Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$188,925

Trades

20,879

Unique wallets

1,438

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-03-18

First seen

2026-03-18

last 03-18 16:31

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +16,004 (anon) +11,579 (anon) +8,326 (anon) +4,788 (anon) +3,713 (anon) +3,183 (anon) +2,899 (anon) +2,846

NO holders

(anon) +10,085 (anon) +7,846 (anon) +7,510 (anon) +5,009 (anon) +4,385 (anon) +4,235 Tremendous-Closet +4,028 (anon) +3,904

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +1.9¢ (top1%: 43% YES on $95.1K vs crowd: 41% YES on $158.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	116	$43.7K	$57.0K	$13.4K
🐬 Dolphin	282	$12.8K	$23.6K	$10.8K
🐟 Fish	554	$6.2K	$9.8K	$3.7K
🦐 Shrimp	486	$2.8K	$2.4K	+$421

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	123	$41.2K	$54.0K	$12.8K
🏆 Top 5%	143	$3.4K	$6.6K	$3.2K
✅ Top 10%	82	$685	$750	$65
Median	104	$522	$771	$248
Below median	477	$2.7K	$3.6K	$857
⚠️ Bottom 10%	241	$2.7K	$3.1K	$382
🔻 Bottom 5%	173	$7.3K	$10.1K	$2.7K
💀 Bottom 1%	95	$6.9K	$14.0K	$7.1K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Up	+16,004	$7,741	$7,741	248	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Up	+11,579	$5,465	$5,465	280	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xd1eb…0f5c	Down	+10,085	$5,675	$5,675	232	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Up	+8,326	$3,570	$3,570	146	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x2eb5…f4d4	Down	+7,846	$4,303	$4,303	179	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x1f0e…cf86	Down	+7,510	$4,578	$4,578	131	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xe399…7b3d	Down	+5,009	$3,495	$3,495	108	03-18 16:25
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+4,788	$1,977	$2,682	135	03-18 16:27
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Down	+4,385	$1,964	$2,771	100	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Down	+4,235	$4,190	$4,190	68	03-18 16:31
Tremendous-Closet 0x751a…9ea1	Down	+4,028	$3,804	$3,804	1	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Down	+3,904	$1,781	$2,362	203	03-18 16:28
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+3,713	$1,199	$1,865	189	03-18 16:28
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Up	+3,183	$1,377	$1,377	384	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	Down	+3,070	$1,700	$1,700	343	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Up	+2,899	$460	$667	110	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Up	+2,846	$1,107	$1,107	240	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x818f…58cb	Down	+2,762	$1,407	$1,407	267	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xe399…7b3d	Up	+2,441	$1,429	$1,429	80	03-18 16:26
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Up	+2,303	$1,027	$1,027	224	03-18 16:29
Normal-Shaw 0x9bff…f622	Down	+2,213	$1,485	$1,485	98	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x3963…2b0b	Down	+2,185	$1,120	$1,120	238	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0x50a6…e59e	Down	+2,172	$1,252	$1,252	143	03-18 16:30
Shameful-Peertopeer 0xbc3a…bfbb	Down	+1,988	$596	$596	37	03-18 16:18
(anonymous) 0x50a6…e59e	Up	+1,942	$832	$832	127	03-18 16:30
Slim-Sinuosity 0x992e…24ed	Down	+1,892	$1,717	$1,717	1	03-18 16:25
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Up	+1,862	$861	$861	233	03-18 16:29
Shameful-Peertopeer 0xbc3a…bfbb	Up	+1,839	$552	$552	34	03-18 16:24
(anonymous) 0xa45f…2429	Down	+1,807	$981	$981	246	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x29bc…683c	Down	+1,672	$822	$822	33	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Down	+1,591	$879	$879	138	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xed86…78c7	Up	+1,567	$672	$672	150	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Down	+1,553	$851	$851	157	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x56ba…11d7	Up	+1,503	$665	$665	155	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xe007…548c	Down	+1,480	$912	$3,318	247	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+1,374	$676	$676	104	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Down	+1,366	$697	$697	257	03-18 16:29
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Up	+1,345	$716	$716	56	03-18 16:28
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+1,336	$659	$659	102	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	Up	+1,318	$651	$651	235	03-18 16:29
Stormy-Knowledge 0xa204…96f6	Up	+1,300	$417	$417	15	03-18 16:27
Stormy-Knowledge 0xa204…96f6	Down	+1,300	$439	$439	83	03-18 16:27
(anonymous) 0xe38b…1fdc	Down	+1,183	$707	$707	36	03-18 16:29
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+1,166	$627	$627	43	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	Down	+1,163	$629	$629	137	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xe38b…1fdc	Up	+1,143	$461	$461	28	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xfbfc…628d	Up	+1,132	$978	$978	1	03-18 16:28
Unequaled-Lamb 0x7dba…0839	Up	+1,104	$541	$541	249	03-18 16:29
Unequaled-Lamb 0x7dba…0839	Down	+1,100	$603	$603	232	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0xe007…548c	Up	+1,024	$539	$2,106	187	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x0d05…4518	Up	+1,018	$607	$607	8	03-18 16:28
(anonymous) 0x960a…ed7a	Down	+1,016	$608	$608	47	03-18 16:28
(anonymous) 0x5356…8a62	Down	+1,012	$761	$761	54	03-18 16:26
Able-Cellar 0x8d7e…2fea	Down	+1,010	$929	$929	1	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0x9f3c…dbe9	Up	+1,000	$10	$10	2	03-18 16:30
(anonymous) 0xffeb…1100	Up	+1,000	$450	$450	31	03-18 16:15
Normal-Shaw 0x9bff…f622	Up	+941	$539	$539	61	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0xf696…1b7d	Up	+936	$423	$423	83	03-18 16:29
(anonymous) 0x1004…9b8f	Up	+922	$393	$393	75	03-18 16:26
(anonymous) 0x084d…d966	Up	+885	$393	$393	59	03-18 16:29