Quick-Witted-Carp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$378

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved (90d)

253

Trades (90d)

298

35,355 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.07K

$753.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 08-24 00:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 89% -$10,136

Politics

0% 0% -$2,283

Other

0% 84% -$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	45	$4.3K	5,630	0	+5,630	Down	+$1,288	05-08 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	43	$4.3K	5,221	0	+5,221	Up	+$921	05-08 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	181	$4.1K	6,700	0	+6,700	Up	-$504	05-08 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	40	$4.0K	5,850	0	+5,850	Up	+$1,850	05-08 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	45	$3.8K	5,229	0	+5,229	Down	+$1,415	05-08 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	38	$3.8K	6,555	0	+6,555	Down	-$1,106	05-08 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	38	$3.8K	5,271	0	+5,271	Up	+$1,506	05-08 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	279	$3.7K	6,075	0	+6,075	Up	-$1,825	05-08 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	38	$3.7K	18,950	0	+18,950	Down	-$1,328	05-08 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	107	$3.5K	4,800	0	+4,800	Up	-$3,535	05-08 17:14
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	31	$3.2K	7,109	768	+6,341	Yes	-$2,280	05-08 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	32	$3.2K	5,500	0	+5,500	Up	+$2,300	05-08 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	31	$3.1K	3,851	0	+3,851	Up	+$751	05-08 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	56	$2.8K	4,600	0	+4,600	Down	-$286	05-08 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	84	$2.8K	4,470	0	+4,470	Down	+$1,715	05-08 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	28	$2.7K	4,203	0	+4,203	Up	+$1,463	05-08 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	27	$2.7K	8,108	0	+8,108	Up	-$2,662	05-08 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	26	$2.6K	4,293	0	+4,293	Down	-$2,600	05-08 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	106	$2.5K	4,347	0	+4,347	Down	+$1,804	05-08 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	39	$2.5K	2,855	835	+2,020	Up	-$1,888	05-31 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	33	$2.4K	4,044	0	+4,044	Down	-$2,430	05-31 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	31	$2.4K	2,661	1,162	+1,499	Down	-$228	05-31 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	26	$2.4K	3,105	0	+3,105	Down	-$2,081	05-08 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	25	$2.4K	71,365	0	+71,365	Up	-$2,400	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	54	$2.2K	2,459	1,462	+998	Up	-$811	05-31 04:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	96	$2.2K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$601	05-08 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	44	$2.1K	3,828	0	+3,828	Up	+$1,679	05-30 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	98	$2.1K	3,400	0	+3,400	Down	+$390	05-08 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	30	$2.1K	3,056	0	+3,056	Down	-$2,109	05-31 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	21	$2.1K	3,174	0	+3,174	Down	-$41	05-08 19:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4f1916…
08-24 00:38:19	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xd2b74b…
08-24 00:38:18	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xa86109…
08-24 00:38:18	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x510c43…
08-24 00:38:18	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x29b19f…
08-24 00:33:19	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xd40438…
08-24 00:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x07e8c9…
08-23 18:08:13	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x293430…
08-23 18:08:09	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x546a84…
08-23 18:08:09	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x340249…
08-23 18:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x07ff98…
08-23 17:43:46	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x808282…
08-23 16:28:16	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x6aff79…
08-23 16:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xd38e70…
08-23 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe195dc…
08-23 16:03:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xa541d4…
08-23 15:33:09	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x7ccb00…
08-23 15:33:09	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x704211…
08-23 15:33:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9b032…
08-23 15:09:07	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x9fc276…
08-23 15:09:07	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x7b8923…
08-23 14:33:07	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x603823…
08-23 14:18:21	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xa56a04…
08-23 14:18:19	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x989949…
08-23 14:03:07	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xe50981…
08-23 14:03:07	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x463aa4…
08-23 14:03:07	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x10a2ef…
08-23 13:54:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xbd4a21…
08-23 13:43:43	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1dc569…
08-23 11:38:06	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x32bab7…
08-23 11:28:06	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x900709…
08-23 10:38:13	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xa4a8c5…
08-23 10:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xdd0ba8…
08-23 08:33:48	Solana Up or Down - August 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc05e43…
08-23 08:03:48	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xd719d3…
08-23 08:03:48	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa3921e…
08-23 08:03:48	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x8014f4…
08-23 07:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x50c240…
08-23 07:33:43	XRP Up or Down - August 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x040103…
08-23 06:28:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x2d6192…
08-23 06:13:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x21dd97…
08-23 06:08:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xf2c417…
08-23 06:08:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3c8661…
08-23 06:08:30	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3907d2…
08-23 05:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x9d7ca9…
08-23 05:38:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x586e02…
08-23 04:38:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xef03c1…
08-23 04:38:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xdc4a2f…
08-23 04:38:27	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x6baaff…
08-23 04:24:36	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x1107a9…
08-23 04:18:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xdc30b0…
08-23 03:13:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x18ffd0…
08-23 02:58:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xc43a41…
08-23 02:58:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$12	0x672b9f…
08-23 02:08:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x491f35…
08-23 00:48:55	XRP Up or Down - August 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x9451cf…
08-23 00:33:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xabd707…
08-23 00:33:21	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5b4af5…
08-23 00:33:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xd7b7ac…
08-23 00:33:15	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x4cb131…
08-23 00:03:07	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-23 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x232e7c…
08-22 23:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x94cfcd…
08-22 20:03:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba758e…
08-22 18:48:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5e5779…
08-22 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc0a93e…
08-22 07:33:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x89fc05…
08-22 07:09:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd9408f…
08-22 07:09:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x370f40…
08-22 07:09:01	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x3502c2…
08-22 07:08:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe04172…
08-22 07:08:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x788874…
08-22 07:08:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x2c57b8…
08-22 06:48:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xaeb668…
08-22 06:23:25	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf0d9d0…
08-22 06:08:54	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x89e9e1…
08-22 05:59:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xea07be…
08-22 05:59:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x58888b…
08-22 05:59:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x004455…
08-22 05:53:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xf10e8a…
08-22 05:53:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x2ad77a…
08-22 05:43:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x1c73c1…
08-22 05:34:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xec096f…
08-22 05:34:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xaeae4c…
08-22 05:34:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x8a78ac…
08-22 05:34:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x52724b…
08-22 05:34:16	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x3c540e…
08-22 05:34:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa1af61…
08-22 05:34:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x4d781d…
08-22 05:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x511002…
08-22 04:18:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x5bfb6a…
08-22 04:13:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xc785f4…
08-22 03:13:15	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xafb185…
08-22 02:49:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x5b8481…
08-22 02:49:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x3be519…
08-22 02:48:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xcc47c8…
08-22 02:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x33f90a…
08-22 02:18:24	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xdd7f32…
08-22 02:08:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xc17c9b…
08-22 02:08:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x5d05c5…
08-22 02:08:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x2bb012…