Slippery-Event — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$237

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

612

Trades

7,847

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-08 12:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-237

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773811800	33	$226	252	241	+11	open	—	03-18 05:35
btc updown 15m 1773858600	35	$196	198	191	+7	open	—	03-18 18:35
btc updown 15m 1774071000	34	$168	370	0	+370	open	—	03-21 05:44
btc updown 15m 1773885600	51	$168	180	179	+1	open	—	03-19 02:07
btc updown 15m 1773847800	48	$124	331	0	+331	open	—	03-18 15:43
btc updown 15m 1773874800	49	$122	276	0	+276	open	—	03-18 23:14
btc updown 15m 1773875700	42	$118	245	0	+245	open	—	03-18 23:25
btc updown 15m 1773864000	43	$115	233	0	+233	open	—	03-18 20:02
btc updown 15m 1773898200	44	$114	242	0	+242	open	—	03-19 05:31
btc updown 15m 1773848700	39	$105	225	0	+225	open	—	03-18 15:50
btc updown 15m 1773903600	40	$105	215	0	+215	open	—	03-19 07:02
btc updown 15m 1773816300	41	$102	211	0	+211	open	—	03-18 06:47
btc updown 15m 1773908100	40	$101	208	0	+208	open	—	03-19 08:19
btc updown 15m 1773853200	35	$95	201	0	+201	open	—	03-18 17:12
btc updown 15m 1773850500	31	$94	192	0	+192	open	—	03-18 16:20
btc updown 15m 1773852300	30	$93	191	0	+191	open	—	03-18 16:57
btc updown 15m 1773817200	33	$92	189	0	+189	open	—	03-18 07:02
btc updown 15m 1773889200	32	$92	198	0	+198	open	—	03-19 03:07
btc updown 15m 1774515600	30	$89	187	0	+187	open	—	03-26 09:14
btc updown 15m 1773814500	40	$88	200	0	+200	open	—	03-18 06:22
btc updown 15m 1773882900	27	$88	179	0	+179	open	—	03-19 01:17
btc updown 15m 1773854100	29	$88	182	0	+182	open	—	03-18 17:19
btc updown 15m 1773831600	35	$87	222	0	+222	open	—	03-18 11:14
btc updown 15m 1773851400	33	$87	182	0	+182	open	—	03-18 16:32
btc updown 15m 1773810900	34	$86	178	0	+178	open	—	03-18 05:17
btc updown 15m 1773812700	30	$85	185	0	+185	open	—	03-18 05:47
btc updown 15m 1774276200	16	$85	146	0	+146	open	—	03-23 14:41
btc updown 15m 1773911700	33	$84	170	0	+170	open	—	03-19 09:18
btc updown 15m 1774049400	16	$84	141	0	+141	open	—	03-20 23:43
btc updown 15m 1773909900	30	$84	169	0	+169	open	—	03-19 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 12:29:16	btc updown 15m 1786191300	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4d8886…
08-08 11:43:04	btc updown 15m 1786188600	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa24a93…
08-08 10:59:13	btc updown 15m 1786185900	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdedc69…
08-08 10:43:24	btc updown 15m 1786185000	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe782c5…
08-08 06:12:55	btc updown 15m 1786168800	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xfc0059…
08-08 05:43:21	btc updown 15m 1786167000	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x73bc7c…
05-09 13:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x206489…
05-09 13:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5a3596…
05-09 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa9d53c…
05-09 13:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x66aa9f…
05-09 13:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xad8753…
05-09 13:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x7a8acc…
05-09 13:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x6ba49d…
05-09 13:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xc93c3e…
05-09 13:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x38dab6…
05-09 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xcc00a1…
05-09 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x58b701…
05-09 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x57feba…
05-09 13:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x8e0120…
05-09 13:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x00c26c…
05-09 13:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9e7229…
05-09 13:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb68e8a…
05-09 13:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9e05bb…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xf86360…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xf27961…
05-09 13:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x848e08…
05-09 13:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x132cd2…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf86107…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdfe80e…
05-09 13:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdcc131…
05-09 13:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x326fb2…
05-09 13:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x557826…
05-09 13:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdba2de…
05-09 13:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xd5444f…
05-09 13:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x706def…
05-09 13:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0x24d05d…
05-09 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x46a15e…
05-09 12:57:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x12492d…
05-09 12:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x8ab20a…
05-09 12:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$0	0x69b601…
05-09 12:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe24412…
05-09 12:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xe21b8b…
05-09 12:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8fbe0f…
05-09 12:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6160e2…
05-09 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xe1628a…
05-09 12:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x33a4cb…
05-09 12:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8da9a7…
05-09 12:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1e92d2…
05-09 12:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6a78fc…
05-09 12:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x55744f…
05-09 12:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x702190…
05-09 12:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4edfa2…
05-09 12:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x418b91…
05-09 12:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x106654…
05-09 12:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xeba87b…
05-09 12:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x87b8c5…
05-09 12:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x60788d…
05-09 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1cac62…
05-09 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0xbdcccb…
05-09 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0x3c01f5…
05-09 12:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x92a9a3…
05-09 12:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x19c25d…
05-09 12:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7eb115…
05-09 12:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x059870…
05-09 12:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd2cfa…
05-09 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b010a…
05-09 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x802441…
05-09 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x291b91…
05-09 12:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x19c51f…
05-09 12:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0xb54e54…
05-09 12:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0x4003d7…
05-09 12:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x86ff19…
05-09 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2e6345…
05-09 12:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xea3efb…
05-09 12:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xda3481…
05-09 12:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x94a49a…
05-09 03:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x38dada…
05-09 03:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x1e1b40…
05-09 03:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x963d80…
05-09 03:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x85646f…
05-09 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x717355…
05-09 02:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x422642…
05-09 02:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x1ada09…
05-09 02:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb86fb8…
05-09 02:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4f4ab2…
05-09 02:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3c8733…
05-09 02:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5a06bd…
05-09 02:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x06cab9…
05-09 02:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xd75b97…
05-09 02:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5918f5…
05-09 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa23ade…
05-09 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x9d9449…
05-09 02:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xe12ff6…
05-09 02:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x58f74f…
05-09 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa69532…
05-09 02:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ad3f6…
05-09 02:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2a45f7…
05-09 02:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9376f6…
05-09 02:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x472641…
05-09 02:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcaaf21…