Realized P&L
+$211
Unrealized P&L
-$62
Hit rate
65.4%
Resolved
47
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$844
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$87
1 position
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-10 12:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
61%
12%
+$205
Crypto
38%
6%
+$21
Other
2%
0%
-$14
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +833 | $150 | 11¢ | $87 | -$62 | 06-10 12:45 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et | 2 | $304 | 284 | 284 | +0 | Yes | +$264 | 03-03 09:06 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 1 | $150 | 833 | 0 | +833 | open | — | 06-10 12:45 |
| bitcoin above 68k on february 25 | 2 | $127 | 125 | 125 | +0 | Yes | +$123 | 02-25 17:15 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 2 | $25 | 6,667 | 0 | +6,667 | No | -$25 | 02-25 20:35 |
| bitcoin above 72k on march 4 | 2 | $23 | 104 | 52 | +52 | Yes | +$65 | 03-04 13:06 |
| will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026 | 2 | $19 | 219 | 0 | +219 | No | -$19 | 06-10 12:45 |
| bitcoin above 76k on march 5 | 2 | $15 | 254 | 0 | +254 | No | -$15 | 03-05 09:58 |
| us strikes iran by february 25 2026 | 1 | $12 | 227 | 0 | +227 | No | -$12 | 02-24 21:50 |
| bitcoin above 58k on february 25 | 1 | $10 | 5,000 | 0 | +5,000 | Yes | -$10 | 02-25 04:05 |
| us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368 | 1 | $10 | 625 | 0 | +625 | No | -$10 | 02-26 13:11 |
| bitcoin above 66k on march 1 | 2 | $10 | 5,548 | 0 | +5,548 | Yes | -$10 | 03-01 17:12 |
| will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988 | 1 | $10 | 2,016 | 0 | +2,016 | No | -$10 | 02-26 19:07 |
| will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et | 1 | $10 | 257 | 0 | +257 | No | -$10 | 02-26 13:14 |
| will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026 | 1 | $10 | 9,991 | 0 | +9,991 | No | -$10 | 02-25 20:34 |
| will solana dip to 60 in february 2026 | 5 | $9 | 641 | 0 | +641 | No | -$9 | 02-25 05:41 |
| bitcoin above 70k on march 1 | 1 | $5 | 714 | 0 | +714 | No | -$5 | 03-01 12:03 |
| bitcoin above 62k on march 6 | 1 | $5 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | Yes | -$5 | 03-05 10:11 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1 | $5 | 833 | 0 | +833 | No | -$5 | 02-25 04:14 |
| bitcoin above 62k on march 3 | 1 | $5 | 357 | 0 | +357 | Yes | -$5 | 03-03 09:11 |
| bitcoin above 66k on march 5 | 1 | $5 | 1,250 | 0 | +1,250 | Yes | -$5 | 03-05 09:58 |
| bitcoin above 70k on march 5 | 1 | $5 | 100 | 0 | +100 | Yes | -$5 | 03-05 09:58 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | 1 | $5 | 1,000 | 0 | +1,000 | No | -$5 | 02-26 19:05 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 1 | 1 | $5 | 79 | 0 | +79 | No | -$5 | 03-01 12:03 |
| bitcoin above 62k on march 4 | 1 | $5 | 106 | 0 | +106 | Yes | -$5 | 03-03 09:12 |
| will gold gc hit low 4450 by end of february 844 276 171 389 959 616 957 814 619 837 | 1 | $5 | 271 | 0 | +271 | No | -$5 | 02-25 04:19 |
| bitcoin above 70k on march 3 | 1 | $5 | 114 | 0 | +114 | No | -$5 | 03-03 09:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 13:05 UTC | 1 | $5 | 24 | 0 | +24 | Up | -$5 | 03-03 13:06 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026 | 1 | $5 | 101 | 0 | +101 | No | -$5 | 03-04 19:35 |
| will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8 | 1 | $5 | 29 | 0 | +29 | No | -$5 | 03-04 19:38 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026 | 1 | $5 | 46 | 0 | +46 | No | -$5 | 03-04 19:35 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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