Sturdy-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$489

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 08-11 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$4

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,827	0	+1,827	No	+$4	05-10 01:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$1.8K	1,823	0	+1,823	Yes	+$5	05-09 05:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	1	$1.8K	1,819	0	+1,819	No	+$4	05-09 00:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,811	0	+1,811	No	+$4	05-08 01:08
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	1	$1.8K	1,807	0	+1,807	Yes	+$4	05-07 07:41
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$1.1K	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	02-06 02:34
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-05 02:08
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	02-04 02:09
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	02-03 08:23
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	1	$1.1K	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	02-02 01:16
ethereum above 3100 on february 1	1	$1.1K	1,076	0	+1,076	open	—	02-01 00:57
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-31 02:08
xrp above 2pt3 on january 30	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-30 02:36
ethereum above 2700 on january 29	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-29 00:46
ethereum above 2700 on january 28	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-28 02:17
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	1	$1.1K	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	01-27 01:30
ethereum above 3300 on january 26	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-26 02:13
ethereum above 3200 on january 25	1	$1.1K	1,066	0	+1,066	open	—	01-25 01:47
will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	1	$1.1K	1,064	0	+1,064	open	—	01-24 03:19
will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	1	$1.1K	1,061	0	+1,061	open	—	01-23 06:02
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	08-11 02:42
bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	07-08 09:53
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	07-13 05:02
bitcoin above 70k on august 8 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	08-07 03:44
bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	07-02 03:39
bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	07-30 05:14
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-30 07:24
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 05:54
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-20 07:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	06-25 05:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 02:42:58	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xa47b8b…
08-07 03:44:58	bitcoin above 70k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x445116…
07-30 05:14:24	bitcoin above 60k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xa23dc0…
07-23 09:02:43	untitled market 1 20260629172613097	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e70d5…
07-13 05:02:44	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x38829e…
07-08 09:53:44	bitcoin above 66k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x71f84e…
07-02 03:39:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x14b787…
06-25 05:18:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdaac70…
06-17 10:55:52	nflx above 200 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfea8fd…
05-20 07:53:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x28d1fa…
05-16 02:53:29	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,826	0¢	$4	0xcd5e24…
05-12 11:49:38	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1,836	0¢	$4	0xc7d4de…
05-11 07:25:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,817	0¢	$4	0x385c4d…
05-10 01:00:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1,827	100¢	$1,823	0xf6d465…
05-09 05:17:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,823	100¢	$1,818	0x413a7f…
05-09 00:39:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,819	100¢	$1,815	0x8fa103…
05-08 01:08:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	1,811	100¢	$1,807	0xeece98…
05-07 07:41:20	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1,807	100¢	$1,803	0x6f66cb…
05-06 08:19:28	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,073	0¢	$4	0xf43e65…
05-05 02:28:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,062	0¢	$4	0x5ea133…
05-04 01:01:30	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,088	0¢	$4	0x2f82ec…
04-13 09:44:05	Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x79b66b…
03-30 07:24:38	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x959c55…
03-11 02:09:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	2,159	0¢	$6	0x2305b4…
03-11 02:09:01	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 11	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x561cfa…
03-06 06:45:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 6	Yes	BUY	2,115	0¢	$6	0x8ccd33…
03-02 01:31:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 2	Yes	BUY	2,164	0¢	$6	0x3a577e…
02-13 12:49:13	xrp above 1pt6 on february 13	Yes	BUY	1,112	0¢	$3	0xcfde5f…
02-09 02:43:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on february 9	Yes	BUY	1,087	0¢	$3	0x010f45…
02-06 02:34:45	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	No	BUY	1,112	99¢	$1,105	0x9ba033…
02-05 02:08:29	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,102	0x25ce2c…
02-04 02:09:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	1,102	99¢	$1,090	0x22cbd0…
02-03 08:23:20	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 3	No	BUY	1,090	99¢	$1,078	0xedb902…
02-02 01:16:28	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	No	BUY	1,078	100¢	$1,077	0xe028fe…
02-01 00:57:28	ethereum above 3100 on february 1	No	BUY	1,076	100¢	$1,075	0xfab066…
01-31 02:08:02	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0xdb0ad0…
01-30 02:36:18	xrp above 2pt3 on january 30	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x4b1dae…
01-29 00:46:56	ethereum above 2700 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,070	0x8b9441…
01-28 02:17:25	ethereum above 2700 on january 28	Yes	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,069	0x4404f4…
01-27 01:30:49	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,067	0xcca053…
01-26 02:13:36	ethereum above 3300 on january 26	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xa4c224…
01-25 01:47:04	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	1,066	100¢	$1,064	0x535b01…
01-24 03:19:06	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 24	No	BUY	1,064	100¢	$1,061	0xd8764a…
01-23 06:02:04	will the price of ethereum be between 3500 3600 on january 23	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0x50512f…
01-23 05:54:12	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6df029…
01-19 10:41:26	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd295d1…
01-12 04:08:06	ethereum above 3400 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x47480a…
01-12 04:07:00	ethereum above 3400 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x41f6f9…
01-12 04:05:58	ethereum above 3400 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0x483afe…
01-12 04:03:54	ethereum above 3400 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x3c680f…
01-12 04:00:36	ethereum above 3400 on january 12	Yes	BUY	1,061	0¢	$1	0x8af82f…
01-12 03:57:44	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	No	BUY	1,065	0¢	$1	0xb92014…