Slippery-Event — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$290

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

1,026

Trades

7,957

lifetime

Volume

$25.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-11 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$290

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 05:30 UTC	33	$226	252	241	+11	Down	+$78	03-18 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 18:30 UTC	35	$196	198	191	+7	Down	+$62	03-18 18:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 05:30 UTC	34	$168	370	0	+370	Down	-$13	03-21 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 02:00 UTC	51	$168	180	179	+1	Up	+$56	03-19 02:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:30 UTC	48	$124	331	0	+331	Up	-$26	03-18 15:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 23:00 UTC	49	$122	276	0	+276	Up	-$15	03-18 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 23:15 UTC	42	$118	245	0	+245	Up	+$9	03-18 23:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 20:00 UTC	43	$115	233	0	+233	Down	-$8	03-18 20:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 05:30 UTC	44	$114	242	0	+242	Up	-$15	03-19 05:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:45 UTC	39	$105	225	0	+225	Up	+$26	03-18 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 07:00 UTC	40	$105	215	0	+215	Down	+$0	03-19 07:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 06:45 UTC	41	$102	211	0	+211	Down	+$2	03-18 06:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 08:15 UTC	40	$101	208	0	+208	Down	+$2	03-19 08:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:00 UTC	35	$95	201	0	+201	Down	+$1	03-18 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:15 UTC	31	$94	192	0	+192	Down	+$3	03-18 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:45 UTC	30	$93	191	0	+191	Up	-$7	03-18 16:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 07:00 UTC	33	$92	189	0	+189	Up	-$3	03-18 07:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 03:00 UTC	32	$92	198	0	+198	Up	-$10	03-19 03:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 09:00 UTC	30	$89	187	0	+187	Up	+$6	03-26 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 06:15 UTC	40	$88	200	0	+200	Up	+$40	03-18 06:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 01:15 UTC	27	$88	179	0	+179	Up	+$9	03-19 01:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 17:15 UTC	29	$88	182	0	+182	Up	-$7	03-18 17:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:00 UTC	35	$87	222	0	+222	Up	-$13	03-18 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 16:30 UTC	33	$87	182	0	+182	Up	+$15	03-18 16:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 05:15 UTC	34	$86	178	0	+178	Down	-$7	03-18 05:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 05:45 UTC	30	$85	185	0	+185	Down	+$35	03-18 05:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 14:30 UTC	16	$85	146	0	+146	Up	-$12	03-23 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 09:15 UTC	33	$84	170	0	+170	Up	+$3	03-19 09:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 23:30 UTC	16	$84	141	0	+141	Up	-$2	03-20 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 08:45 UTC	30	$84	169	0	+169	Down	-$4	03-19 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 04:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb0cfd9…
08-11 04:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x52a126…
08-11 02:14:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x770254…
08-11 02:13:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x88ee26…
08-11 00:29:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x9a3fb1…
08-11 00:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x41c308…
08-11 00:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd6fc10…
08-11 00:13:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xef52f6…
08-10 23:28:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3b0951…
08-10 23:28:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xfb1837…
08-10 19:44:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe33759…
08-10 19:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa9fea0…
08-10 17:58:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x12b303…
08-10 17:57:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe1df93…
08-10 17:42:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8907d0…
08-10 16:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1ab8a4…
08-10 15:43:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x27b941…
08-10 15:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x816b35…
08-10 15:13:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x7c194a…
08-10 15:13:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb4b92c…
08-10 09:13:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x334068…
08-10 09:12:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x56571a…
08-10 08:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf978dc…
08-10 07:13:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf9f7ac…
08-10 07:12:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa39374…
08-10 06:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf303cb…
08-10 06:28:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf74735…
08-10 05:58:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78961a…
08-10 05:14:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x256078…
08-10 04:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x356116…
08-10 04:57:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb72bce…
08-10 04:29:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x3f1600…
08-10 04:29:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x43d0d5…
08-10 03:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0992ec…
08-10 03:43:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbd73b6…
08-10 01:29:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96bfbe…
08-09 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4b0d8b…
08-09 23:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x72c1bc…
08-09 23:42:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5be4f0…
08-09 21:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed324b…
08-09 20:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x92dfa7…
08-09 20:57:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x40bf97…
08-09 19:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x930a27…
08-09 17:13:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x006111…
08-09 16:58:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x7225b3…
08-09 15:44:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xacebbe…
08-09 15:43:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xec595b…
08-09 15:28:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x081e9a…
08-09 15:27:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x4b6f40…
08-09 15:12:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x65baef…
08-09 05:44:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0dd78…
08-09 05:29:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x82f946…
08-09 04:43:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7cb9d9…
08-09 04:27:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x370f26…
08-09 03:58:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x331070…
08-09 03:13:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb6cc4f…
08-09 02:42:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5bf617…
08-09 02:28:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc470b3…
08-09 02:13:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1969e5…
08-09 01:57:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa4bd16…
08-08 22:13:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x99ec6f…
08-08 12:29:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d8886…
08-08 11:43:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa24a93…
08-08 10:59:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdedc69…
08-08 10:43:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe782c5…
08-08 06:12:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfc0059…
08-08 05:43:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x73bc7c…
05-09 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x206489…
05-09 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5a3596…
05-09 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa9d53c…
05-09 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x66aa9f…
05-09 13:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xad8753…
05-09 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7a8acc…
05-09 13:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6ba49d…
05-09 13:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc93c3e…
05-09 13:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38dab6…
05-09 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xcc00a1…
05-09 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x58b701…
05-09 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x57feba…
05-09 13:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x8e0120…
05-09 13:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x00c26c…
05-09 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9e7229…
05-09 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb68e8a…
05-09 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9e05bb…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xf86360…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf27961…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x848e08…
05-09 13:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x132cd2…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf86107…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdfe80e…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdcc131…
05-09 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x326fb2…
05-09 13:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x557826…
05-09 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdba2de…
05-09 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xd5444f…
05-09 13:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x706def…
05-09 13:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x24d05d…
05-09 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46a15e…
05-09 12:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x12492d…
05-09 12:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x8ab20a…