Tan-Gingerbread — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

480

Trades

812

lifetime

Volume

$2.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-23 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 213 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 57% +$44

Sports

21% 69% +$10

Other

11% 75% +$25

Politics

1% 33% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 02:10 UTC	4	$42	55	55	+0	Down	+$22	07-04 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 02:40 UTC	2	$40	20	20	+0	Up	+$0	04-19 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$30	41	41	+0	Up	+$10	07-29 01:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$30	40	0	+40	Yes	+$10	07-02 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:05 UTC	6	$27	33	33	+0	Up	+$5	07-11 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-23 02:10 UTC	3	$26	32	22	+10	Down	-$3	04-23 02:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 07:05 UTC	6	$25	33	33	+0	Down	+$3	07-14 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 00:55 UTC	5	$25	35	31	+4	Up	+$7	07-09 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:05 UTC	5	$25	34	26	+8	Down	-$5	07-21 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 02:55 UTC	2	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$3	04-17 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 00:15 UTC	3	$22	14	14	+0	Up	+$2	04-21 00:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 00:45 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	04-15 00:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 01:55 UTC	3	$21	36	11	+25	Up	-$1	04-22 01:58
Will France win on 2026-06-22?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-23 00:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	09-10 00:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 01:30 UTC	10	$21	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-30 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$20	29	29	+0	Down	+$0	07-23 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 02:00 UTC	3	$20	30	25	+5	Down	+$5	07-03 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 02:20 UTC	5	$20	179	79	+100	Down	-$2	07-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$17	16	16	+0	Up	+$7	05-29 01:44
nba lac sac 2026 04 05	2	$17	9	9	+0	Clippers	+$1	04-06 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 01:55 UTC	4	$17	31	31	+0	Down	+$5	07-08 01:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:55 UTC	4	$16	47	47	+0	Up	+$4	10-17 00:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:55 UTC	5	$16	18	14	+3	Down	+$2	07-22 00:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:05 UTC	3	$16	18	18	+0	Down	+$4	07-18 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	10-18 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 01:35 UTC	2	$15	45	45	+0	Up	+$5	07-16 01:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 00:50 UTC	4	$15	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	08-03 00:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	4	$14	16	16	+0	Up	$0	09-30 00:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 03:15 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	04-11 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 01:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x142b61…
10-23 01:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3d9079…
10-22 00:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xcd48d6…
10-22 00:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xc4a0d0…
10-21 05:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xbd4594…
10-21 05:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa71fb0…
10-20 02:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xb000d0…
10-20 02:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x54681d…
10-19 02:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdeae47…
10-19 02:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb69119…
10-18 07:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	28	8¢	$2	0x920ad9…
10-18 07:40:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7c37b0…
10-18 02:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xa96750…
10-18 02:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbfb0c7…
10-17 00:56:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x748dec…
10-17 00:55:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xaacfd9…
10-17 00:55:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:55 UTC	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf836b1…
10-17 00:55:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5a6f17…
10-17 00:53:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x15acf2…
10-17 00:53:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6b0c8f…
10-16 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x653ba2…
10-16 05:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xda93f1…
10-09 00:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xaa409d…
10-09 00:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdf7e12…
10-09 00:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d69c0…
10-09 00:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b6cc2…
10-09 00:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x019cdc…
10-09 00:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6cfa75…
10-08 00:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x5ba616…
10-08 00:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x645739…
10-08 00:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x01f749…
10-07 00:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x3ec133…
10-07 00:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x315996…
10-07 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x7c3dc7…
10-07 00:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x54ea5f…
10-06 02:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xd6249d…
10-06 02:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x933c94…
10-06 02:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x424dbd…
10-06 02:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x58757f…
10-04 01:51:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x35adad…
10-04 01:50:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7f8110…
10-03 02:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xed0194…
10-03 02:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0254d3…
10-02 03:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd9623b…
10-02 03:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x38eeaa…
10-02 03:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8b108d…
10-01 01:21:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x796e0f…
10-01 01:21:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa7b78e…
10-01 01:20:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xeb509b…
10-01 01:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0731a2…
09-30 00:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xf85c75…
09-30 00:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x940b9c…
09-30 00:30:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	13	41¢	$5	0x627f8e…
09-30 00:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8c8339…
09-29 02:08:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x04a43b…
09-29 02:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x90ecd1…
09-29 02:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x0d862e…
09-29 02:07:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x98d3b4…
09-26 01:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xcff815…
09-26 01:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4ebe91…
09-23 00:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x348951…
09-23 00:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xccb1a2…
09-22 00:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xe41da1…
09-22 00:30:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xe6b3fb…
09-20 00:41:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe31704…
09-20 00:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x2db808…
09-20 00:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x617a14…
09-20 00:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x906329…
09-18 00:43:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2508d3…
09-18 00:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xbaa874…
09-18 00:42:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xb1cecb…
09-18 00:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb50c15…
09-17 06:14:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xbb0542…
09-17 06:13:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe2ce6d…
09-17 06:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xaff2b5…
09-17 06:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc37484…
09-17 06:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf68a10…
09-17 06:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x20a7dd…
09-16 02:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x7e2fe5…
09-16 02:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0xb76ca3…
09-16 02:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6f9e50…
09-16 02:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7e9515…
09-16 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3544d4…
09-14 23:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x7d8db2…
09-14 23:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 23:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x00615c…
09-10 00:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xb12cf0…
09-10 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7d190d…
09-10 00:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x243139…
09-10 00:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x202e26…
09-10 00:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5f3443…
09-10 00:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x89ab30…
09-09 00:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x52d89d…
09-08 01:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xb10709…
09-08 01:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc5baf…
09-07 00:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xe1eda9…
09-07 00:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9e6c93…
09-07 00:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x984fed…
09-07 00:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd70720…
09-06 02:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xa15ece…
09-06 02:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x2f2af3…