:23:18	W15 Nashville, TN: Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Emma Kamper	Rose Marie Nijkamp	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd87958…
10-02 21:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7da923…
10-02 19:33:51	Curitiba: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Luis Guto Miguel	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3b4d63…
10-02 14:17:57	Counter-Strike: BBL vs SportsBetExpert (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B	BBL	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e1475…
10-02 14:15:29	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x9a51dc…
10-02 14:15:24	Will Gambia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x145092…
10-02 14:12:33	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89b0f3…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4a85fc…