Realized P&L
+$85
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$3.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$309
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-04 12:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% 100% +$135
Other
42% 0% $-50
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,429 $200 11¢ $150 $-50 07-01 14:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +70 $50 80¢ $57 +$7 06-01 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +48 $30 84¢ $40 +$10 06-01 14:51
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -38 $-33 88¢ $-33 $-0 07-04 12:18
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No -16 $-12 82¢ $-13 $-1 07-04 12:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +303 $20 $11 $-9 06-01 15:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +77 $10 $7 $-3 06-01 15:05