Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

111

Trades

173

lifetime

Volume

$715

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 09-09 12:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

77% 41% -$64

Politics

12% 50% +$12

Crypto

8% 88% +$22

Tech

3% 50% -$6

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	2	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	+$7	08-23 20:40
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	2	$18	27	27	+0	No	+$3	09-09 12:34
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	+$3	08-23 20:40
Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	3	$17	11	11	+0	Yes	+$5	08-09 08:49
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	2	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	+$8	07-22 23:15
NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?	2	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	+$2	08-23 20:40
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	3	$14	12	12	+0	No	+$2	09-09 12:32
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	2	$13	14	14	+0	No	+$4	08-05 15:11
Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	2	$13	16	16	+0	No	+$1	09-09 12:32
bitcoin above 64k on july 7 2026	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	+$3	07-07 16:00
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	3	$13	56	56	+0	No	+$1	09-09 12:33
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?	2	$13	13	13	+0	Yes	+$9	07-17 14:44
Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	2	$12	19	19	+0	No	+$0	09-09 12:33
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Yes	+$2	08-03 21:49
Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	3	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	08-04 19:33
iran successfully targets shipping on july 17	4	$11	34	0	+34	No	+$23	07-19 18:34
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	3	$11	7	7	+0	No	+$3	07-28 09:31
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt15 by july 31 20260629184429517	3	$11	26	26	+0	No	+$1	07-20 22:24
Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	2	$11	14	14	+0	No	-$1	09-09 12:33
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	-$10	08-03 22:14
dkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt21	1	$10	20	0	+20	No	+$10	08-04 15:13
chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$4	07-19 11:46
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	2	$10	23	21	+2	No	-$2	09-09 12:33
Will 7 Brew Coffee be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	1	$8	32	0	+32	No	-$8	08-17 13:53
Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	2	$8	26	0	+26	No	-$8	08-18 09:22
spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	1	$8	15	0	+15	Yes	-$8	08-04 20:00
bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	1	$7	14	0	+14	No	+$7	08-12 09:25
Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?	1	$7	27	0	+27	No	-$7	08-08 08:54
will russia enter hannivka by august 31 2026 20260811165006763	1	$7	15	0	+15	No	-$7	08-12 22:33
putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	1	$7	15	0	+15	Yes	+$8	08-16 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 12:34:21	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	SELL	27	41¢	$11	0x0d2105…
09-09 12:33:57	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xd3974d…
09-09 12:33:49	Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	SELL	14	34¢	$5	0xb1b80f…
09-09 12:33:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	13¢	$7	0x5c428c…
09-09 12:33:06	Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0xa21c27…
09-09 12:32:52	Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x0e8d3c…
09-09 12:32:40	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x8d8df6…
09-09 12:32:10	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xf46427…
09-07 19:09:52	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x75fa52…
09-07 17:29:28	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xbd2c82…
09-07 17:28:57	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x419e62…
09-07 17:28:42	Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x94a497…
09-07 17:28:12	Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x8fbd44…
09-07 17:27:51	Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x8795ec…
08-27 22:52:58	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	Yes	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0xd8df16…
08-27 21:45:58	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x75a873…
08-27 21:42:57	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xea146d…
08-23 20:40:40	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x9acb17…
08-23 20:40:25	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x12c6d0…
08-23 20:40:03	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0x672e9b…
08-18 09:22:30	Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9b5d03…
08-18 09:18:21	Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd41dd5…
08-17 13:53:34	Will 7 Brew Coffee be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	Yes	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x41cc1c…
08-16 22:21:31	putin meets with iranian officials by august 31 20260702174616624	Yes	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0x4ca4bf…
08-14 16:40:40	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xe87c18…
08-14 16:39:55	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x55191c…
08-14 16:39:54	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xfbaa72…
08-14 16:39:52	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc9952d…
08-12 22:37:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x889514…
08-12 22:37:03	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x1beeff…
08-12 22:33:00	will russia enter hannivka by august 31 2026 20260811165006763	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xf694c9…
08-12 09:25:15	bitcoin above 64k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x1bcb99…
08-12 01:14:34	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0x2354b8…
08-11 18:44:39	Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xdaa9a4…
08-11 18:44:09	Will Rob Reiner – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$7	0x3b50a8…
08-11 18:30:54	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0x2b09db…
08-11 18:28:49	Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on August 31?	Yes	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0xf7d492…
08-11 18:27:22	Christopher Luxon out by September 30?	Yes	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0x9d00fd…
08-09 08:55:01	Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?	Yes	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xf8c149…
08-09 08:51:25	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xbb1099…
08-09 08:49:06	Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x258c80…
08-08 08:54:55	Will SpaceX have fewer than 13 launches in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$7	0x4d28ed…
08-08 08:47:13	will scotus let trump build the white house ballroom by september 30 20260807171000966	No	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x366aaf…
08-07 14:03:00	will solana reach 75 on august 7	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x4aa2ff…
08-07 13:27:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x56cf47…
08-07 13:24:01	Will Nate Pollnow be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x05c676…
08-05 22:41:53	NVIDIA (NVDA) Q2 adjusted gross margin 74%-76%?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xd35800…
08-05 22:38:54	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x3aed80…
08-05 22:37:30	uaa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 07 2026 0pt02	No	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x4d744a…
08-05 15:11:12	Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x72313d…
08-04 20:00:39	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	No	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x967428…
08-04 19:53:18	will donald trump publicly insult zohran mamdani by august 31 2026 20260730161742262	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x495810…
08-04 19:33:32	Will 2–3 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?	Yes	SELL	10	67¢	$6	0xafbbe0…
08-04 16:22:00	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x48108d…
08-04 15:13:17	dkng quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt21	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9201e5…
08-03 23:29:59	fig quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 05 2026 neg0pt31	Yes	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xc93303…
08-03 23:29:36	mcd quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 05 2026 3pt33	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf42bd1…
08-03 22:32:39	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x141a24…
08-03 22:19:51	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x26d4dd…
08-03 22:18:30	Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xab3eb7…
08-03 22:14:14	Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x18071f…
08-03 21:49:36	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x3c5a04…
08-03 18:01:35	Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x8a1f3e…
08-03 18:00:29	Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xe3ba45…
08-03 15:59:08	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xf245ba…
08-03 14:59:11	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c7820…
08-03 11:40:06	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$5	0x0efa23…
07-31 08:20:57	bitcoin above 64k on july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x26ad63…
07-30 21:44:47	icelandic european union membership negotiations referendum passes 20260609135241589	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1a5746…
07-30 19:26:06	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xd87bc3…
07-30 15:05:59	Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc2a067…
07-29 20:05:26	Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x9ae8e4…
07-29 13:51:38	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x8509f6…
07-29 13:50:02	will marriott mar q2 worldwide revpar be above 137pt5 20260725194931753	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9a5285…
07-29 13:12:08	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc71ccb…
07-29 13:00:15	will russia capture dovha balka by september 30	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe79ce3…
07-28 09:41:25	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x2bd11a…
07-28 09:31:53	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xc6b420…
07-27 22:31:30	Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x49448e…
07-27 22:20:57	celh quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 06 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x74794d…
07-26 16:13:25	Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd182e8…
07-26 15:37:49	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x366916…
07-24 09:51:36	arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xd4aec3…
07-23 22:26:12	Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x907e8a…
07-23 15:37:45	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xad36ee…
07-23 15:37:28	will russia enter vasylivka by july 31 2026	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xe5ef53…
07-23 15:16:28	Visa (V) Q3 cross border volume total growth (constant dollars) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe4f28b…
07-23 15:14:15	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5%-12.5%?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x5e8912…
07-23 15:10:21	Mastercard (MA) Q2 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis) 6.5%-7.5%?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4698b7…
07-23 15:04:00	powl quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 03 2026 1pt47	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x162145…
07-23 10:26:12	will xrp reach 1pt15 on july 23	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcc5f16…
07-22 23:40:22	Union Pacific (UNP) Q2 adjusted operating ratio 59%-60%?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa3ef70…
07-22 23:15:48	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xf81618…
07-21 13:12:24	Welltower (WELL) Q2 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15%-18%?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5c825f…
07-21 13:10:57	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in July?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5539f4…
07-21 12:50:57	Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x879d7f…
07-21 12:49:42	Will AbbVie Q2 Global Rinvoq net revenues be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x7d31c9…
07-21 12:48:54	Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 30%-34%?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4d206e…
07-21 12:48:13	Vertiv (VRT) Q2 adjusted operating margin 20%-22%?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xae0b6d…
07-20 22:29:01	israel military action against yemen by july 31 20260714001321877	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3e821f…