Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$21,884
Trades
2,429
Unique wallets
639
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
61¢
Latest NO mid
39¢
End date
2026-10-08
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-08 00:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.1¢
(top1%: 71% YES on $8.4K
vs crowd: 73% YES on $20.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 132 | $10.3K | $3.4K | +$7.0K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 179 | $2.8K | $1.3K | +$1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 193 | $1.2K | $665 | +$558 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 135 | $504 | $237 | +$267 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 131 | $5.9K | $2.5K | +$3.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 89 | $1.5K | $463 | +$1.1K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 24 | $162 | $49 | +$113 |
| Median | 40 | $229 | $77 | +$152 |
| Below median | 135 | $633 | $287 | +$346 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 78 | $353 | $206 | +$147 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 112 | $2.0K | $1.3K | +$627 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 30 | $4.0K | $672 | +$3.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Embellished-Doorknob 0xc5e6…2d79 | Up | +2,082 | $1,900 | $1,900 | 9 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,320 | $341 | $341 | 60 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa827…f959 | Up | +1,313 | $1,200 | $1,200 | 3 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +823 | $419 | $419 | 43 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +814 | $459 | $459 | 46 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +770 | $224 | $224 | 37 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +705 | $450 | $450 | 30 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xe105…ed92 | Down | +682 | $95 | $95 | 12 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +584 | $147 | $147 | 30 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x900f…2230 | Up | +568 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 10-08 00:45 |
| Rectangular-Gaffer 0xe70d…dd35 | Down | +568 | $214 | $214 | 1 | 10-08 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6 | Down | +543 | $381 | $381 | 8 | 10-08 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | +500 | $5 | $5 | 18 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Down | +428 | $161 | $161 | 4 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x7549…f1d5 | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 11 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Lustrous-Soybean 0x270f…5e39 | Down | +376 | $21 | $21 | 12 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x6944…149d | Down | +370 | $60 | $60 | 3 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +366 | $190 | $190 | 12 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +366 | $153 | $153 | 20 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Sore-Stepuncle 0x76b8…6aa1 | Down | +357 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Up | +340 | $234 | $234 | 22 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4 | Down | +334 | $23 | $23 | 4 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +329 | $166 | $166 | 13 | 10-08 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +326 | $260 | $260 | 10 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | +310 | $307 | $307 | 2 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +308 | $208 | $208 | 17 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 9 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +293 | $85 | $85 | 28 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xd4fa…dcc8 | Down | +286 | $96 | $96 | 18 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +269 | $139 | $139 | 6 | 10-08 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +259 | $53 | $53 | 18 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +248 | $187 | $187 | 8 | 10-08 00:46 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +246 | $158 | $158 | 22 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Up | +234 | $205 | $205 | 15 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x117f…e34c | Down | +232 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +230 | $147 | $147 | 20 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +230 | $177 | $177 | 14 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xb185…739d | Down | +225 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Up | +214 | $134 | $134 | 9 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +202 | $75 | $75 | 18 | 10-08 00:46 |
| Acrobatic-Dream 0x9b6f…7fb9 | Up | +200 | $198 | $198 | 1 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Double-Compassion 0x5f02…c123 | Up | +200 | $196 | $196 | 1 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x5be3…b984 | Down | +200 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Up | +199 | $170 | $170 | 10 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d8d…1167 | Up | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-08 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb129…890c | Up | +188 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Down | +188 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Down | +188 | $24 | $24 | 3 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +188 | $13 | $13 | 5 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Wise-Brilliant 0x3711…5edb | Down | +183 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e3…8b84 | Up | +182 | $93 | $93 | 4 | 10-08 00:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +180 | $74 | $74 | 20 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb09f…1e7e | Up | +175 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-08 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +173 | $93 | $93 | 15 | 10-08 00:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xb543…5d5e | Down | +167 | $88 | $88 | 5 | 10-08 00:46 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | +157 | $25 | $25 | 11 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | +157 | $110 | $110 | 11 | 10-08 00:47 |
| Offbeat-Comptroller 0x38ab…bd88 | Up | +138 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 10-08 00:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | +134 | $134 | $134 | 4 | 10-08 00:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb79e…18b8 | Up | +132 | $110 | $110 | 12 | 10-08 00:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xafab…eb8c | Up | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x4cad9c… |
| 10-08 00:49:26 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x4cad9c… |
| 10-08 00:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb9e043… |
| 10-08 00:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xb9e043… |
| 10-08 00:49:05 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x74cbc1… |
| 10-08 00:49:05 | (anonymous) 0xcd08…2766 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x74cbc1… |
| 10-08 00:48:47 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xa7646f… |
| 10-08 00:48:47 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0xa7646f… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | BUY | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Up | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x117f…e34c | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:38 | (anonymous) 0x7490…5994 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x4bf334… |
| 10-08 00:48:31 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x07b625… |
| 10-08 00:48:31 | Lustrous-Soybean 0x270f…5e39 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x07b625… |
| 10-08 00:48:31 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | BUY | 75 | 99¢ | $74 | 0x07b625… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | BUY | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x0bf2…ad68 | Up | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x0c0d…05de | Up | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x5ac7c2… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | Decent-Republican 0x551a…9805 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 155 | 99¢ | $153 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | Mushy-Sanctity 0x1572…2a00 | Up | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5ac7c2… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x3164…cd37 | Down | BUY | 34 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x231d…78d1 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:29 | Jealous-Spill-Terrarium 0xec4c…c9d8 | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe52860… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Unfinished-Producer 0xac3f…28d7 | Down | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dc792… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Scared-Puffin 0x456b…38d3 | Up | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xd8390a… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dc792… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9b47c… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Lighthearted-Brood 0xcb7c…b03f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9b47c… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x857b…83b2 | Down | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9b47c… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xbfff…2b8d | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xebe6…b969 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4dc792… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x7db5…4b1e | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xa948…93c6 | Up | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0xe9b47c… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x61ef…1972 | Down | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9b47c… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xf06d…d823 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xebe6…b969 | Down | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x3164…cd37 | Down | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x0dfa…c39c | Up | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xa0adbf… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0xa7cf…7768 | Down | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | Up | BUY | 155 | 99¢ | $153 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x9540…c2bc | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | (anonymous) 0x17e6…c4b6 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe075a8… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Up | SELL | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xa0adbf… |
| 10-08 00:48:28 | Circular-Boot 0x608c…4f52 | Up | SELL | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xd8390a… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3cf434… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x281e…9ed9 | Up | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0xde55ba… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x9b64…7311 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xff4734… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63ff1f… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xde55ba… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0xfb95…100d | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3cf434… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x63ff1f… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | Nutritious-Fee 0xc310…0966 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1a24e6… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9b21d1… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff4734… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1a24e6… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | Deficient-Impairment 0x4e89…6e80 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x9b21d1… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | Rural-Reality 0x09fd…c70f | Up | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xff5cff… |
| 10-08 00:48:26 | (anonymous) 0x7c54…6c48 | Down | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xff5cff… |
| 10-08 00:48:25 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb41b8… |
| 10-08 00:48:25 | Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Down | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x139b93… |
| 10-08 00:48:25 | (anonymous) 0xa9e6…2a10 | Up | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x139b93… |
| 10-08 00:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x674d…e994 | Down | SELL | 55 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdb41b8… |
| 10-08 00:48:25 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xdb41b8… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd2f251… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c1c…6c46 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfc4cf1… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfc4cf1… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x55e1…fc89 | Up | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xd2f251… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0xe5da…a7ad | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xba3331… |
| 10-08 00:48:23 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba3331… |
| 10-08 00:48:22 | (anonymous) 0xc543…934b | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb18c7f… |
| 10-08 00:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb18c7f… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x985a06… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd7a62b… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3651c6… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9a3a92… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xd7a62b… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x774e86… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | Impossible-Slice 0xb5c2…c05e | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x35d3ab… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x89532c… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x050e5c… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1926d7… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9816b1… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x7549…f1d5 | Down | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xed4e3d… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x090a…8da8 | Up | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9816b1… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x2e92…d8d4 | Up | BUY | 74 | 99¢ | $74 | 0xed4e3d… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0xaa12…6734 | Up | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x0ff65d… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3651c6… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | Cautious-Ziggurat 0xca90…a8df | Up | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x985a06… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x7549…f1d5 | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9a3a92… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 50 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ff65d… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x35d3ab… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…eb6f | Down | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x717041… |
| 10-08 00:48:20 | (anonymous) 0x7549…f1d5 | Down | BUY | 202 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x838077… |